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Old 10-07-2018, 12:07 PM   #91
TheOracle
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The coupled entry disappointed yesterday and finished 2nd as the Morning Line Favorites overall had a very tough day!!!

Let's continue to track this situation for the rest of the Belmont season!!!
Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018



There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B)
  • Win payouts came to $61.20
  • At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
  • Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)

There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!

Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
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Old 10-07-2018, 12:31 PM   #92
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018


There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B)
  • Win payouts came to $61.20
  • At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
  • Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)

There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!

Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
Oracle, on the surface this looks OK, until you see that your top payout- Out of Orbit is $26. I always judge any methodology by whether it can withstand the highest payout being omitted, yet the total results still showing +ROI.

Having stating my criteria for success, if you omit your top payer, the results would show $52 total wagered, with a return of $35.20, for a loss of over 32%.....I advise to not play any "knife-edge" methodologies, where 1 result makes the player a small win or a huge loss.
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Old 10-07-2018, 12:41 PM   #93
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Oracle, on the surface this looks OK, until you see that your top payout- Out of Orbit is $26. I always judge any methodology by whether it can withstand the highest payout being omitted, yet the total results still showing +ROI.

Having stating my criteria for success, if you omit your top payer, the results would show $52 total wagered, with a return of $35.20, for a loss of over 32%.....I advise to not play any "knife-edge" methodologies, where 1 result makes the player a small win or a huge loss.
Hey Randall,

Yeah Out of Orbit gave a good pop at 2-1 in the Morning Line but I like that they are winning at 40.7%

I will still keep an eye on these!!!
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Old 10-18-2018, 12:50 PM   #94
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Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018



There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B)
  • Win payouts came to $61.20
  • At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
  • Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)

There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!

Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
There is another coupled entry today in the 4th at Belmont

Code:
1	10-18-2018	4th race	1	Millies Party Boy (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	J A Frangella Jr.	5/2#	Turf
2	10-18-2018	4th race	1A	Looking At U Kid (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	J A Frangella Jr.	5/2#	Turf
Let's see if they can remain a coupled entry and come up with the win today at Belmont!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 10-18-2018 at 12:51 PM.
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Old 10-18-2018, 11:21 PM   #95
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There is another coupled entry today in the 4th at Belmont

Code:
1	10-18-2018	4th race	1	Millies Party Boy (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	J A Frangella Jr.	5/2#	Turf
2	10-18-2018	4th race	1A	Looking At U Kid (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	J A Frangella Jr.	5/2#	Turf
Let's see if they can remain a coupled entry and come up with the win today at Belmont!!!
One of the Frangella combo managed to run 3rd

Let's still keep an eye on this situation for the remainder of the Belmont season!!!
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Old 10-19-2018, 11:51 AM   #96
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Today 10-19

Coupled entries at Belmont today after scratches:

Race 8: 1 Testosterstone 8-1
1A Small Bear 8-1


Let's see how well they do today!
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Old 10-19-2018, 12:17 PM   #97
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Coupled entries at Belmont today after scratches:

Race 8: 1 Testosterstone 8-1
1A Small Bear 8-1


Let's see how well they do today!
Hey Check,

You beat me to it today hahahaha lol !!!

Code:
1	10-19-2018	8th race	1	Testosterstone (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	G Sciacca	8/1#	Turf
2	10-19-2018	8th race	1A	Small Bear (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	G Sciacca	8/1#	Turf
Let's see if they can at least hit the board at a price!!!
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Old 10-19-2018, 12:33 PM   #98
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Hey Check,

You beat me to it today hahahaha lol !!!

Code:
1	10-19-2018	8th race	1	Testosterstone (NY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	G Sciacca	8/1#	Turf
2	10-19-2018	8th race	1A	Small Bear (KY)	Allowance Optional Claiming	One And One Sixteenth Miles	G Sciacca	8/1#	Turf
Let's see if they can at least hit the board at a price!!!
Sciacca will be up against it today as Clement's horses have been firing on the Turf lately as 5 of his last 11 have won on the Turf!!!



Let's see what Sciacca can do today!!!
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Old 10-19-2018, 01:27 PM   #99
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Sciacca will be up against it today as Clement's horses have been firing on the Turf lately as 5 of his last 11 have won on the Turf!!!



Let's see what Sciacca can do today!!!
Letís go Sciacca! Coupled entry+winning trainer = good bet
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Old 10-19-2018, 06:48 PM   #100
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1 scratches and left with 1a. Finished 4th and was left with energy .
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Old 10-20-2018, 09:06 AM   #101
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1 scratches and left with 1a. Finished 4th and was left with energy .
Hey Check

I was hoping the #1A Small Bear could have gotten 3rd but he was off the board!!!
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Old 10-24-2018, 12:22 PM   #102
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There is another coupled entry today in the 5th at Belmont


Code:
1	10-24-2018	5th race	1	Marquet Legacy (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	C Clement	4/1#	Turf
2	10-24-2018	5th race	1A	Posses Number (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	J T Ryerson	4/1#	Turf
Let's see how they do today they have been 1 for their last 4 since October 4th!!!
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Old 11-08-2018, 12:21 PM   #103
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There is another coupled entry today in the 5th at Belmont


Code:
1	10-24-2018	5th race	1	Marquet Legacy (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	C Clement	4/1#	Turf
2	10-24-2018	5th race	1A	Posses Number (NY)	Maiden Special Weight	Six Furlongs	J T Ryerson	4/1#	Turf
Let's see how they do today they have been 1 for their last 4 since October 4th!!!
These 2 were off the board last month at Belmont coupled entries were 1 for their last 5 as of this last post at Belmont!!!
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Old 11-08-2018, 12:27 PM   #104
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I will run the numbers for 1/1A at Aqueduct and keep tabs on the ROI. I need to get that algorithm going so things are more automated!!!
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Old 04-21-2020, 12:57 PM   #105
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I am revisiting this and need to run the numbers for the coupled entries for Aqueduct from November 2018 for 1 and 1A up to the last racing day

I will have these in another post
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