Dems losing ground?

[ElKabong]

Originally Posted by elysiantraveller

Most people think the race will go down to Election day GOTV efforts. Cruz is about a 2 point favorite right now but any sampling error or high turnout and he can lose.

Beto has better ground game than Cruz but it's still Texas is the overwhelming sentiment.

I still think the Senate goes 50-50. But if any side is going to outperform their polling averages by a point or 2 this cycle it's not going to be the Rs... the tea leaves just aren't showing it.

As far as TX-Sen... it's still Texas and even then a sampling error may not be enough for Beto.

My "anecdotal" poll drive bys... I am in the car five days a week, cover every suburb here east of Southlake (the farther west you go in DFW the more conservative you get). All polling places looked the same. Forty yo plus.... I'll admit I haven't driven much into Dallas proper polling places during polling hours where it's more liberal.

If I were your friends I'd be asking this question.... If Beta had such a good chance of winning, why is he losing in each and every poll, and in some of those Cruz has hit the 50% threshold.

A Beta win just doesn't seem likely on that logic alone.

His mugshot was posted on Twitter Friday.. Funny shit.

[hcap]

Gee, I wonder why?

Speaker of the House Paul Ryan (R-WI) appealed to President Trump in a phone call on Monday, begging the President to focus his rhetoric a bit more on the economy and a bit less on immigration, Politico reported.

But Trump swatted away his pleas, reassuring the House leader — who’s retiring, but will likely be lose his speaker status in coming days if, as predicted, Democrats grab the House — that his laser focus on immigration is the best way to ignite their base, a source familiar with the call told Politico.

BTW, 538 still has the Dems chances to take the House 6 out of 7

Just sayin'

[hcap]

The killing of 11 Jewish worshippers by an alleged anti-Semitic white nationalist in Pittsburgh and the mail bombs sent to prominent Democrats and CNN allegedly by a radicalized Trump supporter dominated headlines and undercut any momentum the GOP had in many races, something President Trump himself has groused about. While his closing message of anti-immigrant fear-mongering may have helped in some Senate races, it’s at best a double-edged sword in the House, where suburban races predominate.

Strategists say that the few polls they conducted in the final days of the race in swing territory mirrored national public polling showing Trump’s disapproval rating climbing an average of three or four points in the race’s closing stretch, a bad sign for his party.

“This last week hasn’t been helpful,” said one GOP strategist involved in House races.

[davew]

Originally Posted by hcap

BTW, 538 still has the Dems chances to take the House 6 out of 7

Just sayin'

so there still is a chance?? I can't wait for those great leaders Pelosi, Waters, Schiff, Schumer to mold America in their vision.

[woodtoo]

Originally Posted by davew

I can't wait for those great leaders Pelosi, Waters, Schiff, Schumer to mold America in their vision.

Therein lies the problem....dimvision.

[davew]

In many places early voting is at all time highs, even higher than presidential elections. The dims are doing well with their get out the vote campaign.

[elysiantraveller]

More proof of the divide to conquer strategy... Trump Approval:

Gallup:
B rated Pollster
40% down 4 from a week ago.

SSRS:
A- rated Pollster
39% down 4 from previous.

This is the reason House Republicans are panicked.

[Tom]

Originally Posted by hcap View Post
BTW, 538 still has the Dems chances to take the House 6 out of 7

Just sayin'

So help me out here.
Is this revelation supposed to make you somehow relevant?

[Tom]

Originally Posted by JustRalph

If Cruz loses he can replace Sessions.......

Then all hell breaks loose

Trump and Cruz on the same team...the pitbull's pitbull.

I get a tingling in my leg!

[hcap]

Originally Posted by Tom

So help me out here.
Is this revelation supposed to make you somehow relevant?

No, but it makes your nonsense about how all polling sinced Chumpy 2016 fluke win(Russians and Comy screwing up the Dems) being no longer relevant, .....
IRRELEVANT

[Tom]

You are never going to make it to Tuesday evening.

[hcap]

Originally Posted by Tom

You are never going to make it to Tuesday evening.

I'm already there. You are not going to survive

[Tom]

Originally Posted by hcap

I'm already there. You are not going to survive

Keep telling yourself that.
You are the one obsessed about it......at best, you prove nothing.
Historically, the GOP should lose seats in the House.
IF they do, YOU have achieved nothing. All your bravado for doing only what you should have done.

Even if they do lose the House, if the number is small, it is a GOP win.

Do you get a participation trophy?

[hcap]

Latest from 538
Updated Nov. 5, 2018, at 11:31 AM

7 in 8

Chance Democrats win control (87.4%)

Dems chances of taking the House has increased from 6 out of seven to 7 out of eight

[PaceAdvantage]

Originally Posted by hcap

You are not going to survive

Why would you write something so asinine? Is that how YOU would feel if your team lost?

This is exactly what I'm talking about.