NEW RESEARCH PROJECT PICKS

[markgoldie]

Okay. Here we go for Wed. 8/12

SUF R9 #4 Annconda ML 3/1
ARL R6 #3 Brave Hunter ML 3/1
ARL R8 #6 Rose Princess ML 6/1
ARL R8 #5 Super Poni ML 5/1 (same race rule bet either or both at >=5/2)
PEN R2 #5 War Tempo ML 6/1
PEN R6 #8 Mystery Hunter ML 5/2
EVD R10 #7 Toss For Cash ML 6/1

That's it. Notes: The SUF selection is actually the second choice on the ML and we have a large scheduled field. But even with that, I think the ML is off and we may not get the right price. Brave Hunter ARL R6 is the ML fav. at 3/1 but I think we may get the price here. ARL R8 is a very balanced field and we may get the right price on both selections. Mystery Hunter PEN R6 is in a large scheduled field and Brisnet's Prime Power has him ranked 3rd. On the other hand, he has a seemingly huge early-speed advantage over the rest. Will be interesting to see his closing odds. Toss For Cash EVD R10 has a ML of 6/1, but I think the EVD ML odds' maker was having lunch when he put that number on him. Will be much lower but might make the 5/2 stipulation.

GL Mark

[CBedo]

Originally Posted by markgoldie

ARL R8 #6 Rose Princess ML 6/1
ARL R8 #5 Super Poni ML 5/1 (same race rule bet either or both at >=5/2)

I thought this seemed like a wide open race....Shows what I know, as the favorite cruised home at 5/2.

I hope since you're a "gimmick" player, you caught a piece of the exacta and/or the trifecta with your posted picks running 2-3.

$45 exacta & $315 tri

[markgoldie]

Originally Posted by CBedo

I thought this seemed like a wide open race....Shows what I know, as the favorite cruised home at 5/2.

I hope since you're a "gimmick" player, you caught a piece of the exacta and/or the trifecta with your posted picks running 2-3.

$45 exacta & $315 tri

I think it WAS an open race. I also think my two horses ran their races as expected but they were victimized by a very big effort on the part of the 8.
I AM a gimmick player but this race didn't fit my criteria for field size. Also, I generally play supers and not tri's. So far I haven't played any of the selections because as I said, it's an experiment at this point. That's not to say there's any lack of seriousness on the part of the selection process. It's based on very sound theory. Also, and I haven't said this before, I make the selections early and I'm not factoring in sloppy tracks. If anyone is playing these and the track is real bad like PEN tonight, I'd back off.

Mark

[Tape Reader]

Originally Posted by ryesteve

Isn't there some way to automate your process? Seems a shame to tank it when your ROI is still +50%.

YES! There is. Let's all petition P.A. to sell us his Auto-bet program.

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=53321

I'll start with a $700 bid.

Hey, if we all wanted to work for a living, we wouldn't be visiting this site.

[CBedo]

Originally Posted by Tape Reader

YES! There is. Let's all petition P.A. to sell us his Auto-bet program.

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...ad.php?t=53321

I'll start with a $700 bid.

Hey, if we all wanted to work for a living, we wouldn't be visiting this site.

Auto-betting is easy; it's automating what to bet that can be tough!

[Tape Reader]

Originally Posted by CBedo

Auto-betting is easy; it's automating what to bet that can be tough

"if you really want something in this life, you have to work for it. Now quiet! They're about to announce the lottery numbers." --Homer Simpson !

YES! Auto-bet, with a better chance than the lottery.

[markgoldie]

Results for Wed. 8/12:

There were 4 playable horses and none won. As mentioned earlier in the thread, the two horses in ARL R8 both performed well and at nice prices of 6-1 and 10-1 respectively. They finished pretty much next to each other but fell victim to a very sharp winner. War Tempo in the second At PEN did not fire at all in the slop and Mystery Hunter PEN R6 had his expected lead but folded.

We now have 21 plays with a win return of $68.60.

Will post today's plays shortly.

[markgoldie]

Selections for Thurs. 8/13:

MON R2 #4 Four's A Plenty ML 3/1
MON R4 #5 Fiftycentsondollar ML 5/2
CRC R6 #1 Go Go Go ML 5/2
ARL R6 Officer Frank ML 7/2
HOO R6 #6 Cowboy Contender ML 5/2.
PID R8 #4 Baby Clay ML 3/1

Unfortunately, that's it. Notes: The MON R4 and CRC R6 selections might make necessary odds because the scheduled fields are very large. The HOO selection probably won't make odds but put in just in case.

[markgoldie]

Adding two plays which I missed earlier for Thurs.:

CBY R6 #1 Silver Senorita ML 5/1
CBY R7 High Life Lady Ml 9/2

Please add to earlier plays.

Mark

[markgoldie]

Note: I am removing the CRC R6 pick of GO Go Go. I made a mistake. The horse does not qualify on recency. Sorry for error.

Mark

[GameTheory]

Officer Frank is running in AP R5, not R6....

[markgoldie]

Originally Posted by GameTheory

Officer Frank is running in AP R5, not R6....

Thanks for that correction.

Results for day:

One scratch and once again, lots of non-qualifiers. The late removal of Go Go Go was a non-issue as the odds were too low and she ran second.

Only two qualifiers, both at CBY: Silver Senorita won in the 6th and paid $9.60. High Life Lady ran 3rd in the 7th, which is a loss.

Results: 2 plays, 1 winner for $9.60

Running total: 23 plays return $78.20

Haven't been following the non-qualifiers but I know they're winning at a reasonable rate. If someone has those numbers and would like to post it, I'd appreciate it. Thanks.

Mark

[PaceAdvantage]

Originally Posted by CBedo

Auto-betting is easy; it's automating what to bet that can be tough!

Bingo!

[markgoldie]

Selections for Friday, Aug. 14:

Looks like we have more selections than normal, but I'm working the final touches as I post, so we'll see. Here goes:

HOO R2 #8 Asheba's Glitter ML 5/2
FL R5 #6 Deewanee ML 5/2
CRC R5 #6 Gianysbee ML 3/1
LAD R5 #3 Judge Parkr ML 3/1
MON R9 #1 Celestial Flight ML 7/2
Ohio R13 #3 Megone ML 6/1
PID R2 Mack's Monarch ML 4/1
LAD R9 #10 Handsome Wish ML 3/1
PEN R5 #3 Golden Tree ML 5/2
EVD R6 #3 Yukon Bandit ML 8/1
EMD R3 #2 Eyelshes ML 3/1
EMD R7 #7 Toss'm Again ML 3/1
EMD R8 #4 Hot Tub Party ML 5/2
HST R7 #1 Destiny's Home ML 7/2

That's it. Let's hope we get some playable odds. In going through the cards today, I see some big time chalk. Should be a hectic day for Anderon.

GL Mark

[markgoldie]

Here are the results for Friday 8/14/09:

We had one scratch and a bunch of non-qualifiers which wasn't very surprising since the ML odds on many of yesterday's selections were comparitively low. However, the qualifiers perofrmed nicely. They were:

HOO R2 Asheba's Glitter.... won Paid $7.00
LAD R9 Handsome Wish... won Paid $5.20 (went off at 4-1 but won in DH)
EVD R6 Yukon Bandit...... won Paid $13.80
EMD R7 Toss'm Again.... won Paid $10.80

That was all the qualifiers. Running total: 27 plays Return: $115.00

ROI: +112.9%

Note: This is a near-impossible run of good luck. We know this because the non-qualifiers who actually have lower odds are not performing this well. Again, I haven't kept the figures for the non-qualifiers and I'm too busy to do it but if anyone has spare time and would like to run them, all the selections are here on this thread. Also, the place and show figures would be interesting on the non-qualifiers (we can safely assume they are positive on the qualifiers). Bottom line, we cannot not expect the current numbers on qualifying selections to hold up. Still, it's interesting through 27 selections.

Will post today's when finished. Mark