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10-07-2018, 12:07 PM
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#91
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
The coupled entry disappointed yesterday and finished 2nd as the Morning Line Favorites overall had a very tough day!!!
Let's continue to track this situation for the rest of the Belmont season!!!
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Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018
There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B) - Win payouts came to $61.20
- At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
- Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)
There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!
Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
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10-07-2018, 12:31 PM
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#92
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Buckle Up
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,324
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018
There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B) - Win payouts came to $61.20
- At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
- Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)
There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!
Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
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Oracle, on the surface this looks OK, until you see that your top payout- Out of Orbit is $26. I always judge any methodology by whether it can withstand the highest payout being omitted, yet the total results still showing +ROI.
Having stating my criteria for success, if you omit your top payer, the results would show $52 total wagered, with a return of $35.20, for a loss of over 32%.....I advise to not play any "knife-edge" methodologies, where 1 result makes the player a small win or a huge loss.
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10-07-2018, 12:41 PM
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#93
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
Oracle, on the surface this looks OK, until you see that your top payout- Out of Orbit is $26. I always judge any methodology by whether it can withstand the highest payout being omitted, yet the total results still showing +ROI.
Having stating my criteria for success, if you omit your top payer, the results would show $52 total wagered, with a return of $35.20, for a loss of over 32%.....I advise to not play any "knife-edge" methodologies, where 1 result makes the player a small win or a huge loss.
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Hey Randall,
Yeah Out of Orbit gave a good pop at 2-1 in the Morning Line but I like that they are winning at 40.7%
I will still keep an eye on these!!!
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10-18-2018, 12:50 PM
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#94
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Paul, I took a look at 1/1A coupled entries for the season at Belmont since opening day April 27th, 2018
There were 54 coupled entries which means 27 betting interests (not including 2/2B) - Win payouts came to $61.20
- At $2 per win wager betting costs were $54 (27 betting interests @ $2 per win wager)
- Profit was $7.20 for a return of 13.33% for the season (I chopped off the decimals)
There were 11 winners out of the 27 betting interests for a win percentage of 40.7% and so far a 13.33% return per $2 win wager!!!
Let's see if we can get more wins from the 1/1A coupled entries at Belmont for the remainder of the season!!!
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There is another coupled entry today in the 4th at Belmont
Code:
1 10-18-2018 4th race 1 Millies Party Boy (NY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J A Frangella Jr. 5/2# Turf
2 10-18-2018 4th race 1A Looking At U Kid (NY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J A Frangella Jr. 5/2# Turf
Let's see if they can remain a coupled entry and come up with the win today at Belmont!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 10-18-2018 at 12:51 PM.
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10-18-2018, 11:21 PM
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#95
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
There is another coupled entry today in the 4th at Belmont
Code:
1 10-18-2018 4th race 1 Millies Party Boy (NY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J A Frangella Jr. 5/2# Turf
2 10-18-2018 4th race 1A Looking At U Kid (NY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J A Frangella Jr. 5/2# Turf
Let's see if they can remain a coupled entry and come up with the win today at Belmont!!!
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One of the Frangella combo managed to run 3rd
Let's still keep an eye on this situation for the remainder of the Belmont season!!!
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10-19-2018, 11:51 AM
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#96
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Conley
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,156
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Today 10-19
Coupled entries at Belmont today after scratches:
Race 8: 1 Testosterstone 8-1
1A Small Bear 8-1
Let's see how well they do today!
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10-19-2018, 12:17 PM
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#97
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
Coupled entries at Belmont today after scratches:
Race 8: 1 Testosterstone 8-1
1A Small Bear 8-1
Let's see how well they do today!
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Hey Check,
You beat me to it today hahahaha lol !!!
Code:
1 10-19-2018 8th race 1 Testosterstone (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles G Sciacca 8/1# Turf
2 10-19-2018 8th race 1A Small Bear (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles G Sciacca 8/1# Turf
Let's see if they can at least hit the board at a price!!!
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10-19-2018, 12:33 PM
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#98
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Check,
You beat me to it today hahahaha lol !!!
Code:
1 10-19-2018 8th race 1 Testosterstone (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles G Sciacca 8/1# Turf
2 10-19-2018 8th race 1A Small Bear (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles G Sciacca 8/1# Turf
Let's see if they can at least hit the board at a price!!!
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Sciacca will be up against it today as Clement's horses have been firing on the Turf lately as 5 of his last 11 have won on the Turf!!!
Let's see what Sciacca can do today!!!
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10-19-2018, 01:27 PM
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#99
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Conley
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,156
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Sciacca will be up against it today as Clement's horses have been firing on the Turf lately as 5 of his last 11 have won on the Turf!!!
Let's see what Sciacca can do today!!!
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Let’s go Sciacca! Coupled entry+winning trainer = good bet
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10-19-2018, 06:48 PM
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#100
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Conley
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,156
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1 scratches and left with 1a. Finished 4th and was left with energy .
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10-20-2018, 09:06 AM
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#101
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
1 scratches and left with 1a. Finished 4th and was left with energy .
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Hey Check
I was hoping the #1A Small Bear could have gotten 3rd but he was off the board!!!
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10-24-2018, 12:22 PM
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#102
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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There is another coupled entry today in the 5th at Belmont
Code:
1 10-24-2018 5th race 1 Marquet Legacy (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs C Clement 4/1# Turf
2 10-24-2018 5th race 1A Posses Number (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J T Ryerson 4/1# Turf
Let's see how they do today they have been 1 for their last 4 since October 4th!!!
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11-08-2018, 12:21 PM
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#103
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
There is another coupled entry today in the 5th at Belmont
Code:
1 10-24-2018 5th race 1 Marquet Legacy (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs C Clement 4/1# Turf
2 10-24-2018 5th race 1A Posses Number (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs J T Ryerson 4/1# Turf
Let's see how they do today they have been 1 for their last 4 since October 4th!!!
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These 2 were off the board last month at Belmont coupled entries were 1 for their last 5 as of this last post at Belmont!!!
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11-08-2018, 12:27 PM
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#104
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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I will run the numbers for 1/1A at Aqueduct and keep tabs on the ROI. I need to get that algorithm going so things are more automated!!!
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04-21-2020, 12:57 PM
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#105
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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I am revisiting this and need to run the numbers for the coupled entries for Aqueduct from November 2018 for 1 and 1A up to the last racing day
I will have these in another post
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