Top Horse Analytics: 07/31/2017 SAR Picks/Results - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com

Augenj · 07-31-2017, 04:36 AM

Early race picks will be posted in the Race Picks link beow;
- several hours before 1st race post time
- registration required

Race picks will be posted here;
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted in the Race Results link below;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR, GP. SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, BEL, CD, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, TAM

Augenj · 07-31-2017, 11:55 AM

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v6.17.07.07b)

Race Cancellations (Equibase)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator
Full Charts (Equibase)
Race Results (THA)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

07/31/17, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Miss Kentucky [5/2] Lezcano J / Arnold. II George R. TFEL
096.7965

Bigkat and Camille [8-1] Arroyo A S / Chatterpaul Naipaul W
095.0223

True Charm [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Ferraro James W.
094.6035

First Charmer [6-1] Leparoux J R / Metivier Richard J
093.6446 6 Pray for Bourbon [4-1] Alvarado J / Hennig Mark A. SC
*Scratch* 2 Battlement (GB) [8/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Mott William I.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 4 Miss Kentucky [5/2] Lezcano J / Arnold. II George R. TSEWL
097.3766 1 Bigkat and Camille [8-1] Arroyo A S / Chatterpaul Naipaul
096.7341 6 Pray for Bourbon [4-1] Alvarado J / Hennig Mark A. FC
094.7608 5 First Charmer [6-1] Leparoux J R / Metivier Richard J
092.1247 3 True Charm [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Ferraro James W.
*Scratch* 2 Battlement (GB) [8/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Mott William I.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
INNER TURF (UP TO $14,940 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Funtastic [9/2] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. JW
099.7107

Peace Speaker [2-1] Lezcano J / McLaughlin Kiaran P. S
097.9613

Now in a Drive(b+) [5/2] Saez L / Lynch Brian A. L
097.3646

Oiseau de Guerre [8-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
097.3573 4 Mohican [10-1] Rosario J / Mott William I. FEC
095.6021 3 Makeamericagreat [8-1] Velazquez J R / LoPresti Charles
091.9205 6 Unforeseeable [20-1] Lezcano A / Serpe Philip M.
090.8373 2 Risky Town [10-1] Davis D / Tagg Barclay
*Scratch* 9 Tarpon Bay Road [8-1] Ortiz J L / Walsh Brendan P.
*Scratch* 8 Itsabigboy [5-1] Rider TBA / Pletcher Todd A.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 10 Peace Speaker [2-1] Lezcano J / McLaughlin Kiaran P. SF
099.1554 7 Now in a Drive(b+) [5/2] Saez L / Lynch Brian A. L
098.5942 4 Mohican [10-1] Rosario J / Mott William I. EC
097.6861 1 Funtastic [9/2] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C.
094.9878 5 Oiseau de Guerre [8-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
094.9402 3 Makeamericagreat [8-1] Velazquez J R / LoPresti Charles JW
094.4260 2 Risky Town [10-1] Davis D / Tagg Barclay
091.2202 6 Unforeseeable [20-1] Lezcano A / Serpe Philip M.
*Scratch* 9 Tarpon Bay Road [8-1] Ortiz J L / Walsh Brendan P.
*Scratch* 8 Itsabigboy [5-1] Rider TBA / Pletcher Todd A.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Moana [6/5] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. L
099.6462

Blenheim Palace [4-1] Ortiz J L / McGaughey III Claude R SF
098.3869

Posse Needed [6-1] Alvarado J / Hennig Mark A. EWC
096.9432

Smile Big [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. J
095.7748 4 Stay Fond [8-1] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $50,000.
(UP TO $9,000 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Joopster [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Ward Wesley A. J
098.9396

Shane's Jewel [5-1] Carmouche K / Servis John C. EWL
098.2022

Nothings Changed(b+) [6-1] Saez L / Scherer Merrill R. TF
097.2836

Day of Reckoning [8-1] Velazquez J R / Ward Wesley A.
097.1182 9 The Berber [10-1] Lopez P / Contessa Gary C.
095.7791 7 Tom's Music [12-1] Rosario J / Lukas D. Wayne
094.4153 2 Factor This [8-1] Arroyo A S / Barker Edward R.
093.0719 3 Nate Can't Wait [10-1] Reyes L R / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 10 Duncastle [4-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
*Scratch* 1 Buss the Bell [20-1] Montanez R / Persaud Randi

07/31/17, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 CLAIMING. Purse $62,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $32,000 or less not considered).
(UP TO $11,160 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Aktabantay (GB) [3-1] Carmouche K / Cox Brad H.
099.8131

No Hiding Place [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Asmussen Steven M. W
098.7062

Tale of E Dubai [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Salzman. Jr. John E. JEL
096.6333

Street Shark [20-1] Arroyo A S / Chatterpaul Naipaul
096.4899 9 Shadow Rock [5/2] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J. C
096.0865 7 Full Salute [10-1] Saez L / Englehart Chris J. F
094.9551 10 Padilla [6-1] Maragh R / Summers Chad TS
094.9521 6 Starship Wildcat [9/2] Lezcano J / Gullo Gary P.
093.2708 5 Francis Freud [20-1] Lezcano A / Metivier Richard
*Scratch* 4 Ray'swarrior [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 8 Aktabantay (GB) [3-1] Carmouche K / Cox Brad H. TS
099.2464 2 Tale of E Dubai [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Salzman. Jr. John E. JEWL
098.8983 9 Shadow Rock [5/2] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J. C
096.9539 10 Padilla [6-1] Maragh R / Summers Chad
096.8015 7 Full Salute [10-1] Saez L / Englehart Chris J.
096.6684 6 Starship Wildcat [9/2] Lezcano J / Gullo Gary P. F
094.6183 1 No Hiding Place [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Asmussen Steven M.
091.1655 5 Francis Freud [20-1] Lezcano A / Metivier Richard
090.1338 3 Street Shark [20-1] Arroyo A S / Chatterpaul Naipaul
*Scratch* 4 Ray'swarrior [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races where entered for $20,000 or less not considered) (Non-Starters for a claiming price less than $12,500 in the last 3 starts preferred).
INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Frosty Lady [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JTSE
099.2406

Morethanawarning [8-1] Castellano J / Quick Patrick J. W
098.2120

Storm Petrel [15-1] Ortiz J L / Pletcher Todd A. L
098.1096

Carmenere [10-1] Geroux F / Scherer Merrill R.
097.1456 10 My Good Venezuela [7/2] Lezcano J / Jacobson David
095.3048 3 Believe Indeed [8-1] Maragh R / Levine Bruce N.
094.6459 4 Merilore [5-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe C
093.2191 2 Indygita [15-1] Lopez P / Serpe Philip M. F
092.4964 8 Graceful Gal [20-1] Cancel E / O'Brien Leo
092.4611 13 Perina's Pride(b-) [30-1] Montanez R / Grant Gaston
090.2544 11 Madame Barbarian [20-1] Reyes L R / Metivier Richard
*Scratch* 9 Tiz Twice [20-1] Franco M / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 15 Just Got Out [3-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
*Scratch* 14 Flick of an Eye [4-1] Carmouche K / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 1 Charming Clare [9/2] Gaffalione T / Maker Michael J.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 10 My Good Venezuela [7/2] Lezcano J / Jacobson David F
099.9160 6 Carmenere [10-1] Geroux F / Scherer Merrill R. S
099.5187 3 Believe Indeed [8-1] Maragh R / Levine Bruce N. W
099.3697 5 Frosty Lady [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JTE
098.6733 7 Morethanawarning [8-1] Castellano J / Quick Patrick J.
097.3396 12 Storm Petrel [15-1] Ortiz J L / Pletcher Todd A. L
096.5658 4 Merilore [5-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe C
094.5633 8 Graceful Gal [20-1] Cancel E / O'Brien Leo
093.8519 2 Indygita [15-1] Lopez P / Serpe Philip M.
092.9636 11 Madame Barbarian [20-1] Reyes L R / Metivier Richard
090.3927 13 Perina's Pride(b-) [30-1] Montanez R / Grant Gaston
*Scratch* 9 Tiz Twice [20-1] Franco M / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 15 Just Got Out [3-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
*Scratch* 14 Flick of an Eye [4-1] Carmouche K / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 1 Charming Clare [9/2] Gaffalione T / Maker Michael J.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Non-starters For A Claiming Price of $25,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Minsky Moment [6/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. JTSFEWC
095.1474

Blame the Thief [5/2] Lopez P / Hills Timothy A. L
093.3064

Winston's Chance [6-1] Arroyo A S / Breed Debra A.
093.3045

Third Son [6-1] Santana. Jr. R / Avila A. C.
092.2111 1 Royal Ekati [4-1] Ortiz J L / Tagg Barclay
091.2961 5 Honorable Jonas [20-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Jones Eduardo E.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

India Mantuana [4-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. W
098.2767

Heavenly Score [15-1] Saez L / Terranova. II John P.
096.9919

Lady Alexandra [6-1] Lopez P / Proctor Thomas F.
096.6059

No More Babies [6-1] Leparoux J R / Bauer Philip A. FL
095.2011 8 Morticia [2-1] Lezcano J / Arnold. II George R. E
094.5173 7 Yorkiepoo Princess [20-1] Arroyo A S / Barker Edward R.
093.8283 6 Epping Forest [5-1] Ortiz J L / Clement Christophe
093.6782 2 Hidden Mystery [10-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JTC
093.4333 1 Let It Ride Mom [8-1] Rosario J / Casse Mark E.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 5 India Mantuana [4-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. W
098.8120 9 Lady Alexandra [6-1] Lopez P / Proctor Thomas F.
098.5018 6 Epping Forest [5-1] Ortiz J L / Clement Christophe
098.2622 3 No More Babies [6-1] Leparoux J R / Bauer Philip A. L
097.5868 4 Heavenly Score [15-1] Saez L / Terranova. II John P.
097.1849 1 Let It Ride Mom [8-1] Rosario J / Casse Mark E.
097.1499 2 Hidden Mystery [10-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JTC
096.5653 8 Morticia [2-1] Lezcano J / Arnold. II George R. SFE
094.1398 7 Yorkiepoo Princess [20-1] Arroyo A S / Barker Edward R.

07/31/17, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. Claiming Price $25,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000

Martino [9/2] Castellano J / Martin Carlos F. F
098.3991

Brooklyn Major [5-1] Davis D / Baker Charlton E
097.4062

Dab(b+) [7/2] Santana. Jr. R / Terranova. II John P. TS
097.0097

Souper Colors(b+) [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Trombetta Michael J. JW
096.5108 9 I Miss My Father [10-1] Lopez P / Gullo Gary P.
095.9047 15 Nut Nut [3-1] Carmouche K / Brown Bruce R.
094.9788 13 Saratoga Colonel [8-1] Franco M / Weaver George
094.4786 4 Fullback Foye [6-1] Saez L / Zito Nicholas P.
094.3669 2 Skeet Shot [15-1] Rosario J / Sciacca Gary C
093.7022 11 Run for Boston [12-1] Reyes L R / Ryerson James T.
093.5078 12 That Mr. P [30-1] Arroyo A S / Ubillo Rodrigo A. L
092.8843 8 Doublins Double [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Friedman Mitchell E.
092.1927 7 The Podiatrist [12-1] Maragh R / Mareina Michael
091.4643 3 Seasall [30-1] Howell T / Quick Patrick J.
*Scratch* 5 Little Monster Boy [30-1] Davis D / Quartarolo Anthony T.
*Scratch* 14 Lake Surprise [10-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.

Augenj · 07-31-2017, 11:56 AM

END OF PICKS

Augenj · 07-31-2017, 06:39 PM

Results have been posted for SAR in the Race Results link below.