Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey
Agree, plus what is in the various race line publications is ALL us outsiders have to deal with on a consistent basis..
It is impossible for us to know the trainers intentions...and bet downs on the board cannot be assumed to be "inside intent"...
Nitro's whole assumption that odds can predict trainer intent is, IMHO, non-testable and non-provable...
There are probably skads of trainers over the years who have lost their shirts betting their "intents" who rarely bet anymore...as a result.
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Where do you come up with this nonsense? I never (ever) suggested that just the “odds” will tell you what’s involved in a complete tote analysis. This couldn’t be further from the truth when in fact the analysis examines ALL of the mutual pools and Exacta (or Quinella) pool simultaneously.
The only thing I use odds for are to determine Value and the playability of a race.
I could really care less if you actually believe that it hasn’t been tested or proven. However, I do know that my mentor’s database contains well over ½ million races of every description and that tote analysis I use is results driven. In fact, if you ever bothered to view the results of my posted selections, you might wonder how I’m able to successfully post so many winning Vertical plays.
Yes, of course just like any other business venture there are winners and losers. If you actually believe that the connections aren’t interested in taking advantage of acquiring some of the money in those betting pools you are GREATLY mistaken.