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Old 02-19-2022, 12:19 AM   #481
NorCalGreg
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Horse Watch 02-19

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Originally Posted by supersulky View Post
Like to hear some of your most powerful racing angles you like to use, thanks.
Sorry sulky...missed your post. Hopefully someone can answer

HORSE WATCH

Shofar (#7, 8/1) is entered at Oaklawn Park on Saturday, February 19th, 2022 in Race 6

-NCG
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Old 02-19-2022, 12:05 PM   #482
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Speed Demons Trainer Angles Spot Play TAMPA



Had the $67.00 winner @ SA yesterday...how about two in a row?

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 02-19-2022 at 12:07 PM.
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Old 02-19-2022, 12:57 PM   #483
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ODDS POP

For you POPS & TIPS aficionados...I see a nice "Odds Pop" in the 5th @ SA:



Notice ROUBAIX's odds were going up-now headed down. An indication of improving condition-if the brand-X trainer can get it done.
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Old 02-20-2022, 12:30 AM   #484
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STABLE WATCH

Ol' ROUBAIX I semi-sorta touted @ SA- did nothing today (for those keeping score).

Karen's Cove (#6, 12/1) is entered at Aqueduct on Sunday, February 20th, 2022 in Race 4.



Later, dudes

-NCG
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Old 02-20-2022, 03:07 PM   #485
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best-five GGF 02-20

Haven't seen GGF in a while...usually do okay here:


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Old 02-20-2022, 07:24 PM   #486
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MAIDEN SPEED REVISITED

First off...I gotta say, as a vendor in semi-good standing--once again I didn't hit sh*t at Aqueduct today. If anyone using any Pace-View software and WINS at AQ-please explain how. I won one big pick-3 earlier in the meet, and have been losing ever since. Unless someone can sell me on a reason to continue-I'm officially done.

Remember recently, when we were looking at maidens using the top speed (best 3 of 4 avg) found in Trainer Moves and Speed Demons? Took a look again...still holding it's own.

Hit 8 of 15 top speed-ranked, with the last race at SA upcoming.

AQ
1ST CLOSING DEALS 7/2 $4.40
3RD KING OF HOLLYWOOD 9/5 $4.80
GPX
1ST BARBARA 7/2
2ND PROUD CONTENDER 4/5 $3.20
4TH ANGELIC STORM 12-1
5TH CUPID'S DUDE 15-1 $8.00
8TH VIALETTO 3-1
11TH ARETE'S CHALICE 5-1
TAM
2ND RULING FRONT 8/5 $3.40
3RD JIM'S BRONZE STAR 5/2 $3.00
OPX
1ST RATTRAPANTE 2-1
6TH BLUE NORTHER 6-1 $5.80
SAX
2ND ARTHUR SPOONER 9/5
4TH REALLY BIG NEWS 4-1 $7.20
6TH HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR
9TH GLENALL 5-1 (RACE COMING UP)

Here's the ROI for today:


*should have just bet the 2 maiden races and called it a day @ AQ

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 02-20-2022 at 07:26 PM.
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Old 02-21-2022, 12:16 PM   #487
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Best-Five GGF Results 02-20

Did pretty good with top-2 Best-Five @ GGF posted yesterday:

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Old 02-21-2022, 12:52 PM   #488
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GPX BEST-FIVE 02-20

10 of 11 winners on the Best-Five Contender List for GPX:

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Old 02-23-2022, 12:37 AM   #489
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Today's Top Platinum Power MVR:



5 short-priced winners on top...not that impressive when you realize most of these races here only have 5-7 entries.

Was wondering how much a show parlay would have paid, but didn't have time to figure it. It couldn't be that much, since only 2 paid as much as $3 to show.

I'll post a quick elimination method that works at most lower-tier tracks such as MVR, in the morning--stay tuned

Good Luck,

-NCG
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Old 02-23-2022, 01:04 PM   #490
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Speed Demons Elimination Method

Here's the method I mentioned last night:

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Old 02-23-2022, 01:07 PM   #491
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Quote:
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Here's the method I mentioned last night:

Greg...BL1 & BL2 looks kinda off to me...
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Old 02-23-2022, 01:47 PM   #492
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99 View Post
Greg...BL1 & BL2 looks kinda off to me...
How so, Mike? BL1 & BL2 shows the finish of last two races (I think I would prefer the FIRST TWO CALLS instead of the finish, but it is what it is).

Since there will be no further upgrades and tweaks--we'll go with this.
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Old 02-23-2022, 02:21 PM   #493
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How so, Mike? BL1 & BL2 shows the finish of last two races (I think I would prefer the FIRST TWO CALLS instead of the finish, but it is what it is).

Since there will be no further upgrades and tweaks--we'll go with this.
yep....AVG would have been nice too
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Old 02-23-2022, 03:33 PM   #494
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Damn...I tried to make the above images smaller, but they were too blurry to read. Only problem is...the larger size knocks the page out of alignment-at least on my monitor. Sorry about that...

The best use of the "BL1-BL2" is to check for a win last race. The lower level claimers that I generally play-they win once and that's a wrap. I've found horses that - their performance today seemed a little puzzling-then I check to see if they won their last. Many times that's the case. Cheap claimers don't often win two-in-a-row. I forget which track it was...but recently, there was a claimer named SHINNY that had won 10 in a row. Amazing.

Another interesting tidbit...at one time, I had it in my head that horses that improved speed ratings the last 3 consecutive races-were "due" to improve further. Nope. Matter of fact, they figure to run a lesser speed rating in attempt #4. Still may be good enough to win--but not likely at this level.

Keep in mind I'm talking about claimers 4yo and up-not handicap, allowance and stakes horses.
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Old 02-23-2022, 04:35 PM   #495
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Improvement Score

Been fooling around with trying to find a way to score and rank improving horses. The 3rd race @ Penn is a puzzler, so thought I would try out what I have so far on this race:



-So looks like the play would be maybe, an exacta keying the alongside the ,,

Since they may be a bit of a price-I'll go ahead and box the -

Let's see what happens
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