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11-02-2020, 12:39 PM
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#6496
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Also, for the heck of it...
these three caught my eye @ MVR today
2ND BLACKTIEANDTUX 6-1
9TH ACADIA FLEET 9/2/
9TH YACHT 20-1
Good Luck
-NCG
Last edited by NorCalGreg; 11-02-2020 at 12:49 PM.
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11-02-2020, 11:40 PM
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#6497
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Parx Consensus 11-03 (before scratches)
Robin's Destiny (#8, 15/1) is entered Parx Racing on Tuesday, November 3rd, 2020 in Race 10.
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11-03-2020, 01:34 PM
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#6498
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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I know I show this play alot...but I gotta tell ya it's soooo sweet to win without doin' nothin!
...on most of my programs you can sort the top-2 Platinum Power into a list of the top-2 power horses per race. The method is simply look for anything 10-1 or better, on the list. I've tweaked it a little to attempt better accuracy but it stands alone with no adjustment necessary.
Today was sweet @ Parx--was only one play (in the 1st race) DONNIE BRASCO who (as the only method play) paid an even $15.00 to win.
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11-05-2020, 03:06 PM
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#6499
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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GGX RANDOM
After all my misspent youth @GGX...see if I learned anything.
LONGSHOTS WITH A CHANCE:
1ST JAZZ STREET 12-1
2ND WATCHFUL EYE 10-1
3RD REGAL LADY 5-1
4TH HAWK'S RISING 20-1
5TH GOPREACHIT 12-1
7TH ON ICE 10-1
MAIDEN METHOD SELECTIONS:
5TH MARVELOUS MARVELLA 6-1
5TH FICTIONAL 20-1
5TH LA REINE'S LEGACY 6-1
7TH ON ICE 10-1
Good Luck figuring out what to do with those 5th race maidens.
I keyed LA REINE'S LEGACY w/ the 3 others in (including longshot a 5th race tri.
ONE OF THE MYSTERIES OF HORSE-BETTING
You ever notice a horse that will look great (on paper)...but just refuse to win? They'll burn up a ton of money in the process. Then FINALLY...when the hapless bettors just give up on the horse-- he wins.
This isn't a handicapping method, so to speak...more of a gut feeling or intuition. There is such a horse entered today @ GGX:
7TH RACE #7 BILLTOWN BANNER 10-1
Another proven money burner--with no less than five 2nd-place finishes in his last 10 starts. If the crowd gives up on him, I'll take that bet. Besides Billtown's trainer is $$$$$.
Last edited by NorCalGreg; 11-05-2020 at 03:08 PM.
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11-06-2020, 12:28 PM
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#6500
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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SPOT PLAYS
Didn't do much at all yesterday. Did notice a couple of those Cramer Maiden plays today:
GPW 4TH GRAN PATRON 12-1
DM 6TH MOJO MARIA 12-1
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11-06-2020, 01:26 PM
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#6501
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Also take a look at CONFORTO 12-1 in the 7th @ AQ. This horse seems to have great tactical speed--so why only 2 lifetime wins? With new trainer M Maker & Morales aboard...he could turn it around, even at this high level.
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11-06-2020, 04:30 PM
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#6502
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
I know I show this play alot...but I gotta tell ya it's soooo sweet to win without doin' nothin!
...on most of my programs you can sort the top-2 Platinum Power into a list of the top-2 power horses per race. The method is simply look for anything 10-1 or better, on the list. I've tweaked it a little to attempt better accuracy but it stands alone with no adjustment necessary.
Today was sweet @ Parx--was only one play (in the 1st race) DONNIE BRASCO who (as the only method play) paid an even $15.00 to win.
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Hey, Donnie Brasco-Nice hit! Forget about it.
__________________
One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
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11-08-2020, 03:13 PM
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#6503
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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TOP E-1, E-2 GGX & DEL MAR
Top E-1 E-2 for DM and GGX, just posting for amusement and see if we do any good.
Good Luck,
-NCG
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11-15-2020, 07:55 AM
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#6504
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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P1/P2 morning line play had a very good day at DMR yesterday, 3 plays, 2 won and the other finished a hard charging 2nd and is a horse to watch next time out
Race 3 - Rocking Redhead paid $33.40
Race 7 - Quick Finish finished quickly, just missed getting up at wire and is a horse to watch next out
Race 9 - Moving Fast did just that down the stretch and paid $19.20
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11-17-2020, 01:24 PM
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#6505
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
P1/P2 morning line play had a very good day at DMR yesterday, 3 plays, 2 won and the other finished a hard charging 2nd and is a horse to watch next time out
Race 3 - Rocking Redhead paid $33.40
Race 7 - Quick Finish finished quickly, just missed getting up at wire and is a horse to watch next out
Race 9 - Moving Fast did just that down the stretch and paid $19.20
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I used to do well with that play at TUP, DM, and Parx. I went on an extended losing streak with the play @ TUP, and haven't used it much lately.
These figure to have a shot at Parx today:
3RD SHORELINE 8-1
5TH FOUR SEASONS 5-1
6TH SHERO 7-2
8TH NOBLE KENT 15-1
10TH TWO CARAT 3-1
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11-17-2020, 01:46 PM
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#6506
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Just so no one thinks ol' NorCal is pulling some slick sh*t:
I didn't realized the 3rd @ Parx was just starting...I posted as they were crossing the wire.
My plan was to post my selections and then bet --I was too late obviously to bet the 3rd.
Here's the spot play:
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11-19-2020, 12:59 AM
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#6507
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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11-19 ODDS AND ENDS
MAIDEN DROPPERS
CDX
6TH RACE #1 MEAN MACHINE 10-1
6TH RACE #4 SO DIALED IN 6-1
LONE SPEED
GPW
4TH RACE #1 FIGO 6-1
WATCH LIST
AQ
10th RACE #8 DANGEROUS EDGE 5-1
GPW
6TH RACE #5 PRINCESS BETTY 12-1
WOX
3RD RACE #1 NANTUCKET RED 6-1
4TH RACE #2 FIRST SPRING 10-1
Good Luck
-NCG
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11-19-2020, 04:18 PM
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#6508
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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Last race at Laurel has a Maiden/Rider Switch dropper:
9TH #7 FULL DINNER JACKET 12-1
+ maybe a saver exacta with the huge fav #4 REASSURED 1/5 over the #7
-NCG
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11-19-2020, 06:42 PM
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#6509
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Castleton, VA
Posts: 136
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Full Dinner Jacket $45.00!
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11-19-2020, 08:22 PM
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#6510
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Authorized Advertiser
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
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I usually avoid Laurel since I doubt I've ever won there, and seems like half the entries are scratched every day.
I have 3 spot plays I believe are actually straight up winners. Of course the plays are rare (maybe 4-5 a week) total.
It was pretty slim pickens for any of my method plays today-so took a look at Laurel and boom! there was full FULL DINNER JACKET in the 9th. Had another winner @ GPW...was 6-1 when I bet. He won and paid a whopping $8.40
Last edited by NorCalGreg; 11-19-2020 at 08:27 PM.
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