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10-02-2017, 09:33 AM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Dime Supers
Trying out a small run of 10¢ Superfectas, 2 picks on top of 5
Ticket cost is $4.80
Might go to 20¢ tracks if this shows any promise
Monday 10/2
Dayton R2........ 4,8 / 4,8,9,6,1
Dayton R3........ 3,7 / 3,7,2,4,1
Dayton R5........ 2,8 / 2,8,5,4,1
Dayton R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,4,1,3
Dayton R10....... 4,8 / 4,8,3,5,1
Dayton R11....... 5,6 / 5,6,2,9,1
Monticello R1.... 4,3 / 4,3,2,6,1
Monticello R2.... 2,1 / 2,1,6,7,3
Monticello R4.... 2,4 / 2,4,9,1,3
Monticello R5.... 8,6 / 8,6,2,3,1
Monticello R6.... 5,2 / 5,2,7,8,1
Pocono R3........ 3,2 / 3,2,5,9,6
Pocono R6........ 5,4 / 5,4,8,6,2
Dime tracks
DTN
FHLD
HAR
HOP
MR
PCD
RCR
VD
20¢ tracks
BTVA
FLMD
GRVR
HAW
LEX
MOH
NFLD
PRC
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-02-2017, 11:14 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 94
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Ray, I have noticed that beaten favs , pacers only , post 1-5, in same class or drop, win at nice rate , next start however can ur BOT tell me if the WIN% &ROI ...when beaten fav returns as fav & not fav matters been focusing on Yonkers?Thanks in advance
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10-02-2017, 11:57 AM
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#3
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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I happen to have some data like what you're asking about for 1/1/16 - 12/31/16
Your comment on "faves in last start" is true with Impact values near the top of factor list.
Code:
Impact
Starts Win% Value ROI Factor
29728 44.22% 3.446 0.875 fave today
12364 24.58% 1.915 0.769 fave in last and won
13219 20.70% 1.613 0.739 rail start 1/2 mile
15356 20.40% 1.589 0.782 fave in last and beat
28763 19.85% 1.547 0.757 won last race
3167 19.23% 1.498 0.828 claimed in last
27547 14.57% 1.135 0.777 different track last time
9043 14.44% 1.125 0.8 rail start 5/8
104816 13.33% 1.039 0.716 tracksize1/2
237879 12.84% 1 0.744 all starters
74810 12.60% 0.982 0.735 tracksize5/8
21994 12.45% 0.97 0.822 tracksize1
36259 12.10% 0.943 0.797 tracksize7/8
2518 11.68% 0.91 0.819 rail start 1
4074 11.19% 0.872 0.688 rail start 7/8
26910 10.09% 0.786 0.699 driver is trainer
209545 9.17% 0.714 0.725 ML>2.9
Best in category in race
23133 24.10% 0.84 My Speed
23133 28.90% 0.81 TM Speed
23133 22.10% 0.77 Yr Earnings$
23133 22.00% 0.76 TM Class
23133 20.40% 0.75 Top UDR Driver
23133 19.10% 0.75 Top W% Trainer
23133 17.20% 0.75 Early Speed
23133 19.30% 0.74 2Yr Win%
23133 19.60% 0.71 Fastest FT
23133 16.30% 0.70 Fastest 4QT
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-02-2017, 12:36 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 94
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Thanks again
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10-02-2017, 05:04 PM
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#5
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Add some more pokies
Pocono R4........ 8,4 / 8,4,6,5,2
Pocono R5........ 5,6 / 5,6,9,7,1
Pocono R7........ 1,9 / 1,9,4,5,2
Pocono R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,3,8,9
Pocono R9........ 1,5 / 1,5,3,9,2
Pocono R10....... 2,8 / 2,8,9,1,7
Pocono R14....... 6,9 / 6,9,5,7,1
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-03-2017, 09:39 AM
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#6
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Yesterday was not good, collected ~$25 on ~$90 bet
Changing the format today, Single key on top of 5....$6.00 tickets..$96 bet
Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-04-2017, 04:42 AM
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#7
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Yesterday much better with 2 nice hits at Dayton and Pokie
Code:
Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2 64.35
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6 8.90
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5 13.17 dh for 2nd and 3rd collect twice
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5 3.86
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3 9.80
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4 53.17
$96 in $153.25 back
Only have 6 for today
Hoosier R6....... 6 / 7,4,5,1,2
Monticello R2.... 4 / 7,5,8,1,2
Monticello R3.... 2 / 5,1,6,4,3
Monticello R4.... 4 / 2,9,3,1,5
Monticello R5.... 2 / 4,1,5,3,6
Monticello R6.... 1 / 5,2,6,4,3
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-04-2017, 05:37 AM
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#8
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Adding some 20 centers for Northfield
Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-04-2017, 08:26 PM
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#9
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
Adding some 20 centers for Northfield
Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1
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Race 13 isn't a Super-fecta it's a Super-Hi5
(The robot was confused )
Playing
Northfield Race 13
$0.20 PEN on 2/5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9
for $14.40 cost
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-05-2017, 05:48 AM
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#10
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Results:
Code:
Track Race Collect
HOP . . .6 . . . --
MR . . . 2 . . . --
MR . . . 3 . . . --
MR . . . 4 . . . $19.73
MR . . . 5 . . . $3.93
MR . . . 6 . . . $11.53
NFLD . . .1 . . .$10.16
NFLD . . .2 . . .$6.00
NFLD . . .6 . . . --
NFLD . . .7 . . .$96.06
NFLD . . .13 . . .--(Hi-5)
NFLD . . .15 . . .$5.54
Bet $110.40 return $152.94
Dime Supers for Thursday ("T" = 10)
Dayton R3........ 3 / 6,5,4,7,1
Dayton R7........ 5 / 6,2,3,1,4
Freehold R4...... 5 / 8,3,2,1,4
Harrington R4.... 2 / 1,5,3,8,4
Harrington R10... 5 / 1,3,6,4,2
Hoosier R4....... 5 / 1,8,T,2,3
Hoosier R7....... 5 / 7,1,6,8,2
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 8,2,4,9,1
Monticello R2.... 5 / 1,4,8,2,3
Monticello R6.... 3 / 1,5,4,2,6
Monticello R8.... 3 / 4,8,1,2,5
Monticello R10... 3 / 4,1,7,2,5
Vernon R3........ 1 / 7,8,2,5,3
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-06-2017, 05:56 AM
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#11
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Yesterday just 2 small collects, $1.76 and $14.95 at Monti
Dimes for Today, Oct 6
Dayton R1........ 5 / 1,2,7,3,4
Dayton R3........ 4 / 5,9,6,1,2
Dayton R5........ 4 / 2,1,9,5,3
Dayton R6........ 1 / 3,5,7,2,4
Dayton R10....... 2 / 3,1,8,5,4
Dayton R11....... 5 / 4,1,6,2,3
Dayton R12....... 5 / 4,9,8,6,1
Dayton R14....... 5 / 1,8,7,6,2
Freehold R4...... 4 / 3,6,8,1,2
Hoosier R1....... 6 / 4,2,7,5,1
Hoosier R6....... 5 / 4,3,7,1,2
Hoosier R8....... 6 / 5,1,8,4,2
Vernon R3........ 4 / 2,7,6,5,1
Vernon R4........ 4 / 6,2,1,5,3
Vernon R6........ 3 / 4,5,2,1,6
Vernon R7........ 3 / 2,4,1,5,6
Mohawk R3........ 3 / 6,4,2,1,5
Mohawk R4........ 6 / 3,9,4,1,2
Mohawks are 20¢ tickets ($12)
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-06-2017, 01:59 PM
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#12
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Freehold Race 4 10¢ Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool
Off to a good start
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-06-2017, 08:20 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Central New Jersey
Posts: 1,467
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
Freehold Race 4 10¢ Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool
Off to a good start
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Awesome!
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10-07-2017, 05:40 AM
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#14
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Thx Longshot, best dime I ever spent ...
Yesterday 3 hits, all were the 4th race of the card
Fhld $238.34
Moh $15.70
Vd $4.85
(Vernon R6 was refunded, ...don't know why. Six horse field??)
Bet $114, collect $285.89
This run so far
Bet $518.40 collect $632.79 net +114.39
Supers for Saturday
Dayton R3........ 5 / 4,2,6,8,1
Dayton R5........ 2 / 5,6,1,3,4
Dayton R6........ 6 / 5,1,4,2,3
Dayton R8........ 5 / 1,7,2,3,4
Dayton R13....... 2 / 1,7,8,4,5
Dayton R14....... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4
Freehold R1...... 1 / 5,3,4,2,6
Freehold R2...... 2 / 3,1,4,5,6
Freehold R3...... 2 / 1,4,5,3,6
Freehold R4...... 2 / 8,1,6,5,3
Freehold R10..... 4 / 3,6,5,1,2
Freehold R11..... 3 / 1,4,5,2,6
Hoosier R2....... 1 / 3,4,6,5,2
Hoosier R3....... 5 / 4,2,6,3,1
Hoosier R4....... 2 / 4,6,8,5,1
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 3,4,6,1,2
Hoosier R9....... 4 / T,8,9,5,1
Hoosier R10...... 5 / 4,7,8,6,1
Pocono R1........ 5 / 1,7,8,4,2
Pocono R2........ 4 / 2,7,3,1,5
Pocono R3........ 1 / 4,6,8,2,3
Pocono R5........ 5 / 1,7,4,2,3
Pocono R6........ 3 / 1,9,2,8,4
Pocono R8........ 1 / 6,3,2,7,4
Pocono R11....... 1 / 4,2,8,3,5
Pocono R12....... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5
Pocono R14....... 5 / 1,4,2,3,6
Rosecroft R7..... 4 / 8,2,1,5,3
Rosecroft R8..... 5 / 2,8,7,1,3
Rosecroft R10.... 1 / 9,2,6,5,3
Vernon R3........ 5 / 2,4,1,3,6
Vernon R9........ 6 / 7,4,1,5,2
Northfield R1.... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4
Northfield R7.... 1 / 9,8,3,2,4
Northfield R10... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5
Mohawk R5........ 4 / 3,6,T,1,2
Mohawk R7........ 5 / 6,9,4,1,2
Mohawk R8........ 5 / 4,6,7,1,2
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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10-07-2017, 07:03 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,556
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Great work Ray!
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