NEW RESEARCH PROJECT PICKS

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by markgoldie

Here are the results for Friday 8/14/09:

We had one scratch and a bunch of non-qualifiers which wasn't very surprising since the ML odds on many of yesterday's selections were comparitively low. However, the qualifiers perofrmed nicely. They were:

HOO R2 Asheba's Glitter.... won Paid $7.00
LAD R9 Handsome Wish... won Paid $5.20 (went off at 4-1 but won in DH)
EVD R6 Yukon Bandit...... won Paid $13.80
EMD R7 Toss'm Again.... won Paid $10.80

That was all the qualifiers. Running total: 27 plays Return: $115.00

ROI: +112.9%

Note: This is a near-impossible run of good luck. We know this because the non-qualifiers who actually have lower odds are not performing this well. Again, I haven't kept the figures for the non-qualifiers and I'm too busy to do it but if anyone has spare time and would like to run them, all the selections are here on this thread. Also, the place and show figures would be interesting on the non-qualifiers (we can safely assume they are positive on the qualifiers). Bottom line, we cannot not expect the current numbers on qualifying selections to hold up. Still, it's interesting through 27 selections.

Will post today's when finished. Mark

indeed.
good luck

[markgoldie]

Selections for Saturday 8/15:

Ohio R3 #7 Sister Tea Ml 3/1
Ohio R6 #1 Zydaco ML 7/2
Ohio R7 #1 Levinson ML 3/1
Ohio R10 #1 Forward Wisconsin Ml 4/1
Mon R9 #9 Malibu Prayer ML 7/2
HST R5 #4 Just Like Dreads ML 10/1
EVD R1 #9 Hillbilly Jay ML 7/2
HST R8 #8 Drafting for Speed ML 3/1
PEN R4 #1 Marilyn Plays #1 ML 3/1
EMD R10 #8 Tiger Mtn Road ML 3/1

Notes: Little disappointed that after looking at so many races, this is all we come up with, but it is what it is, as they say.

GL Mark

[GameTheory]

Originally Posted by markgoldie

Selections for Saturday 8/15:

Ohio R3 #7 Sister Tea Ml 3/1
Ohio R6 #1 Zydaco ML 7/2
Ohio R7 #1 Levinson ML 3/1
Ohio R10 #1 Forward Wisconsin Ml 4/1
Mon R9 #9 Malibu Prayer ML 7/2
HST R5 #4 Just Like Dreads ML 10/1
EVD R1 #9 Hillbilly Jay ML 7/2
HST R8 #8 Drafting for Speed ML 3/1
PEN R4 #1 Marilyn Plays #1 ML 3/1
EMD R10 #8 Tiger Mtn Road ML 3/1

Notes: Little disappointed that after looking at so many races, this is all we come up with, but it is what it is, as they say.

Ohio R3 contains RUBY TEA and SISTER GAL, but not SISTER TEA...

[markgoldie]

Sorry Game, thought I could skate by with a little scam and take credit for either one (LOL). Sister Gal. Number and ML were correct. Thanks for correction.

Mark

[GameTheory]

Originally Posted by markgoldie

Sorry Game, thought I could skate by with a little scam and take credit for either one (LOL). Sister Gal. Number and ML were correct. Thanks for correction.

As if you need the help! I'm gonna go with ANGER RISING (ML 4-1) in this one...

[ryesteve]

Originally Posted by markgoldie

However, the qualifiers perofrmed nicely. Bottom line, we cannot not expect the current numbers on qualifying selections to hold up. Still, it's interesting through 27 selections.

"nicely" and "interesting"... you have a flair for the understatement

Keep rollin'...

[markgoldie]

Results for Sat. Aug. 15:

Only two horses qualified for play by closing at or above 5-2. They were:

MON R9 #9 Malibu Prayer and HST R5 #$ Just Like Dreads.

Both failed to win. So the running total now is: 29 plays, $2 win return $115.

Note: I think I need to remove Hastings from the tracks I consider. The problem is that the jockey strategy on these small tracks with hairpin turns is driven more by getting the proper positioning than anything else. In that, it's more like harness racing than t-bred racing. It's also the reason why I have never had much success in betting Charlestown. In my opinion these tracks have to be played by track specialists who know positioning game much better than I do. As for the horses, their performance is very track-specific, since those that want to go wide on the turns have little chance against the rail-huggers. These are factors that the casual handicapper just can't get a handle on. And so, better to just pass them.

Will post today's picks when they are done.

Mark

[markgoldie]

Selections for Sunday 8/16:

MON R2 #6 Charlie's Diva ML 6/1
FL R2 #7 Bruce Tickets ML 6/1
FL R4 #8 Blue Monster ML 5/1
CRC R5 #2 Trick's Honor ML 5/2
HOO R6 #7 Just Take It ML 5/2
FL R8 Miller's Mint ML 10/1
PID R4 #3 Wonderful Me ML 7/2
GG R8 #9 You're My Boy Blue ML 7/2

That's it.

Note: Not sure what's up with the FL ML odds' maker here. Maybe the normal guy is on vacation but IMO the ML odds on these three FL selections are WAY off. I base this comment not solely on my handicapping skills, but each of the three also have the top Brisnet Prime Power number which is a pretty good predictor of wagering action. Maybe he's looking to pad his odds a little for his own wagering action.

GL Mark

[markgoldie]

Results for Sun. 8/16:

Dose of reality here.

Four horses qualified and all failed to win. They were: MON R2 #6 Charlie's Diva; FL R2 #7 Bruce Tickets; PID R4 #3 Wonderful Me; GG R8 #9 You're My Boy Blue.

Running total now 33 plays, Return $115

Note: Still haven't changed my rough guess that the win rate will settle ballpark 30% and that the average odds will be ballpark 3-1, But we'll see.

Will post today's when finished.

[markgoldie]

Selections for Monday 8/17

PRM R2 #2 Live Prospect ML 5/2 (2nd choice on ML)
TDN R8 #9 Rollinretiredtires ML 9/2
MNR R9 #6 Spicey Dish ML 6/1

That's it unfortunately. Once again, there were plays that I am not listing because they are virtually certain not to make the odds' barrier. The PM selection may have a chance because the horse is the second choice on the ML.

GL Mark

[markgoldie]

Results for Monday 8/17:

Two out of the three selections were actually plays! Hard to believe. Anyway, they were TDN R8 #9 Rollinretiredtires who failed to win (although he ran a respectable second) and MNR R9 #6 Spicey Dish who won and paid $10.20.

That makes running total: 35 plays return $125.20 ROI +78.8%

Note: At least the system broke it's little mini-slump.

[markgoldie]

Selections for Tuesday 8/18/09:

FL R2 #7 Regal Enchantment ML 3/1
OHIO R7 #5 Rev Cayce ML 12/1
OHIO R10 #6 Dinkers Valentine ML 6/1
YAV R8 #1 Buck's Easy Goer ML 5/1
PEN R4 #4 Conga Gold ML 5/2
MNR R6 #7 Delaware Twitch ML 5/2 (2nd choice on ML)
MNR R10 #7 Mascaron ML 3/1

That's it. Note: Conga Gold PEN R4 is in a very large scheduled field which may allow odds minimum to be achieved. Delaware Twitch MNR R6 is the second choice on the ML so there's a chance for proper odds, but I kind of doubt it. Also, throwing in a Yavapai selection which I don't normally do, but we'll see how it goes.

GL Mark

[formula_2002]

OHIO R10 #6 Dinkers Valentine ML 6/1

you really have to love this game
I like the beast if it goes <2-1, you like it if it goes >=5/2

[ryesteve]

Originally Posted by formula_2002

you really have to love this game
I like the beast if it goes <2-1, you like it if it goes >=5/2

... so I guess if she's 2/1, she has no shot

[formula_2002]

Originally Posted by ryesteve

... so I guess if she's 2/1, she has no shot

that's even better!!