Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Off Topic > Off Topic - General


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 01-11-2012, 07:24 PM   #1
windoor
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 404
How long does America have?

How Long Does America Have?

"About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new constitution in 1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh, had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier:

"A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship."

"The average age of the world's greatest civilizations from the beginning of history has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:

1. From bondage to spiritual faith;

2. From spiritual faith to great courage;

3. From courage to liberty;

4. From liberty to abundance;

5. From abundance to complacency;

6. From complacency to apathy;

7. From apathy to dependence;

8. From dependence back into bondage"



If true, where would you say we are now?

Regards,

Windoor
__________________
Divide by "SEVEN"
And Remember
The numbers have hinges
windoor is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 07:28 PM   #2
LottaKash
Registered User
 
LottaKash's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 6,843
.


= 7=


.
__________________
.
"Cursed be the man who puts his trust in man" - Jer 17:5 (KJV)
LottaKash is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 08:17 PM   #3
Shemp Howard
Refugee from Bowie
 
Shemp Howard's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,598
6.5
Shemp Howard is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 10:18 PM   #4
sammy the sage
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: central fla.
Posts: 4,874
12/21/12
sammy the sage is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 10:35 PM   #5
boxcar
Registered User
 
boxcar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 46,884
Quote:
Originally Posted by LottaKash
.


= 7=


.
You know...I was thinking the same thing! I was waffling between 6 and 7, but after some reflection decided on 7! Great minds think alike.

Boxcar
__________________
Consistent profits can only be made on the basis of analysis that is far from obvious to the majority. - anonymous guru
boxcar is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 10:56 PM   #6
menifee
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,745
Quote:
Originally Posted by boxcar
You know...I was thinking the same thing! I was waffling between 6 and 7, but after some reflection decided on 7! Great minds think alike.

Boxcar
I don't accept this premise, but if we are going to play the game we're at a 4. People need to have some perspective. Please look at this chart.

http://visualizingeconomics.com/2011...ita-1871-2009/
menifee is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 11:18 PM   #7
Tom
The Voice of Reason!
 
Tom's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,888
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Tom is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 11:19 PM   #8
boxcar
Registered User
 
boxcar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 46,884
Quote:
Originally Posted by menifee
I don't accept this premise, but if we are going to play the game we're at a 4. People need to have some perspective. Please look at this chart.

http://visualizingeconomics.com/2011...ita-1871-2009/
And your perspective is very one-dimensional. For starters, are you aware that the GDP is not a measurement of the standard of living in an economy?

Boxcar
__________________
Consistent profits can only be made on the basis of analysis that is far from obvious to the majority. - anonymous guru
boxcar is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-11-2012, 11:50 PM   #9
mostpost
Registered User
 
mostpost's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: North Riverside, Il.
Posts: 16,109
Quote:
Originally Posted by windoor
How Long Does America Have?

"About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new constitution in 1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh, had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier:

"A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship."

"The average age of the world's greatest civilizations from the beginning of history has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:

1. From bondage to spiritual faith;

2. From spiritual faith to great courage;

3. From courage to liberty;

4. From liberty to abundance;

5. From abundance to complacency;

6. From complacency to apathy;

7. From apathy to dependence;

8. From dependence back into bondage"



If true, where would you say we are now?

Regards,

Windoor
To start off the Scottish professor of history was Alexander Tytler not Alexander TYler. Second, there is no record that Tytler wrote "The Fall of the Athenian Republic" or "The Decline and Fall of The Athenian Republic," which were the supposed source of the above quote.

The origins of the above are in dispute, but they are unlikely to be from Professor Tytler. In fact they most likely originate in the twentieth century rather than the eighteenth.
http://www.lorencollins.net/tytler.html

Whoever made the statement, their premise is faulty. In a democracy people vote for their leaders. Every one votes for the leaders they think will best serve their interests. The guy that works at the Seven-Eleven does it. The guy who runs GM does it. The Senior Citizen does it. The College graduate does it. But most people also vote based on what is best for the country as a whole. Most people do not vote based on what the government is going to give them personally. They vote based on what policies will best help them to help themselves.

Every form of government is temporary. Why is it deemed correct to say that a democracy has within it the seeds of its own destruction and not say the same about a dictatorship. Should we cease to strive for democracy because some time in the future it may fail. Can we not also say that a dictatorship must ultimately fail because it does not have the backing of its citizens.

The American democracy has lasted 225 years. The Soviet dictatorship lasted seventy years. The Nazi dictatorship lasted less than twenty years. Democracy in Great Britain predates ours by centuries.
The Soviet dictatorship was not preceded by a democracy which had grown soft and self indulgent. It was preceded by monarchy which had become oppressive and tyrannical. The Nazi dictatorship followed a democracy, but one which was very weak and not capable of governing.

Both forms came to power not through democratic means, but through a combination of deceit and violence.
__________________
"When you come at the King, You'd best not miss." Omar Little
mostpost is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 12:04 AM   #10
LottaKash
Registered User
 
LottaKash's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 6,843
Quote:
Originally Posted by mostpost
ToBoth forms came to power not through democratic means, but through a combination of deceit and violence.
Well "rationalizer boy", we've got the first part out of the way.....Gee, I wonder what comes next...?
__________________
.
"Cursed be the man who puts his trust in man" - Jer 17:5 (KJV)
LottaKash is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 12:13 AM   #11
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
Quote:
Originally Posted by mostpost
Should we cease to strive for democracy because some time in the future it may fail.
Since you picked on the poster for omitting a letter from the alleged author's name, I'm going to be a prick and ask if this sentence is missing a swirly thing over the period to label it a question. (?)

Come on. Is that really what you got out of this? That the author (whoever it is and from whatever century is comes from) and/or poster think that democracy is a poor idea?

Maybe I'm the dummy, but the point I see made here is that democracy exposes the stubbornness of man's shortsightedness in governing and in being governed. The problem lay not with the system itself, but in man's unwillingness to learn from history and recognize the symptoms of inevitable failure regardless of how clearly the "disease" can be staged.
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 12:17 AM   #12
menifee
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,745
Quote:
Originally Posted by boxcar
And your perspective is very one-dimensional. For starters, are you aware that the GDP is not a measurement of the standard of living in an economy?

Boxcar
Choose whatever metric you want. The average standard of living for an American in 2012 is far higher than it was in 1912 and much higher than in 1812. Do you believe it is not?
menifee is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 12:52 AM   #13
LottaKash
Registered User
 
LottaKash's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 6,843
Quote:
Originally Posted by menifee
Choose whatever metric you want. The average standard of living for an American in 2012 is far higher than it was in 1912 and much higher than in 1812. Do you believe it is not?
So, pick a number..... Just for the fun of it....

best,
__________________
.
"Cursed be the man who puts his trust in man" - Jer 17:5 (KJV)
LottaKash is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 01:27 AM   #14
mostpost
Registered User
 
mostpost's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: North Riverside, Il.
Posts: 16,109
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
Since you picked on the poster for omitting a letter from the alleged author's name, I'm going to be a prick and ask if this sentence is missing a swirly thing over the period to label it a question. (?)

Come on. Is that really what you got out of this? That the author (whoever it is and from whatever century is comes from) and/or poster think that democracy is a poor idea?

Maybe I'm the dummy, but the point I see made here is that democracy exposes the stubbornness of man's shortsightedness in governing and in being governed. The problem lay not with the system itself, but in man's unwillingness to learn from history and recognize the symptoms of inevitable failure regardless of how clearly the "disease" can be staged.
I didn't pick on anybody. The letter was missing from the original attribution, but the important thing is that Professor Tytler did not write the manuscript attributed to him and most likely did not make the statement.

I think that the willingness of conservatives on this board to embrace this idea gives proof of their innate pessimism and distrust of their fellow human beings. Your pal Boxcar rails on the evil and corruption of his fellow human beings almost daily. I have rarely heard a conservative on this board consider that a person might do the right thing rather than the profitable thing.
__________________
"When you come at the King, You'd best not miss." Omar Little
mostpost is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-12-2012, 01:34 AM   #15
johnhannibalsmith
Registered User
 
johnhannibalsmith's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
Quote:
Originally Posted by mostpost
I didn't pick on anybody. The letter was missing from the original attribution, but the important thing is that Professor Tytler did not write the manuscript attributed to him and most likely did not make the statement.

I think that the willingness of conservatives on this board to embrace this idea gives proof of their innate pessimism and distrust of their fellow human beings. Your pal Boxcar rails on the evil and corruption of his fellow human beings almost daily. I have rarely heard a conservative on this board consider that a person might do the right thing rather than the profitable thing.
I was just teasing you about the question mark. You're such a pessimist.
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."

-Robert James Smith, 1989
johnhannibalsmith is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:43 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.