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Old 07-12-2022, 12:00 AM   #121
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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after 38 playable races
return/bets =$1.08


$1 return was only $0.58

after 154 playable races; return/bet =$1.07
$1 return was $1.14
38% winners
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-12-2022 at 12:06 AM.
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Old 07-12-2022, 03:38 PM   #122
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Code:
Finger Lakes*	Race 6	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
5	1	0
5	2	121
5	3	0
5	4	0
5	5	    
5	6	226
5	7	0
5	8	0
5	9	0
5	10	0
5	11	0
5	12	0
5	13	0
5	14	0
5	15	0
5	16	0
347.48	0.00	347.48
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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Old 07-12-2022, 06:27 PM   #123
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Maybe I have developed a new and improved bet size calculator!! we will see from heron in.
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Old 07-12-2022, 11:51 PM   #124
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after 34 playable races
return/bets =$0.93

$1 return, $0.98



after 188 playable races; return/bet =$1.05
$1 return was $1.11
36% winners
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-12-2022 at 11:55 PM.
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Old 07-13-2022, 01:55 PM   #125
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Are you still making your choices between 0 and 1 minutes to post?
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Old 07-13-2022, 03:20 PM   #126
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elhelmete View Post
Are you still making your choices between 0 and 1 minutes to post?
Perhap 30 percent.. the rest are final boards
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Old 07-13-2022, 03:57 PM   #127
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Code:
Parx Racing*	Race 7	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
2	1	0
2	2	    
2	3	211
2	4	0
2	5	2
2	6	0
2	7	29
2	8	4
2	9	0
2	10	0
2	11	0
2	12	0
2	13	0
2	14	0
2	15	0
2	16	0
246.85	0.00	246.85
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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Old 07-13-2022, 04:12 PM   #128
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
Code:
Parx Racing*	Race 7	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
2	1	0
2	2	    
2	3	211
2	4	0
2	5	2
2	6	0
2	7	29
2	8	4
2	9	0
2	10	0
2	11	0
2	12	0
2	13	0
2	14	0
2	15	0
2	16	0
246.85	0.00	246.85
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
perhaps to your point, the significance of late money.


Code:
 WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
3	1	0
3	2	336
3	3	    
3	4	49
3	5	0
3	6	0
3	7	11
3	8	0
3	9	0
3	10	0
3	11	0
3	12	0
3	13	0
3	14	0
3	15	0
3	16	0
395.75	0.00	395.75
2,052.02	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
Parx Racing*	Race 7	395.75
track	race #	total bet
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Old 07-14-2022, 06:57 AM   #129
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what an easy game.
 
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Code:
SA Turffontein*	Race 2	
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
4	1	87
4	2	0
4	3	36
4	4	    
4	5	0
4	6	2
4	7	10
4	8	0
4	9	18
4	10	0
4	11	0
4	12	0
4	13	0
4	14	0
4	15	0
4	16	0
151.34	0.00	151.34
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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Old 07-14-2022, 12:34 PM   #130
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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Code:
WIN#	PLACE#	$BET
6	1	65
6	2	102
6	3	0
6	4	6
6	5	12
6	6	    
6	7	39
6	8	0
6	9	0
6	10	0
6	11	0
6	12	0
6	13	0
6	14	0
6	15	0
6	16	0
224.28	0.00	224.28
TOTAL	TOTAL	$0.00
BET	RETURN	$1 return
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" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
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Old 07-14-2022, 10:22 PM   #131
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
Maybe I have developed a new and improved bet size calculator!! we will see from here on in.
out of a data base of 278 horses, given my favorite win % >=.30 and number of playable exacta combinations<=5; 49 wins in 121 races =40% winners
return/bet =$1.15, $1 return = $1.28.


today 27 races,15 are playable races 7 winners=47% winners
return/bet = $1.10, $1 return =$1.35,
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-14-2022 at 10:26 PM.
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Old 07-15-2022, 07:57 PM   #132
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today 30 races,19 are playable races 6 winners=32% winners
return/bet = $1.50 , $1 return =$0.97
,

this was not an easy day
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Last edited by formula_2002; 07-15-2022 at 07:58 PM.
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Old 07-16-2022, 10:57 AM   #133
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what a difference a day makes. only took 5 races to get ahead (went 2 for 5) to make a $return/ $bet = $1.58

If I was at the craps table I'd walk away, but this is not craps, the odds are with me
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Old 07-16-2022, 02:39 PM   #134
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Place any bets yet?
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Old 07-16-2022, 06:03 PM   #135
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elhelmete View Post
Place any bets yet?
not yet

I have 400 races in my current database
200 are playable . $return / $ bet = 1.17 , $1 return =1.11 with no outliers.

If my returns in the next 200 playable races are close to the above, I'll make some casual bets. the real betting would start when i get the program that will send my bets to the adr and if I have the desire to deal with this.
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