The Bad Beat thread.

[EMD4ME]

Originally Posted by ReplayRandall

I thought you were talking about the Portland Meadows Pick-6 Jackpot?

Payout tonight- $0.20 Pick 6 Jackpot 8-8-7-2-4-5 (6 correct) 37,919.46

Per Portland Meadows website:

Estimated Post Time of Race 9 and the start of the P-6 Sequence.
• National Racing Club Sweepstakes to be run at 2 furlongs for Thoroughbreds.
• Participating jockeys are randomly assigned mounts and on top of the usual purse distributions, will earn points and compete for jockey day bonuses.
• All typical race pools to be offered plus the Rainbow 6 jackpot bet for the 6 race sequence.
• $0.20 base, $1 minimum
• 40% to the single winner carryover pool
• 22% takeout
• *ORC Rule OAR 462-200-0645 applies

I saw that too deep in their website but that looks like their track announcer wrote it as it's so poorly written.

It's the opposite that applies and has applied for the first 3 weeks. If more than 1 person hit the P6, only 60% is paid out and 40% GOES TO THE SINGLE WINNER CARRYOVER POOL.

Meaning, 40% of every day that there is not a jackpot winner, will go to the monster pot.

[EMD4ME]

Correction to post 225, I meant to say 60% is split and 40% carries over to the single winner monster pot.

[EMD4ME]

Originally Posted by EMD4ME

I'm going to post in advance of a bad beat....

I was rushed for time, handicapped the first 5 legs of the $100,000 Portland Pick 6 very well.

I was inundated with phone calls while capping and quickly watched some replays for the last leg. I saw that I loved the 4 over all the horses he ran against recently.

As I quickly scanned the field, I made a mental note to use the 5 as a CO A. As I got distracted, I forgot that I wanted to use the 5 (rushing) and just singled the 4 in the last leg of the Pick 6.

$22,000 was bet. $100,000 guaranteed jackpot.

Fav lost leg 1. 7/2 shot won.

Fav lost leg 2. 6/1 shot won.

Fav lost leg 3. 30/1 BOMB WON.

Fav won leg 4 but a luke warm one. 5/2

I have 346 in race 14 to the 4 in Race 15 for the pick 6.

But my heart KNOWS the 5 will win race 15 and because of my rush job, I will miss out on 100K.

I did realize my error after the 1st leg of the Pick 6 and played the Carryover Pick 5 with the 5 in race 15 but I don't want to cash that bet......

I am literally hoping that the 5 gets scratched or dumps the jock or bucks right now.


Yes, I have to get past race 14 for now but........I do know the feeling of impending doom when it hits me.

Will be back to update shortly.

For those rooting at home, have 346 in race 14 with the 4 in race 15.

So, in retrospect, not seeing the 5, really only cost me $17,644 (today's pool minus 22%) X 60%=$10,587 Divided by 2 winners=

$5,293

If I see the 5 early enough, I also have the pick 5 another 4 times. I had it to the 4 4X . 4 tickets each got $2,200 for the P5. If I had it another 3 times, that would be 8 tickets on the combo. P5 would've paid $1100. $1100 times 4 is $4,400. Did cash it once at $2,200, a net loss of $2,200 in the Pick 5.

$5,293 plus $2,200 is $7,493.

I won't lose sleep over that, thankfully.

What I will lose sleep over is not knowing if the 4 was a sole ticket combo.

He was BUMPED BY THE 5 right at the gate WHO THEN HERDED the 6 out 5 paths, which caused a chain reaction of the 789&10 losing all shot after the start.

Are there NO INQUIRIES in these 2F Races? I have not seen 1 yet in 4 weeks.

[Stillriledup]

This is more of an 'interesting' beat than a bad beat.

In today's race 2 at Aqu I had 2 small bets, 7 all all 1 and all 7 all 1 in the super.

At every point in the race, my bet had zero chance to cash. The 7 was floundering going nowhere and the 1 was off slow and trailing.

Magically, the 7 appeared on the outside to get a miracle 2nd when he was running in quicksand the entire way, the 1 rifles down the center to be in a 3 way photo. I just missed the super because the 1 got 3rd somehow, but to get that close to cashing is a miracle in and of itself. I don't normally feel that I have zero chance on the far turn and then I'm in a photo for the win.

[EMD4ME]

Can I back date a bad beat?

Macagone.

Nov of 14 TURF race. He was the 3. Had pick 5 for a buck paying $27,000 plus (for a buck). Couldn't lose. But F Jara, found a way to burn him in a Turf Route, got suckered into a duel by 10, then opened about 18 on the field.

Dumb ass floundered and got caught despite being up 7 or so at the 1/8 pole.


Every time that horse wires a field on turf, I cringe as I had him pounded BEFORE others caught on to him.

I even gave a pick 5 ticket to my buddy. He played it for .50 cents. Singled to Macagone to close. He almost threw up as the race unfolded.

Me, I lose $50,000 on a jockey error and turn the page in 30 seconds. (of course after going on a rant that all of AQU hears )

[cj]

Originally Posted by EMD4ME

Can I back date a bad beat?

Macagone.

Nov of 14 TURF race. He was the 3. Had pick 5 for a buck paying $27,000 plus (for a buck). Couldn't lose. But F Jara, found a way to burn him in a Turf Route, got suckered into a duel by 10, then opened about 18 on the field.

Dumb ass floundered and got caught despite being up 7 or so at the 1/8 pole.


Every time that horse wires a field on turf, I cringe as I had him pounded BEFORE others caught on to him.

I even gave a pick 5 ticket to my buddy. He played it for .50 cents. Singled to Macagone to close. He almost threw up as the race unfolded.

Me, I lose $50,000 on a jockey error and turn the page in 30 seconds. (of course after going on a rant that all of AQU hears )

He got the best TimeformUS Speed Figure in the race if that is any consolation!

[EMD4ME]

Originally Posted by cj

He got the best TimeformUS Speed Figure in the race if that is any consolation!

You blindsided me GOOD on that one! Nothing like a sudden laugh from the belly.

[thespaah]

Originally Posted by EMD4ME

Can I back date a bad beat?

Macagone.

Nov of 14 TURF race. He was the 3. Had pick 5 for a buck paying $27,000 plus (for a buck). Couldn't lose. But F Jara, found a way to burn him in a Turf Route, got suckered into a duel by 10, then opened about 18 on the field.

Dumb ass floundered and got caught despite being up 7 or so at the 1/8 pole.


Every time that horse wires a field on turf, I cringe as I had him pounded BEFORE others caught on to him.

I even gave a pick 5 ticket to my buddy. He played it for .50 cents. Singled to Macagone to close. He almost threw up as the race unfolded.

Me, I lose $50,000 on a jockey error and turn the page in 30 seconds. (of course after going on a rant that all of AQU hears )

If there is one thing about this game I find infuriating.. These sudden and illogical reversals in tactics.
Speedd speed speed for the entire amount of lines on the program. And then......Breaks fine and lays off the lead loses interest( something fornt runners will do if they can't be with the lead of the pack) and finishes in a another zip code. GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

[Stillriledup]

i just needed the 9 to pass the 7 at aqu in the 5th to hit the tri, how do i not pass a non turf horse who battled tooth and nail the entire way with the fave and i have a strong closer with back class who sat perfectly, ugh.

[cj]

Originally Posted by Stillriledup

i just needed the 9 to pass the 7 at aqu in the 5th to hit the tri, how do i not pass a non turf horse who battled tooth and nail the entire way with the fave and i have a strong closer with back class who sat perfectly, ugh.

Bad beats don't apply to chalk.

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by cj

Bad beats don't apply to chalk.

So if I'm alive to a million dollar pick 6 with an 8/5 in the last leg, there's no way I can take a bad beat?

[cj]

Originally Posted by Stillriledup

So if I'm alive to a million dollar pick 6 with an 8/5 in the last leg, there's no way I can take a bad beat?

It wouldn't be chalk then, would it, if it were going to pay a million dollars?


Getting beat out of a fairly short priced tri that would have paid even less if you hit, no.

[Stillriledup]

Originally Posted by cj

It wouldn't be chalk then, would it, if it were going to pay a million dollars?


Getting beat out of a fairly short priced tri that would have paid even less if you hit, no.

Depends on the amount of money involved and not necessarily if its 'chalky'

[Stillriledup]

Had a 265 tri for my life at mountain in the 7th looked like the guy stopped riding the 5, couldn't pass the 4 for 3rd who caved in

[Tall One]

So...nobody saw the 6th at GP today? Figured that might draw some ire as opposed to a race 6 months ago.

No betting interest. Waiting on the 6th at KEE to make sure my longshot finished off the board...