Week 7 -- MLFs less than 3-1 @SAR Review - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

TheOracle · 08-19-2019, 06:02 PM

The Morning Line 8-5’s have been doing well overall so far at Saratoga this season on the Dirt

Code:

1	07-12-2019	1st race	5	French Revolution (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	T A Pletcher	8/5#				
2	07-12-2019	6th race	1	Felix in Fabula (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MB N Levine	8/5#	W	6.5	6.8	4.0
3	07-12-2019	6th race	1A	Curlin Road (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		6.8	4.0
4	07-13-2019	3rd race	3	Cucina (FL)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	M E Casse	8/5#				
5	07-13-2019	4th race	6	Zyramid (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlS M Asmussen	8/5#	W	4.9	3.5	2.7
6	07-17-2019	2nd race	2	Listentoyourheart (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	C Clement	8/5#	P		3.9	2.9
7	07-18-2019	6th race	4	Smooth With a Kick (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	3.4	2.6	2.3
8	07-19-2019	2nd race	6	Carrizo (KY)		Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	4.9	3.3	3.0
9	07-19-2019	8th race	2	Engage (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Fast	6 Furl	C C Brown	8/5#				
10	07-25-2019	3rd race	6	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	P		2.6	2.2
11	07-27-2019	4th race	1	Shoplifted (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlS M Asmussen	8/5#	W	3.4	2.4	2.1
12	07-27-2019	4th race	1A	Soviet (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlT A Pletcher	8/5#				
13	07-28-2019	2nd race	2	Air On Fire (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	J Servis	8/5#	P		3.1	2.3
14	07-28-2019	4th race	5	Runningwscissors (NY)	Alw	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	T M Amoss	8/5#				
15	08-01-2019	9th race	1	Marconi (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 3/16 MT A Pletcher	8/5#	P		3.6	2.4
16	08-02-2019	1st race	8	Justice of War (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	S M Asmussen	8/5#	S			2.4
17	08-04-2019	2nd race	2	Data Driven (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.1	2.8	2.5
18	08-07-2019	2nd race	1	Bears Mafia (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	B N Levine	8/5#	W	4.7	3.1	2.7
19	08-08-2019	1st race	1	Cuddle Kitten (KY)	Str Alw	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	J Navarro	8/5#	W	3.3	2.5	2.1
20	08-08-2019	2nd race	2	My Roxy Girl (NY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	5.0	3.3	2.7
21	08-11-2019	8th race	3	Talk Veuve to Me (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	7 Furl	R Brisset	8/5#	W	4.8	3.1	2.6
22	08-16-2019	8th race	5	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	W	3.0	2.3	2.1
23	08-17-2019	2nd race	1	Miss Imperial (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlJ Servis	8/5#	S			2.1
24	08-17-2019	10th race	1	Dunbar Road (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	5.5	3.3	2.8
25	08-18-2019	6th race	6	Mrs. Danvers (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC R McGaugheyIII8/5#	W	3.9	2.6	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	25	13	5	2	52%	$57.4	$50	$7.4	14%			
			
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					80%	$171.1	$150	$21.1	14%	52.1

When you look at weeks 4 through 6, the Morning Line 8-5’s have been a virtual cash machine they have been 8 for their last 11

You got a 55% return per $2 win wager since week 4

Code:

1	08-01-2019	9th race	1	Marconi (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 3/16 MT A Pletcher	8/5#	P		3.6	2.4
2	08-02-2019	1st race	8	Justice of War (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	S M Asmussen	8/5#	S			2.4
3	08-04-2019	2nd race	2	Data Driven (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.1	2.8	2.5
4	08-07-2019	2nd race	1	Bears Mafia (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	B N Levine	8/5#	W	4.7	3.1	2.7
5	08-08-2019	1st race	1	Cuddle Kitten (KY)	Str Alw	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	J Navarro	8/5#	W	3.3	2.5	2.1
6	08-08-2019	2nd race	2	My Roxy Girl (NY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	5.0	3.3	2.7
7	08-11-2019	8th race	3	Talk Veuve to Me (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	7 Furl	R Brisset	8/5#	W	4.8	3.1	2.6
8	08-16-2019	8th race	5	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	W	3.0	2.3	2.1
9	08-17-2019	2nd race	1	Miss Imperial (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlJ Servis	8/5#	S			2.1
10	08-17-2019	10th race	1	Dunbar Road (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	5.5	3.3	2.8
11	08-18-2019	6th race	6	Mrs. Danvers (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC R McGaugheyIII8/5#	W	3.9	2.6	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return					
8-5	11	8	1	2	72.7%	$34.3	$22	$12.3	55%	
					
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					100%	$87.5	$66	$21.5	32%	26.6

Also, the Morning Line 8-5's have not been off the board in 3 weeks on the Dirt

We will focus on this on for Wednesday

Code:

pick08-21-20191	08-21-2019	2nd race	1	South of the Shore (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Eighth Miles	C C Brown	8/5#	Dirt

Let's see if Brown can keep the cash machine going and get the win with this one at the Spa!!!

TheOracle · 08-21-2019, 04:52 AM

Let's also keep an eye on the Morning Line 2-1's on the Turf

Code:

1	07-13-2019	8th race	6	Peaceful (KY)		Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlJ Thomas	2/1#	W	7.4	3.4	2.5
2	07-14-2019	1st race	9	Sweet Melania (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MT A Pletcher	2/1#	W	5.2	3.9	3.2
3	07-14-2019	3rd race	4	Crack Shot (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ C Englehart	2/1#	S			2.6
4	07-14-2019	9th race	4	Break Even (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlB H Cox		2/1#	W	4.2	3.3	2.5
5	07-18-2019	4th race	7	Everyonelovesjames (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	2/1#				
6	07-18-2019	8th race	2	Spirit Animal (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#				
7	07-18-2019	8th race	2B	Value Proposition (GB)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	4.7	3.4	2.5
8	07-19-2019	9th race	7	Blowout (GB)		Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		0.1	
9	07-21-2019	6th race	1	Chestnut Street (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	R Handal	2/1#	W	10.0	5.3	4.4
10	07-27-2019	5th race	7	Emaraaty (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	8.2	5.2	3.5
11	07-27-2019	12th race	5	Surge Pricing (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	6.0	3.6	2.8
12	07-31-2019	4th race	5	Kid Is Frosty (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 M	B H Cox		2/1#	W	5.2	2.8	2.4
13	08-01-2019	7th race	6	Lovely La La (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		2.9	2.3
14	08-02-2019	4th race	8	Way Early (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	G Weaver	2/1#				
15	08-04-2019	8th race	8	Chiclets Dream (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	S			2.3
16	08-07-2019	1st race	1	Wigwam Baby (PA)	Stakes	Turf Firm	2 1/16 MJ E Sheppard	2/1#				
17	08-07-2019	6th race	7	Archidust (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Navarro	2/1#	W	4.4	3.4	3.0
18	08-08-2019	9th race	2	Hierarchy (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MJ Sharp		2/1#	W	8.4	4.3	2.7
19	08-09-2019	8th race	4	Malakeh (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	H G Motion	2/1#	W	7.1	3.4	2.3
20	08-10-2019	3rd race	7	Decorated Invader (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MC Clement	2/1#	W	4.5	2.7	2.2
21	08-10-2019	11th race	5	Alphalfa (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice		2/1#		

22	08-14-2019	4th race	7	Gosilently (NY)             Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	R N Falcone Jr.	2/1#	W	4.9	3.4	2.6
23	08-15-2019	9th race	8	Kerrys Ring (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	C Clement	2/1#	W	5.5	3.4	3.0
24	08-16-2019	9th race	6	Montauk Daddy (FL)	Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice	        2/1#	S			2.3
25	08-17-2019	9th race	5	Regal Glory (KY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	3.1	3.1	2.5
26	08-18-2019	4th race	6	Coffee Crush (KY)	Alw	Turf Good	1 M	J J Toner	2/1#	P		4.2	2.7

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
2-1	26	15	3	3	57.6%	$88.8	$52	$36.8	70%		
				
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					80.7%	$204.9	$156	$48.9	31%	54.3

We have these ML 2-1's today

Code:

pick08-21-20191		08-19-2019	1st race	7	Chief Justice (GB)	Stakes	Two And Three Eighth Miles	C Murphy	2/1#	Turf
pick08-21-20192		08-19-2019	8th race	5	Golconda (FR)	Claiming	Five And One Half Furlongs	J Servis	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if one of these can get to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

TheOracle · 08-22-2019, 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Let's also keep an eye on the Morning Line 2-1's on the Turf

Code:

1	07-13-2019	8th race	6	Peaceful (KY)		Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlJ Thomas	2/1#	W	7.4	3.4	2.5
2	07-14-2019	1st race	9	Sweet Melania (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MT A Pletcher	2/1#	W	5.2	3.9	3.2
3	07-14-2019	3rd race	4	Crack Shot (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ C Englehart	2/1#	S			2.6
4	07-14-2019	9th race	4	Break Even (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlB H Cox		2/1#	W	4.2	3.3	2.5
5	07-18-2019	4th race	7	Everyonelovesjames (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	2/1#				
6	07-18-2019	8th race	2	Spirit Animal (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#				
7	07-18-2019	8th race	2B	Value Proposition (GB)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	4.7	3.4	2.5
8	07-19-2019	9th race	7	Blowout (GB)		Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		0.1	
9	07-21-2019	6th race	1	Chestnut Street (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	R Handal	2/1#	W	10.0	5.3	4.4
10	07-27-2019	5th race	7	Emaraaty (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	8.2	5.2	3.5
11	07-27-2019	12th race	5	Surge Pricing (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	6.0	3.6	2.8
12	07-31-2019	4th race	5	Kid Is Frosty (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 M	B H Cox		2/1#	W	5.2	2.8	2.4
13	08-01-2019	7th race	6	Lovely La La (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		2.9	2.3
14	08-02-2019	4th race	8	Way Early (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	G Weaver	2/1#				
15	08-04-2019	8th race	8	Chiclets Dream (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	S			2.3
16	08-07-2019	1st race	1	Wigwam Baby (PA)	Stakes	Turf Firm	2 1/16 MJ E Sheppard	2/1#				
17	08-07-2019	6th race	7	Archidust (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Navarro	2/1#	W	4.4	3.4	3.0
18	08-08-2019	9th race	2	Hierarchy (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MJ Sharp		2/1#	W	8.4	4.3	2.7
19	08-09-2019	8th race	4	Malakeh (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	H G Motion	2/1#	W	7.1	3.4	2.3
20	08-10-2019	3rd race	7	Decorated Invader (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MC Clement	2/1#	W	4.5	2.7	2.2
21	08-10-2019	11th race	5	Alphalfa (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice		2/1#		

22	08-14-2019	4th race	7	Gosilently (NY)             Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	R N Falcone Jr.	2/1#	W	4.9	3.4	2.6
23	08-15-2019	9th race	8	Kerrys Ring (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	C Clement	2/1#	W	5.5	3.4	3.0
24	08-16-2019	9th race	6	Montauk Daddy (FL)	Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice	        2/1#	S			2.3
25	08-17-2019	9th race	5	Regal Glory (KY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	3.1	3.1	2.5
26	08-18-2019	4th race	6	Coffee Crush (KY)	Alw	Turf Good	1 M	J J Toner	2/1#	P		4.2	2.7

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
2-1	26	15	3	3	57.6%	$88.8	$52	$36.8	70%		
				
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					80.7%	$204.9	$156	$48.9	31%	54.3

We have these ML 2-1's today

Code:

pick08-21-20191		08-19-2019	1st race	7	Chief Justice (GB)	Stakes	Two And Three Eighth Miles	C Murphy	2/1#	Turf
pick08-21-20192		08-19-2019	8th race	5	Golconda (FR)	Claiming	Five And One Half Furlongs	J Servis	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if one of these can get to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

The 1st race was cancelled yesterday and #5 Golconda was scratched

TheOracle · 08-22-2019, 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheOracle

The Morning Line 8-5’s have been doing well overall so far at Saratoga this season on the Dirt

Code:

1	07-12-2019	1st race	5	French Revolution (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	T A Pletcher	8/5#				
2	07-12-2019	6th race	1	Felix in Fabula (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MB N Levine	8/5#	W	6.5	6.8	4.0
3	07-12-2019	6th race	1A	Curlin Road (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	1 1/16 MR R Rodriguez	8/5#	P		6.8	4.0
4	07-13-2019	3rd race	3	Cucina (FL)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	M E Casse	8/5#				
5	07-13-2019	4th race	6	Zyramid (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlS M Asmussen	8/5#	W	4.9	3.5	2.7
6	07-17-2019	2nd race	2	Listentoyourheart (NY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	6 Furl	C Clement	8/5#	P		3.9	2.9
7	07-18-2019	6th race	4	Smooth With a Kick (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	3.4	2.6	2.3
8	07-19-2019	2nd race	6	Carrizo (KY)		Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	4.9	3.3	3.0
9	07-19-2019	8th race	2	Engage (KY)		Alw Op CDirt Fast	6 Furl	C C Brown	8/5#				
10	07-25-2019	3rd race	6	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	P		2.6	2.2
11	07-27-2019	4th race	1	Shoplifted (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlS M Asmussen	8/5#	W	3.4	2.4	2.1
12	07-27-2019	4th race	1A	Soviet (KY)		Mdn SpclDirt Fast	5.5 FurlT A Pletcher	8/5#				
13	07-28-2019	2nd race	2	Air On Fire (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	J Servis	8/5#	P		3.1	2.3
14	07-28-2019	4th race	5	Runningwscissors (NY)	Alw	Dirt Fast	7 Furl	T M Amoss	8/5#				
15	08-01-2019	9th race	1	Marconi (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 3/16 MT A Pletcher	8/5#	P		3.6	2.4
16	08-02-2019	1st race	8	Justice of War (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	S M Asmussen	8/5#	S			2.4
17	08-04-2019	2nd race	2	Data Driven (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.1	2.8	2.5
18	08-07-2019	2nd race	1	Bears Mafia (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	B N Levine	8/5#	W	4.7	3.1	2.7
19	08-08-2019	1st race	1	Cuddle Kitten (KY)	Str Alw	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	J Navarro	8/5#	W	3.3	2.5	2.1
20	08-08-2019	2nd race	2	My Roxy Girl (NY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	5.0	3.3	2.7
21	08-11-2019	8th race	3	Talk Veuve to Me (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	7 Furl	R Brisset	8/5#	W	4.8	3.1	2.6
22	08-16-2019	8th race	5	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	W	3.0	2.3	2.1
23	08-17-2019	2nd race	1	Miss Imperial (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlJ Servis	8/5#	S			2.1
24	08-17-2019	10th race	1	Dunbar Road (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	5.5	3.3	2.8
25	08-18-2019	6th race	6	Mrs. Danvers (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC R McGaugheyIII8/5#	W	3.9	2.6	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
8-5	25	13	5	2	52%	$57.4	$50	$7.4	14%			
			
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					80%	$171.1	$150	$21.1	14%	52.1

When you look at weeks 4 through 6, the Morning Line 8-5’s have been a virtual cash machine they have been 8 for their last 11

You got a 55% return per $2 win wager since week 4

Code:

1	08-01-2019	9th race	1	Marconi (KY)		Stakes	Dirt Fast	1 3/16 MT A Pletcher	8/5#	P		3.6	2.4
2	08-02-2019	1st race	8	Justice of War (KY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	S M Asmussen	8/5#	S			2.4
3	08-04-2019	2nd race	2	Data Driven (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.1	2.8	2.5
4	08-07-2019	2nd race	1	Bears Mafia (NY)	Mdn Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	B N Levine	8/5#	W	4.7	3.1	2.7
5	08-08-2019	1st race	1	Cuddle Kitten (KY)	Str Alw	Dirt Fast	1 1/8 M	J Navarro	8/5#	W	3.3	2.5	2.1
6	08-08-2019	2nd race	2	My Roxy Girl (NY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/5#	W	5.0	3.3	2.7
7	08-11-2019	8th race	3	Talk Veuve to Me (KY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	7 Furl	R Brisset	8/5#	W	4.8	3.1	2.6
8	08-16-2019	8th race	5	Ratajkowski (NY)	Alw Op CDirt Fast	1 1/8 M	B A Lynch	8/5#	W	3.0	2.3	2.1
9	08-17-2019	2nd race	1	Miss Imperial (KY)	Clm	Dirt Fast	6.5 FurlJ Servis	8/5#	S			2.1
10	08-17-2019	10th race	1	Dunbar Road (KY)	Stakes	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/4 M	C C Brown	8/5#	W	5.5	3.3	2.8
11	08-18-2019	6th race	6	Mrs. Danvers (KY)	Mdn SpclDirt Fast	6.5 FurlC R McGaugheyIII8/5#	W	3.9	2.6	2.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return					
8-5	11	8	1	2	72.7%	$34.3	$22	$12.3	55%	
					
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					100%	$87.5	$66	$21.5	32%	26.6

Also, the Morning Line 8-5's have not been off the board in 3 weeks on the Dirt

We will focus on this on for Wednesday

Code:

pick08-21-20191	08-21-2019	2nd race	1	South of the Shore (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Eighth Miles	C C Brown	8/5#	Dirt

Let's see if Brown can keep the cash machine going and get the win with this one at the Spa!!!

Brown came in 2nd with this one paying $7.10 across the board

Code:

pick08-21-20191	08-21-2019	2nd race	1	South of the Shore (KY)	Alw Op Cl	Dirt Sloppy	1 1/8 M	C C Brown	8/5#	P		3.7	3.4

The 8-5's hit the board 12 straight times up until yesterday would have much rather have the win but $7.10 across the board at least gives you a profit for a $2 win place and show wager

TheOracle · 08-25-2019, 10:03 AM

MLFs less than 3-1 on the Turf for week 7 have been giving a nice profit per $2 win wager

Code:

1	08-22-2019	1st race	2	Winston C (IRE)		Stakes	Turf Yielding	2 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	4/5#	W	3.1	2.6	2.2
2	08-22-2019	3rd race	2	Quiet Dignity (KY)	Alw	Turf Yielding	1 3/16 MC C Brown	9/5#				
3	08-22-2019	9th race	6	Catch a Bid (KY)	Stakes	Turf Yielding	1 M	C C Brown	7/5#	W	3.8	2.9	2.4
4	08-23-2019	1st race	1	Deeply Analytical (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlC C Brown	5/2#				
5	08-23-2019	9th race	1	Therapist (NY)		Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC Clement	5/2#	S			2.7
6	08-23-2019	9th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	8/5#	W	6.4	3.1	2.4
7	08-23-2019	11th race	2	Wacky Pal (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Good	1 3/16 MJ C Englehart	7/5#	P		3.1	2.8
8	08-24-2019	1st race	1	Frontier Market (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#	W	3.3	2.1	2.1
9	08-24-2019	1st race	1A	Unleveraged (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
10	08-24-2019	10th race	7	Annals of Time (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/2 M	C C Brown	5/2#	W	7.1	4.2	3.2
11	08-24-2019	12th race	13	Dowses Beach (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Servis	5/2#	W	6.7	4.1	3.9

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	11	6	1	1	54.5%	$30.4	$22	$8.4	38%	
					
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						72.7%	$74.2	$66	$8.2	12%	21.7

Brown has won 4 of the 6

Code:

1	08-22-2019	3rd race	2	Quiet Dignity (KY)	Alw	Turf Yielding	1 3/16 MC C Brown	9/5#				
2	08-22-2019	9th race	6	Catch a Bid (KY)	Stakes	Turf Yielding	1 M	C C Brown	7/5#	W	3.8	2.9	2.4
3	08-23-2019	1st race	1	Deeply Analytical (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlC C Brown	5/2#				
4	08-23-2019	9th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	8/5#	W	6.4	3.1	2.4
5	08-24-2019	1st race	1	Frontier Market (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#	W	3.3	2.1	2.1
6	08-24-2019	1st race	1A	Unleveraged (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
7	08-24-2019	10th race	7	Annals of Time (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/2 M	C C Brown	5/2#	W	7.1	4.2	3.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	7	4	0	0	57.1%	$20.6	$14	$6.6	47%		
				
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						57.1%	$43	$42	$1	2%	10.1

He has these today on the Turf

Code:

pick08-25-20191	08-25-2019	2nd race	7	Ahead of Plan (FL)	Maiden Special Weight	Five And One Half Furlongs	C C Brown	8/5#	Turf
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes			One Mile			C C Brown	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if he can get these to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

TheOracle · 08-25-2019, 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Let's also keep an eye on the Morning Line 2-1's on the Turf

Code:

1	07-13-2019	8th race	6	Peaceful (KY)		Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlJ Thomas	2/1#	W	7.4	3.4	2.5
2	07-14-2019	1st race	9	Sweet Melania (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MT A Pletcher	2/1#	W	5.2	3.9	3.2
3	07-14-2019	3rd race	4	Crack Shot (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ C Englehart	2/1#	S			2.6
4	07-14-2019	9th race	4	Break Even (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlB H Cox		2/1#	W	4.2	3.3	2.5
5	07-18-2019	4th race	7	Everyonelovesjames (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	2/1#				
6	07-18-2019	8th race	2	Spirit Animal (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#				
7	07-18-2019	8th race	2B	Value Proposition (GB)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	4.7	3.4	2.5
8	07-19-2019	9th race	7	Blowout (GB)		Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		0.1	
9	07-21-2019	6th race	1	Chestnut Street (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	R Handal	2/1#	W	10.0	5.3	4.4
10	07-27-2019	5th race	7	Emaraaty (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	8.2	5.2	3.5
11	07-27-2019	12th race	5	Surge Pricing (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	6.0	3.6	2.8
12	07-31-2019	4th race	5	Kid Is Frosty (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 M	B H Cox		2/1#	W	5.2	2.8	2.4
13	08-01-2019	7th race	6	Lovely La La (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		2.9	2.3
14	08-02-2019	4th race	8	Way Early (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	G Weaver	2/1#				
15	08-04-2019	8th race	8	Chiclets Dream (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	S			2.3
16	08-07-2019	1st race	1	Wigwam Baby (PA)	Stakes	Turf Firm	2 1/16 MJ E Sheppard	2/1#				
17	08-07-2019	6th race	7	Archidust (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Navarro	2/1#	W	4.4	3.4	3.0
18	08-08-2019	9th race	2	Hierarchy (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MJ Sharp		2/1#	W	8.4	4.3	2.7
19	08-09-2019	8th race	4	Malakeh (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	H G Motion	2/1#	W	7.1	3.4	2.3
20	08-10-2019	3rd race	7	Decorated Invader (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MC Clement	2/1#	W	4.5	2.7	2.2
21	08-10-2019	11th race	5	Alphalfa (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice		2/1#		

22	08-14-2019	4th race	7	Gosilently (NY)             Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	R N Falcone Jr.	2/1#	W	4.9	3.4	2.6
23	08-15-2019	9th race	8	Kerrys Ring (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	C Clement	2/1#	W	5.5	3.4	3.0
24	08-16-2019	9th race	6	Montauk Daddy (FL)	Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice	        2/1#	S			2.3
25	08-17-2019	9th race	5	Regal Glory (KY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	3.1	3.1	2.5
26	08-18-2019	4th race	6	Coffee Crush (KY)	Alw	Turf Good	1 M	J J Toner	2/1#	P		4.2	2.7

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
2-1	26	15	3	3	57.6%	$88.8	$52	$36.8	70%		
				
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					80.7%	$204.9	$156	$48.9	31%	54.3

.
.
.
.

We have these Morning Line 2-1's on the Turf

Code:

pick08-25-20191	08-25-2019	5th race	8	Originator (KY)		Alw Op Cl	5.5 FurlI R Wilkes	2/1#	Turf
pick08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes		1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	Turf
pick08-25-20193	08-25-2019	10th race	4	Augusta Moon (KY)	Mdn Clm		1 M	T A Pletcher	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if at least 2 of these can get to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

TheOracle · 08-25-2019, 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheOracle

MLFs less than 3-1 on the Turf for week 7 have been giving a nice profit per $2 win wager

Code:

1	08-22-2019	1st race	2	Winston C (IRE)		Stakes	Turf Yielding	2 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	4/5#	W	3.1	2.6	2.2
2	08-22-2019	3rd race	2	Quiet Dignity (KY)	Alw	Turf Yielding	1 3/16 MC C Brown	9/5#				
3	08-22-2019	9th race	6	Catch a Bid (KY)	Stakes	Turf Yielding	1 M	C C Brown	7/5#	W	3.8	2.9	2.4
4	08-23-2019	1st race	1	Deeply Analytical (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlC C Brown	5/2#				
5	08-23-2019	9th race	1	Therapist (NY)		Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC Clement	5/2#	S			2.7
6	08-23-2019	9th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	8/5#	W	6.4	3.1	2.4
7	08-23-2019	11th race	2	Wacky Pal (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Good	1 3/16 MJ C Englehart	7/5#	P		3.1	2.8
8	08-24-2019	1st race	1	Frontier Market (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#	W	3.3	2.1	2.1
9	08-24-2019	1st race	1A	Unleveraged (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
10	08-24-2019	10th race	7	Annals of Time (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/2 M	C C Brown	5/2#	W	7.1	4.2	3.2
11	08-24-2019	12th race	13	Dowses Beach (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Servis	5/2#	W	6.7	4.1	3.9

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	11	6	1	1	54.5%	$30.4	$22	$8.4	38%	
					
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						72.7%	$74.2	$66	$8.2	12%	21.7

Brown has won 4 of the 6

Code:

1	08-22-2019	3rd race	2	Quiet Dignity (KY)	Alw	Turf Yielding	1 3/16 MC C Brown	9/5#				
2	08-22-2019	9th race	6	Catch a Bid (KY)	Stakes	Turf Yielding	1 M	C C Brown	7/5#	W	3.8	2.9	2.4
3	08-23-2019	1st race	1	Deeply Analytical (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlC C Brown	5/2#				
4	08-23-2019	9th race	3	Offering Plan (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	8/5#	W	6.4	3.1	2.4
5	08-24-2019	1st race	1	Frontier Market (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#	W	3.3	2.1	2.1
6	08-24-2019	1st race	1A	Unleveraged (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	4/5#				
7	08-24-2019	10th race	7	Annals of Time (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/2 M	C C Brown	5/2#	W	7.1	4.2	3.2

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	7	4	0	0	57.1%	$20.6	$14	$6.6	47%		
				
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						57.1%	$43	$42	$1	2%	10.1

He has these today on the Turf

Code:

pick08-25-20191	08-25-2019	2nd race	7	Ahead of Plan (FL)	Maiden Special Weight	Five And One Half Furlongs	C C Brown	8/5#	Turf
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes			One Mile			C C Brown	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if he can get these to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

We split a pair today with Brown as #7 Ahead of Plan was off the board but #1 Front Run the Fed came through with the win paying $10 across the board!!!

Code:

res08-25-20191	08-25-2019	2nd race	7	Ahead of Plan (FL)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	5.5 FurlC C Brown	8/5#				
res08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	4.9	2.8	2.3

ML Odds		Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
all odds	2	1	0	0	50%	$4.9	$4	$0.9	22%				
		
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						50%	$10	$12	$-2	-17%	2.3

Congratulations to those who saw the #1 Front Run the Fed play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle · 08-25-2019, 10:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheOracle

We have these Morning Line 2-1's on the Turf

Code:

pick08-25-20191	08-25-2019	5th race	8	Originator (KY)		Alw Op Cl	5.5 FurlI R Wilkes	2/1#	Turf
pick08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes		1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	Turf
pick08-25-20193	08-25-2019	10th race	4	Augusta Moon (KY)	Mdn Clm		1 M	T A Pletcher	2/1#	Turf

Let's see if at least 2 of these can get to the winner's circle today at the Spa!!!

The Morning Line 2-1's took 2 out of 3 as we expected #8 Originator disappoinged and was off the board but #1 Front Run the Fed and #4 Augusta Moon came through with wins paying $10 and $10.40 respectively

Code:

res08-25-20191	08-25-2019	5th race	8	Originator (KY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	5.5 FurlI R Wilkes	2/1#				
res08-25-20192	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	4.9	2.8	2.3
res08-25-20193	08-25-2019	10th race	4	Augusta Moon (KY)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	T A Pletcher	2/1#	W	4.8	3.1	2.5

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
2-1	3	2	0	0	66.6%	$9.7	$6	$3.7	61%			
			
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					66.6%	$20.4	$18	$2.4	13%	4.8

A $2 win wager on each got you an additional $3.70 or 61% return on your money which is not much but a profit's a profit and they all add up eventually

Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle · 08-25-2019, 10:09 PM

The Morning Line 2-1's continue to show profits on the Turf at Saratoga

Code:

1	07-13-2019	8th race	6	Peaceful (KY)		Mdn SpclTurf Good	5.5 FurlJ Thomas	2/1#	W	7.4	3.4	2.5
2	07-14-2019	1st race	9	Sweet Melania (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MT A Pletcher	2/1#	W	5.2	3.9	3.2
3	07-14-2019	3rd race	4	Crack Shot (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	5.5 FurlJ C Englehart	2/1#	S			2.6
4	07-14-2019	9th race	4	Break Even (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlB H Cox		2/1#	W	4.2	3.3	2.5
5	07-18-2019	4th race	7	Everyonelovesjames (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 3/8 M	J E Sheppard	2/1#				
6	07-18-2019	8th race	2	Spirit Animal (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#				
7	07-18-2019	8th race	2B	Value Proposition (GB)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	4.7	3.4	2.5
8	07-19-2019	9th race	7	Blowout (GB)		Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		0.1	
9	07-21-2019	6th race	1	Chestnut Street (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	R Handal	2/1#	W	10.0	5.3	4.4
10	07-27-2019	5th race	7	Emaraaty (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	8.2	5.2	3.5
11	07-27-2019	12th race	5	Surge Pricing (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	6.0	3.6	2.8
12	07-31-2019	4th race	5	Kid Is Frosty (NY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 M	B H Cox		2/1#	W	5.2	2.8	2.4
13	08-01-2019	7th race	6	Lovely La La (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	P		2.9	2.3
14	08-02-2019	4th race	8	Way Early (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	G Weaver	2/1#				
15	08-04-2019	8th race	8	Chiclets Dream (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	S			2.3
16	08-07-2019	1st race	1	Wigwam Baby (PA)	Stakes	Turf Firm	2 1/16 MJ E Sheppard	2/1#				
17	08-07-2019	6th race	7	Archidust (KY)		Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlJ Navarro	2/1#	W	4.4	3.4	3.0
18	08-08-2019	9th race	2	Hierarchy (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MJ Sharp		2/1#	W	8.4	4.3	2.7
19	08-09-2019	8th race	4	Malakeh (GB)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	H G Motion	2/1#	W	7.1	3.4	2.3
20	08-10-2019	3rd race	7	Decorated Invader (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MC Clement	2/1#	W	4.5	2.7	2.2
21	08-10-2019	11th race	5	Alphalfa (NY)		Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice		2/1#		

22	08-14-2019	4th race	7	Gosilently (NY)             Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	R N Falcone Jr.	2/1#	W	4.9	3.4	2.6
23	08-15-2019	9th race	8	Kerrys Ring (NY)	Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	C Clement	2/1#	W	5.5	3.4	3.0
24	08-16-2019	9th race	6	Montauk Daddy (FL)	Stakes	Turf Firm	5.5 FurlL Rice	        2/1#	S			2.3
25	08-17-2019	9th race	5	Regal Glory (KY)	Stakes	Turf Good	1 1/16 MC C Brown	2/1#	W	3.1	3.1	2.5
26	08-18-2019	4th race	6	Coffee Crush (KY)	Alw	Turf Good	1 M	J J Toner	2/1#	P		4.2	2.7
27	08-25-2019	5th race	8	Originator (KY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	5.5 FurlI R Wilkes	2/1#				
28	08-25-2019	8th race	1	Front Run the Fed (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 M	C C Brown	2/1#	W	4.9	2.8	2.3
29	08-25-2019	10th race	4	Augusta Moon (KY)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	T A Pletcher	2/1#	W	4.8	3.1	2.5

ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
2-1	29	17	3	3	58.6%	$98.5	$58	$40.5	69%		
				
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					79.3%	$225.3	$174	$51.3	29%	59.1

Since opening day at the Spa the Morning Line 2-1's are giving you a 69% return per $2 win wager and a 29% return per $2 win place and show wager and they are winning at 58.6%!!!

Let's hope the cash machine continues on the Turf at the Spa for the ML 2-1's!!!