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10-31-2022, 02:06 PM
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#1
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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Melbourne Cup 2023
First post at Flemington is 645pm Central time tonight with the big race scheduled for 11pm Central.
Going to key on Gold Trip first and second in exactas with about 5-6 other runners, including Deauville Legend, Montefilia, Lunar Flare & maybe Realm Of Flowers (who gets in at 110lbs and likes soft ground).
Deauville Legend is unproven over soft/heavy ground but has been 1st or 2nd in six of his seven lifetime starts. Maybe he lacks the seasoning to win this...???
Weather reports say turf will surely be less than good, so look for runners who like it soft to heavy.
Gold Trip is only 1-15 lifetime but is consistently in the money. Got nailed at the wire in the Caulfield Cup two back and had nowhere to go in the lane in the Cox Plate last out. Jock basically wrapped him up.
Hoping he gets a clear run at decent odds tonight.
I love this race - good luck, and who ya' got??
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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10-31-2022, 04:02 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
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Gave the race a superficial "once over" this morning to come up with contenders.
    
For me, the value plays on top are the & the to win.
I typcially don't bet two entries and if you're going with the Phantom I'm gonna play the to win  No fancy exotics for me.
Good Luck Everyone
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10-31-2022, 06:01 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2018
Posts: 246
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/  /  for me.
Think the fav is way overbet here and the placing of El Bodegon in the Cox Plate 10 days ago didn't help.
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10-31-2022, 07:00 PM
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#4
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Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,720
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Here is my take on this year's Melbourne Cup 2022!
FINAL RATINGS
 113- Has Buick in irons but hoping field size does not scare him here
108- Weight advantage and can be used to beat the heavyweights
 74- Will be involved early and if stamina is right then can hold on late-stage
46- Has drawn well and is amongst the likely favourites in this race
Good luck to everyone!
__________________
Handicapping the world year round' 
-Conley
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10-31-2022, 07:40 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 753
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Current Odds
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards...2-11-01/818511
Post scratches - It's a 22 horse field and the general public bets the down to 5/2. Talk about the madness of crowds!
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10-31-2022, 07:47 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,795
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As you can see the track is SOFT today, Melbourne has been dealing with a lot of rain of late.
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@ShaTinRacing
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10-31-2022, 09:30 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,795
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Well, the rain has arrived.
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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10-31-2022, 10:47 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,757
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there doesn't seem to be much money in the North American pools even for this big night. there was a prior race that only had $23,000 total in the wps pools.
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10-31-2022, 11:21 PM
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#10
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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10-31-2022, 11:35 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 1,047
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10-31-2022, 11:51 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Mukwonago, WI
Posts: 3,208
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__________________
"I don't always frequent message boards, but when I do, I prefer PaceAdvantage."
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11-01-2022, 12:08 AM
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#13
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,271
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
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"I love it when a plan comes together"
-George Peppard from The A-Team
Finished 1-17
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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11-01-2022, 12:10 AM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2018
Posts: 246
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
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Enjoy your chicken dinner.
Crazy race, aggressive moves early mid and late and on the soft turf the field were spread wide apart.
~650-1 ex. This is why you play international racing, forget this American crap these days with its 5 horse fields.
Last edited by Onesome; 11-01-2022 at 12:19 AM.
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11-01-2022, 02:02 AM
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#15
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Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,786
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
"I love it when a plan comes together"
-George Peppard from The A-Team
Finished 1-17
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Nice call. Hell of a race!
50 yds more the upsets em
Couldn’t believe his close in the last 50 yds
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22 and 24 w/ 
