Is This a good Longshot?

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker

I hate Aquedump.

You got something better?

A cold beer.

Race #9 Churchill

Strive 15-1 Shipper from Remington and Von Hemel

Sweet Tapper 10-1 Beat the in a Grade 3.

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by jay68802

A cold beer.

Race #9 Churchill

Strive 15-1 Shipper from Remington and Von Hemel

Sweet Tapper 10-1 Beat the in a Grade 3.

Race #7 Churchill


Principe Guilherme 10-1 First time starter for Asmussen with Santana up.

[Lemon Drop Husker]

Ha.

I'll take the cold beer.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #3:


Runaway Lute 10-1

The trainer says let's put blinkers on. Has plenty of early gas already and with the addition of blinkers might not stop running till Sunday.

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker

Ha.

I'll take the cold beer.

And by the way, if we ever run into each other here in Nebraska, I will buy you one.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #6:


Great Stuff 8-1


In for $ for the first time since 16. Will excuse the last, poor break behind a slow pace. Before that, twice within a length at a slightly higher class level. Outside draw and a stalk and pounce running style gives this guy a clear run.

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Aqueduct Race #6:


Great Stuff 8-1


In for $ for the first time since 16. Will excuse the last, poor break behind a slow pace. Before that, twice within a length at a slightly higher class level. Outside draw and a stalk and pounce running style gives this guy a clear run.

Hey Jay

Great pick

[jay68802]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Aqueduct Race #6:


Great Stuff 8-1


In for $ for the first time since 16. Will excuse the last, poor break behind a slow pace. Before that, twice within a length at a slightly higher class level. Outside draw and a stalk and pounce running style gives this guy a clear run.

Pays $16.00 $7.10 $4.40 and keys a $30.00 exacta, $125.24 tri, $403.50 super, a $44.50 double and a $166.50 pick 3. Profitable, and that's what we like.

[FakeNameChanged]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Pays $16.00 $7.10 $4.40 and keys a $30.00 exacta, $125.24 tri, $403.50 super, a $44.50 double and a $166.50 pick 3. Profitable, and that's what we like.

Nice work when it all comes together!

How my day almost went. I picked a 20-1 shot(Nick's Posse) in first race at Parx. He was so far back, 16 lengths at 2f and 4f that he literally wasn't in the picture. At 6f he was still 9 lengths back when he started to run. He closed to lose by a nose to a 21-1 horse. So close but still a loser. Returned 18.00 for 2nd, but the 3 exactas I keyed with him nada. After that my focus was crap, made some mental errors in 2nd and 4th, watched the 3rd and 5th and called it a day.

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jay68802

Aqueduct Race #6:


Great Stuff 8-1


In for $ for the first time since 16. Will excuse the last, poor break behind a slow pace. Before that, twice within a length at a slightly higher class level. Outside draw and a stalk and pounce running style gives this guy a clear run.

Hey Jay,

You might be on to something Turf might be the way to go as far as longshots at Aqueduct!!!

So far this season, Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have only won 5 of their last 21 attempts on the Turf since November!!!

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...85#post2240985



This to me is where you are getting the best bang for your buck going against them at Aqueduct!!!

Morning Lines less than 3-1 have been consistently getting beat in this situation and I imagine the same is true for the actual Favorites on the Turf!!!

They have been 0 for their last 9 on the Turf since November 9th, 2017!!!

[jay68802]

Parx Race #7:


Mystery Train 10-1

Get Haddock on a early runner, trainer does well in this situation. The steady drop in class is a concern, but looks to be lone front runner in this group. If the speed is holding today....

[jay68802]

Parx Race #8:


Bombshell 12-1

Trainer and jockey are good. Has to let the and kill each other off and then make a run.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #7:


May Be A Diamond 10-1


Finished 4 lengths off at this level in last race, after a lay off. Trainer does well second off and sticks with the jockey. Can't help but notice the big improvement, in a second off a lay off race, this guy showed in breaking his maiden. Bullet work after last says that he is ready for the improvement again.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #9:


She's Cookin 8-1

Jockey and trainer have good %'s here and showing some nice works. MSW to Md Clm is in play and stretching out for he first time. Not much improvement needed here to put her on top.

[jay68802]

Aqueduct Race #8:


Sandy Bell 15-1

Just trying to steal one on the front here.