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03-28-2015, 01:18 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Owatonna, MN
Posts: 791
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Florida Derby
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03-28-2015, 01:23 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Owatonna, MN
Posts: 791
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Besides the obvious three contenders, the Romans trained Team Valor horse Indianaughty is kind of interesting to me.
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03-28-2015, 09:45 AM
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#3
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Not a big fan of the race unless I can get  Materiality at 4/1 or better, which won't happen.
Might try to create some exotics with the  and  involved to spice it up.
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03-28-2015, 11:03 AM
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#4
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The 19th Hole
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Russellville, KY
Posts: 308
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I'm high on Ami's Flatter. Looking for more improvement 2nd blinkers and Lasix.
__________________
"Success is how high you bounce when you hit bottom." - Gen. George S. Patton
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03-28-2015, 11:27 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 52
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Big Bomb Possible
I think Jack Trip has a legitimate shot.
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03-28-2015, 12:16 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by MNslappy
Besides the obvious three contenders, the Romans trained Team Valor horse Indianaughty is kind of interesting to me.
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I will be shocked if one of the obvious 3 don't win......good luck with your plays.
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03-28-2015, 01:25 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 222
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by SecretAgentMan
I will be shocked if one of the obvious 3 don't win......good luck with your plays.
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My upset play here is the  . As far as I am concerned he lost to the most impressive 3yo going Carpe Diem in last. He will need a dream trip.
Good Luck
__________________
Flint At The Fetlock
chasing the bone, flies at the nostrils plunder
- IA @1978
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03-28-2015, 02:54 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
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I mostly bet  / /  . These four are the class of the field but there's always room for something to screw up the exotic plays. Ami has a chance here but I'm only using as a saver wager in the top and middle of small exotics plays.
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03-29-2015, 02:05 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,207
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Pretty good race. I wrote a recap on it.
Florida Derby results analysis
In the article, I have an explanation on how to use a visual check to determine whether a race was fast or not. When the field is spread thin, it's a sign the final time was quick (even if it wasn't quick on raw time).
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03-29-2015, 02:43 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Pretty good race. I wrote a recap on it.
Florida Derby results analysis
In the article, I have an explanation on how to use a visual check to determine whether a race was fast or not. When the field is spread thin, it's a sign the final time was quick (even if it wasn't quick on raw time). |
Nice writeup & I agree, these raw tines at GP are very misleading. Something was definitely done to the track to make it so dull & slow.
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03-29-2015, 08:50 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 422
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a 110 Beyer is huge
If the track variant was approximately a 30 for the Fla Derby and Materiality runs 5 seconds over the track record which is a variant of 25 why does he get such an enormous Beyer figure of 110?
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03-29-2015, 09:55 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Bismarck, ND
Posts: 1,625
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The track may have been slow but the leaders in the FL Derby ran a mile about the same time as Commissioner's race and only 1.7 seconds faster than the maidens in the 9th. I have a hard time getting excited about it.
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03-29-2015, 09:57 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by sbcaris
If the track variant was approximately a 30 for the Fla Derby and Materiality runs 5 seconds over the track record which is a variant of 25 why does he get such an enormous Beyer figure of 110?
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Stan, you've been around for a while, why do you think Materiality received a 110? And Upstart a 108?
We all know something isn't right about the Gulfstream track, its way off, like running in quicksand.
The advantage I see of horses running on deep, dull tracks like Gulfstream is like a human running on a sandy beach.......it makes your legs stronger & & you get fit better, & that translates to an easier run at Churchill possibly.
I'm not saying these horses will win the KD, because we still have 4 big preps ahead.......I'm.waiting for a horse to pop up & stand out.
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03-29-2015, 10:26 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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I see that Violette was upset at the GP stewards for rushing to make the result official. He wanted Ortiz to claim foul against JRV but the result was already official.
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03-29-2015, 11:09 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,753
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Valuist
I see that Violette was upset at the GP stewards for rushing to make the result official. He wanted Ortiz to claim foul against JRV but the result was already official.
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Only reason I would be pissed at the stewards is they took down Upstart 2 races back for the exact thing Materiality did to Upstart yesterday......& why did the stewards make the race official do quickly?
They wanted Pletchers Materiality in the KD, bottom line........so here's Pletcher again with a possibility of 4 horses in the KD, & Baffert with 2 or 3.
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