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10-09-2022, 06:36 AM
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#406
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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YESTERDAY'S REVISED RESULTS
REV EX AND WIN BET, RET/BET SIZE = $0.92
LOST 8 CENTS ON THE DOLLAR
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-09-2022, 10:15 AM
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#407
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
REVIEWED 853 RACES AND FOUND 290 TO BE PLAYABLE FOR A STRONG PROFIT
BOTH A WIN PLAY AND A REVESE PLAY PRODUCED A PROFIT COMBINING 60% WINNERS.
NOW WE TAKE THE TEST TO FUTURE RACES.
"CHECK THE MATH"  
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REVIEWED RACES COMPARED TO THE FUTURE RACES
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-09-2022, 07:17 PM
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#408
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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REVIEWED RACES COMPARED TO THE FUTURE RACES
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-09-2022, 11:00 PM
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#409
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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I CAN CHANGE THE WIN BET SIZE AND INCREASE THE (WIN RETURN $ / WIN BET $ ) AS INDICATED ON THE ATTACHED
INCREASE FROM $0.95 TO $1.09
AND INCREASE FROM $1.31 TO $1.37
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-09-2022, 11:20 PM
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#410
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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I can make a fortune when I know the results too.
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10-09-2022, 11:43 PM
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#411
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt
I can make a fortune when I know the results too.
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But you can analyze about 1000 races, create selection and bet size formulas and then apply them to new races and produce profits?
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-10-2022, 01:03 AM
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#412
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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Just as well as you can.
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10-10-2022, 07:56 AM
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#413
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crusty old guy
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Snarkytown USA
Posts: 3,916
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
But you can analyze about 1000 races, create selection and bet size formulas and then apply them to new races and produce profits?
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But it accomplishes nothing real. Nada. Zip. Zilch. You think you're some kind of god, but you are just Sisyphus the Statistician.
__________________
"Don't believe everything that you read on the Internet." -- Abraham Lincoln
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10-10-2022, 09:33 AM
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#414
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,819
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It's not winning until you spend it someplace off track.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-10-2022, 10:57 AM
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#415
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
It's not winning until you spend it someplace off track.
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You have a point. That’s what my stockbroker friend once told me, however what I am doing here is trying to learn how to win betting horses. Once I accomplish that, its 24/7, 365 days of the year, fulling automated betting into an ADW. The spending is incidental!!
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 10-10-2022 at 10:58 AM.
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10-10-2022, 11:09 AM
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#416
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,819
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Well, if it's incidental, I would be happy to help you disperse funds! 
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-10-2022, 12:07 PM
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#417
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,541
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I'm trying to figure out why you don't have a large enough sample by now to split it and test more thoroughly on the second sample (instantly) that way. After that, if it comes up positive on the second set of races I can see testing it day by day with real money . This whole thing with back-fitting to a prior sample and then testing it day by day from there, I suppose it's something to keep one busy but chances are that's all it will do. If you take 500 races and find something that shows a profit on 100-200 'playable' races, the chances of that actually winning again on another set of 500 or so races with 100-200 plays is actually very very small. I think most people would be surprised to find that 19 out of 20 times when you have something that 'beats' a 500 race sample with 100-200 playable races you have absolutely nothing but a fit to noise. Then you have people talking about ROIs on trainer angles with 20 plays. Don't get me started. Small sample sizes, the new opium of the people I suppose.
Last edited by MJC922; 10-10-2022 at 12:09 PM.
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10-10-2022, 12:23 PM
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#418
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by headhawg
But it accomplishes nothing real. Nada. Zip. Zilch. You think you're some kind of god, but you are just Sisyphus the Statistician.
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i don't think sealing the hole in the cockpit window with duct tape would hold. it only has a tensile strength of 40 pounds, however I'll watch the rest of it tonight. the acting seems good and i served in Korea for 18 months and worked with Korean men and women. They were a fine group of engineers and architects. Good memories, '57 to '58
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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10-10-2022, 12:24 PM
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#419
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,736
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
I'm trying to figure out why you don't have a large enough sample by now to split it and test more thoroughly on the second sample (instantly) that way. After that, if it comes up positive on the second set of races I can see testing it day by day with real money . This whole thing with back-fitting to a prior sample and then testing it day by day from there, I suppose it's something to keep one busy but chances are that's all it will do. If you take 500 races and find something that shows a profit on 100-200 'playable' races, the chances of that actually winning again on another set of 500 or so races with 100-200 plays is actually very very small. I think most people would be surprised to find that 19 out of 20 times when you have something that 'beats' a 500 race sample with 100-200 playable races you have absolutely nothing but a fit to noise. Then you have people talking about ROIs on trainer angles with 20 plays. Don't get me started. Small sample sizes, the new opium of the people I suppose.
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OP: read the above over and over again.
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10-10-2022, 12:44 PM
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#420
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
i don't think sealing the hole in the cockpit window with duct tape would hold. it only has a tensile strength of 40 pounds, however I'll watch the rest of it tonight. the acting seems good and i served in Korea for 18 months and worked with Korean men and women. They were a fine group of engineers and architects. Good memories, '57 to '58
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google the question.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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