Santa Anita 5/25 analysis

[ChartingHorseValue]

My complete analysis of every race with a letter grade and most importantly a fair odds line for every horse can be found at www.chartinghorsevalue.com

Any questions, let me know. Join my Facebook page or follow me on twitter if you find any value in what I'm providing.

Thanks,
Jeff

[CheckMark]

Wow looks like you took some good thought and time into this spreadsheet/program pretty neat!

Good luck today!

[ChartingHorseValue]

Honestly, this card if fun but there is very little value to find at first glance.

The best value on the whole card is only $10 in Race 4 #4 and that horse is the favorite and likely gets bet down. I'd play that horse if I got 2-1.

Hopefully the tote helps me find some good bets as we progress through the day.

For the stakes races:
Race 5 - I like Oleksandra at 5-2
Race 9 - I like Without Parole at 7-2
Race 11 - I like Beautiful Lover at 5-1 but don't think I'll get that. Another option is Mucho Unusual at 5-1 and this horse odds might drift higher than morning line.

Again, all the detail can be found on the website.

Good luck to everyone.
Jeff

[Nitro]

SA- Tote Analysis

Race #1 – 6-7 W/ 2-1-4 @ 3 mins to post

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

SA- Tote Analysis

Race #1 – 6-7 W/ 2-1-4 @ 3 mins to post

Results:

Race #1 = 7-1-8-2-3 = WIN - EX

POS	#	Horse	         Win	Place	Show
1st:	7	Big Runnuer	$8.00	$5.00	$3.60
2nd:	1	City Rage		$8.40	$5.40
3rd:	8	Torosay			        $3.80
4th:	2	Galloping Mischief			
5th:	3	Lincoln City		
	
•	$2.00 EXACTA 7-1        $55.00
. 

[Nitro]

SA- Tote Analysis

Race #2 – 6-2 W/ 5-3 @ 20 mins to post – Early money but not much expected value

[ChartingHorseValue]

SA R2 - honestly this is a pass race but for fun I'll take currently 6-1.

Correction: This is for R2

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

SA- Tote Analysis

Race #2 – 6-2 W/ 5-3 @ 20 mins to post – Early money but not much expected value

Results:

Race #2 = 2-6-5-4 = WIN - EX & TRI BX

POS	#	Horse	        Win	Place	Show
1st:	2	Hendavid	$5.60	$2.80	$2.20
2nd:	6	Dyn O Mite		$2.80	$2.20
3rd:	5	Claw			        $2.60
4th:	4	Foxborough	
		
•	$2.00 EXACTA 2-6         $13.40
•	$2.00 TRIFECTA 2-6-5            $36.60
. 

[Nitro]

SA- Tote Analysis

Race #3 – 4-2 W/ 5-6 @ 3 mins to post

[ChartingHorseValue]

Originally Posted by Nitro

Results:

Race #2 = 2-6-5-4 = WIN - EX & TRI BX

POS	#	Horse	        Win	Place	Show
1st:	2	Hendavid	$5.60	$2.80	$2.20
2nd:	6	Dyn O Mite		$2.80	$2.20
3rd:	5	Claw			        $2.60
4th:	4	Foxborough	
		
•	$2.00 EXACTA 2-6         $13.40
•	$2.00 TRIFECTA 2-6-5            $36.60
. 

I've seen you make some nice picks but your exacta 2-6 with 5-4 costs $12 and returns $13.4. If you box all four it costs you $24.

The Trifecta box also costs $48 and returns $36.60
The Superfecta box also cost $48 and returns $0

[ChartingHorseValue]

SA3

I'll take the

could certainly win this crappy race

[ChartingHorseValue]

The is interesting at 14-1

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by ChartingHorseValue

I've seen you make some nice picks but your exacta 2-6 with 5-4 costs $12 and returns $13.4. If you box all four it costs you $24.

The Trifecta box also costs $48 and returns $36.60
The Superfecta box also cost $48 and returns $0

That's not the betting techniques used with 2 Keys in short fields.
Besides limited value was also indicated

[ChartingHorseValue]

No problem

[ChartingHorseValue]

Originally Posted by ChartingHorseValue

SA3

I'll take the

could certainly win this crappy race

7/2 winner in 6 horse race....not bad.