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Old 08-18-2020, 02:26 PM   #1
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formula's cold win bet on the favorite (as it approached the gate)

These plays are worth a thread of their own.

I broke a set of recent 171 races into two parts

I started with the 49 set of races.
there were 12 wins the total bet size was 53 units, it returned 91 units. My bet size $1 return was $1.71
a flat bet returned $0.92 on the dollar

I tested that against a set of 122 races
there were 41 wins. My bet size $1 return was $1.53.
a flat bet returned $1.14 on the dollar.

The win horse selection is the favorite when I down load the tote board data, generally as the horses are approaching the gate.
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Old 08-18-2020, 02:41 PM   #2
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FR Cabourg (H)* Race 3
3.67 units $5
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Old 08-18-2020, 04:17 PM   #3
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FR Cabourg (H)* Race 6
3.39 #9
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Old 08-18-2020, 06:20 PM   #4
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Indiana Grand* Race 7


69 #8
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Old 08-18-2020, 06:43 PM   #5
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Quote:
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Indiana Grand* Race 7


69 #8
winner. $1 return at the track was a very large $3.60
my total return on my bet size was $248
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Old 08-18-2020, 07:18 PM   #6
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Indiana Grand* Race 9


12 #9

Last edited by formula_2002; 08-18-2020 at 07:22 PM.
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Old 08-18-2020, 08:32 PM   #7
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Quote:
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Indiana Grand* Race 9


12 #9
9 wins $1 track return $1.4

my bet size returned $16.8
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Old 08-20-2020, 10:25 AM   #8
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FORMULA-1 BET SIZE/ RETURN CHART

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Old 08-20-2020, 11:21 AM   #9
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BREAKDOWN

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Old 08-20-2020, 11:30 AM   #10
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FR Divonne Les Bain(H)* Race 7


FACTOR-1 VALUE IS <2.. NO BET ON #2
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Old 08-20-2020, 01:15 PM   #11
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FR Divonne Les Bain(H)* Race 7


FACTOR-1 VALUE IS <2.. NO BET ON #2
2 wins, next race lost at <2
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Old 08-20-2020, 02:45 PM   #12
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Belterra Park* Race 3


46 #5
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Old 08-20-2020, 02:58 PM   #13
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Belterra Park* Race 3


46 #5
5 wins track $1 return is $1.60
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Old 08-20-2020, 05:02 PM   #14
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Laurel* Race 7


#15 an outlier size bet.. I'll past
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Old 08-20-2020, 05:07 PM   #15
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Laurel* Race 7


#15 an outlier size bet.. I'll past
it wins at 3/2.
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