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Old 07-16-2022, 10:43 PM   #136
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today 70 races,45 are playable races 16 winners=36% winners
$return/$bet = $0.97, $1 return =$0.92
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Old 07-16-2022, 10:45 PM   #137
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NEXT 200 PLAYABLE RACES WILL TELL THE TAIL
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Old 07-16-2022, 11:28 PM   #138
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NEXT 200 PLAYABLE RACES WILL TELL THE TAIL
200 PLAYABLE RACES WILL TELL THE TALE
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Old 07-17-2022, 05:06 PM   #139
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Code:
Saratoga*	Race 8	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
8	1	18
8	2	15
8	3	0
8	4	227
8	5	0
8	6	0
8	7	33
8	8	    
8	9	0
8	10	0
8	11	0
8	12	0
8	13	0
8	14	0
8	15	0
8	16	0
292.47	0.00	292.47
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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Old 07-17-2022, 06:10 PM   #140
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SHORT DAY AT THE OFFICE

today 18 races,9 are playable races 5 winners=56% winners
$return/$bet = $1.35, $1 return =$1.35


RESULTS FOR PLAYABLE AND NON PLAYABLE RACES

Attached Images
File Type: gif RESULTS FOR PLAYABLE AND NON PLAYABLE RACES.GIF (177.9 KB, 11 views)
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-17-2022 at 06:17 PM.
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Old 07-17-2022, 07:55 PM   #141
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I am sincerely looking forward to you firing in your $1,000 exactas on the UK races and wondering why all your testing isn't holding up.
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Old 07-17-2022, 10:11 PM   #142
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I am sincerely looking forward to you firing in your $1,000 exactas on the UK races and wondering why all your testing isn't holding up.

not including todays races

eliminating three uk outliers with bet size >$1000,
there were 20 wins in 53 playable races $return/$bet = $1.04


with so few samples, what may be an outlier today may not be one tomorrow
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-17-2022 at 10:15 PM.
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Old 07-17-2022, 10:28 PM   #143
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ADDED INFORMATION

Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt View Post
I am sincerely looking forward to you firing in your $1,000 exactas on the UK races and wondering why all your testing isn't holding up.

not including todays races

PLAYABLE RACES:
eliminating three uk outliers with bet size >$1000,
there were 20 wins in 53 playable races $return/$bet = $1.04


NON-PLAYABLE RACES:
NO uk outliers
there were 6 wins in 20 playable races $return/$bet = $0.69






with so few samples, what may be an outlier today may not be one tomorrow
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Old 07-17-2022, 11:43 PM   #144
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The problem isn't with your mythical bet sizes, it is with your mythical returns.
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Old 07-18-2022, 12:08 PM   #145
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I can't recall how you pick your playable vs. toss races, but I assume the selection is actually done before the race?
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Old 07-18-2022, 12:16 PM   #146
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Originally Posted by elhelmete View Post
I can't recall how you pick your playable vs. toss races, but I assume the selection is actually done before the race?
quite so :)

however most of the time i's the final tote board sums

I'm impressed how the calculations make that happen through out the system
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-18-2022 at 12:28 PM.
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Old 07-18-2022, 12:23 PM   #147
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt View Post
The problem isn't with your mythical bet sizes, it is with your mythical returns.
the system is not a myth, it's based on real life data

by the way here is another uk $1000 bet I just reviewed from todays cards. perhaps it's coming out of the outlier plays. remember, you can always move the decimal point as far to the left that makes you comfortable. $100, $10 or $1

Attached Images
File Type: gif uk carmel race 6 07-18-2022.GIF (53.7 KB, 4 views)
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-18-2022 at 12:25 PM.
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Old 07-18-2022, 01:42 PM   #148
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Code:
Finger Lakes*	Race 2	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
6	1	230
6	2	34
6	3	0
6	4	107
6	5	0
6	6	    
6	7	0
6	8	0
6	9	0
6	10	0
6	11	0
6	12	0
6	13	0
6	14	0
6	15	0
6	16	0
371.29	0.00	371.29
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
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Old 07-18-2022, 01:47 PM   #149
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Code:
Colonial Downs*	Race 1	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
3	1	7
3	2	0
3	3	    
3	4	0
3	5	15
3	6	524
3	7	0
3	8	0
3	9	0
3	10	0
3	11	0
3	12	0
3	13	0
3	14	0
3	15	0
3	16	0
546.58	0.00	546.58
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
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Old 07-18-2022, 02:35 PM   #150
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Code:
Horseshoe Indianapolis*	Race 1	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
6	1	0
6	2	537
6	3	0
6	4	826
6	5	273
6	6	    
6	7	0
6	8	0
6	9	0
6	10	0
6	11	0
6	12	0
6	13	0
6	14	0
6	15	0
6	16	0
1,636.64	0.00	1,636.64
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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