OK guys last day for posting these for a while, slim pickings again, but managed to dig up 4 races
SA1 1M Mdn50000
#5 Twirling Derby sits third on the line at 3-1, the two horses above him both have antivalue, in this case long layoffs. This one is the longest shot in a short field of 5 going of at 12-1ML, valuecapper says 9-2 for a bet but I will not take less than 6-1. Love the drop from MSW where the horse showed decent speed for 1/2M in a sprint. Stretches out and adds Lasix today which may be key.
Pick #5 @ 6-1 or better
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GP7 1 1/16M Turf Clm16000
Looking at a horse that should be a decent price here based upon recent form, #10 Midnight Gem. Horse is third on the line at 7-1, ML10-1. She had a decent race 2 back coming of a layoff at 1M on the dirt, last race on the surface was terrible at 6.5F, but it has the look of a glorified workout to me ran just 3L off the lead and then kind of dropped back evenly. Jock switch is not that bad as Ive seen Berrios run well with some longshots on turf here. Want at least 10-1 on this one
Pick: #10 @ 10-1 or better
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GG3 1M Clm4000n2l
Second on the line is #4 Fort York at 7/2, ML 6-1, has the top MP pace Fig for the race, and may get an easy lead. Like the last race, first of the layoff showing decent speed to 3/4 before stopping vs better. Im gonna want 6-1 on this one.
Pick #4 @ 6-1 or better
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GP11 1M turf Clm30000n2lx
Tied for the top spot on the oddsline is #1 Tide Storm. She should be a price and is 15-1ML. Making her first attempt at the distance but show a decent race 3 back at 7.5F. This will be her second race off a layoff, her last race 5F looks kind of like a tightener to me as she ran around the track fairly evenly before picking up a few lengths in the stretch, I want 8-1 on this one.
Pick #1 @ 8-1 or better
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Best of Luck to everyone today, and thanks again for all of your kind words.
Matt
beautiful exacta too
Matt
