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Old 07-16-2017, 09:43 PM   #16
turninforhome10
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For the 8th race, tuning would be futile. Very limited data set in 2fur. In this case I don't even tune an assume 1.0 for every factor and hold tight to my bankroll unless a big kiss is promised.
MOUNTAINEER 07-16-2017 RACE 8 OF 9 -
2.0f DIRT
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
2 BEBOPALEON *60.42 2.45 5-1

5 BAD BOY PETER 47.90 2.24 6-1
7 HUNTRESS HELENA 47.37 *0.89 5-1
4 ELTANIN 43.13 5.48 9-1
3 FABLED STAR 39.65 2.83 7-1
6 APPEALING YANKEE 39.31 2.12 6-1
8 CHARLES 25.09 7.07 16-1
LLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 HUNTRESS HELENA 0.8 STOKES III R. A. BAIRD J. M.
2 BEBOPALEON 6.0 HERNANDEZ L. LANGLEY C. S.
5 BAD BOY PETER 5.0 HO W. BAIRD J. M.
6 APPEALING YANKEE 4.5 RIVERA L. R. MCGAFFIC G. A.
3 FABLED STAR 8.0 QUINONES L. M. SHANYFELT D. E.

4 ELTANIN 30.0 SANTIAGO G. FLORES C.
8 CHARLES 50.0 JURADO E. BORGEMENKE L. R.
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Old 07-16-2017, 10:08 PM   #17
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Combined pick from tipsheet makes pick
took much action.
Nothing for 9th
Will keep this thread going for while. Check back. Thanks for reading.
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Old 07-17-2017, 04:49 PM   #18
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Just to clarify, this is not a pick maker thread. My selections are predicted for what the odds should be based on risk. I am trying to find favs that are vulnerable and play multiple WPS show tickets with 2nd, 3rd or 4th odds horse. Beat the fav, take the pool. I am merely trying to find value in the WPS pools. I am not a big DD or P3 player. I will play exotics but I am not big on posting picks anymore. That said
Delaware 8th Race.

DELAWARE PARK 07-17-2017 RACE 8 OF 9
Weighting Factors 5 9
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
5 KING OF NIGHT *62.95 1.58 4-1
4 POPPYS SALSA 53.48 1.87 4-1
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 50.21 2.45 6-1
2 REFUNDED 47.78 2.83 7-1
1 RUNAWAY KING 43.21 *1.34 4-1
6 D S BOYD 41.72 2.83 8-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 KING OF NIGHT 2.5 BOYCE F. TROMBETTA M. J.
1 RUNAWAY KING 1.8 CHIAPPE R. JAYARAMAN K. K.
4 POPPYS SALSA 3.5 ALMODOVAR G. CRONK S. F.
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 6.0 CENTENO D. REID M. J.
2 REFUNDED 8.0 CASTILLO A. HAWTHORNE B. A.
6 D S BOYD 8.0 COA K. J. KIRBY T.
Method Success - WGR-/234 $3 - 100 RACES, WIN 89.00 07-17-2017
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Old 07-17-2017, 05:07 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by turninforhome10 View Post
Just to clarify, this is not a pick maker thread. My selections are predicted for what the odds should be based on risk. I am trying to find favs that are vulnerable and play multiple WPS show tickets with 2nd, 3rd or 4th odds horse. Beat the fav, take the pool. I am merely trying to find value in the WPS pools. I am not a big DD or P3 player. I will play exotics but I am not big on posting picks anymore. That said
Delaware 8th Race.

DELAWARE PARK 07-17-2017 RACE 8 OF 9
Weighting Factors 5 9
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
5 KING OF NIGHT *62.95 1.58 4-1
4 POPPYS SALSA 53.48 1.87 4-1
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 50.21 2.45 6-1
2 REFUNDED 47.78 2.83 7-1
1 RUNAWAY KING 43.21 *1.34 4-1
6 D S BOYD 41.72 2.83 8-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 KING OF NIGHT 2.5 BOYCE F. TROMBETTA M. J.
1 RUNAWAY KING 1.8 CHIAPPE R. JAYARAMAN K. K.
4 POPPYS SALSA 3.5 ALMODOVAR G. CRONK S. F.
3 NICOS ON THE RUN 6.0 CENTENO D. REID M. J.
2 REFUNDED 8.0 CASTILLO A. HAWTHORNE B. A.
6 D S BOYD 8.0 COA K. J. KIRBY T.
Method Success - WGR-/234 $3 - 100 RACES, WIN 89.00 07-17-2017

So not to shabby, the pays 9/5 which is close to the 4-1(4-1 translates to 2-1, cut the odds in half for payout), is right at 2-1, was getting play at 4-1 on the tote. drifted for 4th. 13.80 for the was not bad money. Tri was meager. Not tuning my DB and mixing the Arabians with the Thoroughbred data.
Here is the raw data un-tuned for the 9th.
DELAWARE PARK 07-17-2017 RACE 9 OF 9
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
7 DESERT HONOUR *58.44 *1.41 4-1
2 BUTCH CASSIDY LZ 51.94 3.16 8-1
6 RISKY RED 51.62 2.83 7-1
5 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 49.29 1.73 5-1
4 SERGEANT PEPPER 47.68 2.45 6-1
3 RB HOCUS POCUS 46.71 2.83 7-1
1 FINE HESST 41.84 2.00 6-1
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 DESERT HONOUR 2.0 CHIAPPE R. ASHBY L. A.
5 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 3.0 SPIETH S. GARZA B.
1 FINE HESST 4.0 SWAN K. ASHBY L. A.
4 SERGEANT PEPPER MHF 6.0 SANTOS A. RITTER S.
6 RISKY RED 8.0 PAZ R. POWELL S.
3 RB HOCUS POCUS 8.0 WALES T. WALDRON B.
2 BUTCH CASSIDY LZP 10.0 COA K. J. POWELL S.


Happy Cappin and will be back for next weekend and the Spaaaaa
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Old 07-21-2017, 01:59 PM   #20
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The SPA

Why I live as a horseplayer, "And they are off at Saratoga". So much tradition, so much challenge, so much reward for being right and alas, the graveyard of many a broken dream.
Today we have a fantastic card, decent data and a who's who of North American Horseracing.
Alive in the DD with after using the from the first in 2nd on a tri ticket. Ortiz brothers are poised to have the meet of their life and Chad Brown will always make the tote board cry. Starting the meet with 60.00 and looking to make my small bankroll stay alive throughout the meet. Cant play every race but some races will look like the best thing since sliced bread. A boutique meet in it's finest form it hearkens back to a day where the horse came first. Not slot fueled, no huge state bonus other than the great NY program that already exists., it exudes quality. For someone who has trained and owned, no greater honor other than the birth of child, could there be to winning a a stakes at the SPA. I digress.
The point of this thread is to try and establish, based on historical patterns, the expected off odds for the race, and using my Line Methods find flaws in the public opinion. The program I am using is rudimentary as far as the questions I can construct, but with 22 years of playing this great meet, I am pretty confident I have some good quality data going forward.
Looking at the 3rd
Looks like the best for condition. Nice odds
Maiden winner rules, no win
Fit, ready for sharp first turn.

Last edited by turninforhome10; 07-21-2017 at 02:10 PM.
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Old 07-21-2017, 02:17 PM   #21
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SARATOGA 07-21-2017 RACE 4 OF 10 -
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $85000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
6 ROYAL ASSET *61.08 3.87 6-1
3 PATTERNRECOGNITI 61.07 *1.26 4-1
1 SPACE SHUTTLE 53.48 3.87 7-1
7 HARD SCRAMBLE 49.64 3.16 6-1
2 HOLLOW POINT 48.07 3.46 7-1
5 VIA EGNATIA 43.02 2.12 6-1
8 TAKAFUL 27.98 1.87 6-1
4 SO NOTED SCR SCR ????
9 REASON TO SOAR SCR SCR ????
The number of past races used is 5
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
3 PATTERNRECOGNITION 1.6 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
5 VIA EGNATIA 4.5 LEPAROUX J. R. MOTT W. I.
8 TAKAFUL 3.5 ORTIZ J. L. MCLAUGHLIN K. P.
7 HARD SCRAMBLE 10.0 SANTANA JR. R. ASMUSSEN S. M.
6 ROYAL ASSET 15.0 BRAVO J. WARD W. A.
2 HOLLOW POINT 12.0 ORTIZ JR. I. CASSE M. E.
1 SPACE SHUTTLE 15.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. RYAN D. S.
Method Success - WIN 81.25 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 16 RACES, ROI -27.97 PCT 07-21-2017
Like the moving so high with no racing data (can not import foreign horse) and the fact that could be vulnerable and is even. Mott rules with these types. is is he a sprinter ?and who worked him last 2?
Nice race all around and might just be a laugher for the
For Picks I have the horses listed by my line method, the the asterisks indicates highest number for column. My picks are a combination of my picks and the ML square root. It is not a black box, just risk assessment vs the public choice.

Last edited by turninforhome10; 07-21-2017 at 02:25 PM.
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Old 07-21-2017, 04:06 PM   #22
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SARATOGA 07-21-2017 RACE 7 OF 10
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $93000

Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
10 HIGHLAND SKY *70.97 *1.73 6-1
9 MARK MY STYLE 59.09 3.46 9-1
5 INFINITE WISDOM 56.72 2.83 8-1
7 GOLD SHIELD 55.65 3.16 9-1
3 KAIGUN 54.97 3.46 10-1
2 MESSI 53.14 2.00 7-1
6 RED RIFLE 49.43 2.24 8-1
1 BLACK SEA 43.86 2.12 8-1
4 MUQTASER 28.36 3.87 16-1
8 BEHESHT 26.28 4.47 21-1

The number of past races used is 5
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
10 HIGHLAND SKY 3.0 CASTELLANO J. TAGG B.
2 MESSI 4.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOTION H. G.
6 RED RIFLE 5.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
1 BLACK SEA 4.5 ROSARIO J. BROWN C. C.
5 INFINITE WISDOM 8.0 ARROYO A. S. LYNCH B. A.
7 GOLD SHIELD 10.0 FRANCO M. MCGAUGHEY III C. R
9 MARK MY STYLE 12.0 SAEZ L. TOSCANO JR. J. T.
3 KAIGUN 12.0 ORTIZ JR. I. CASSE M. E.
4 MUQTASER 15.0 BRAVO J. MCLAUGHLIN K. P.
8 BEHESHT 20.0 LEZCANO J. ARNOLD II G. R.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 3 RACES, ROI -17.50 PCT 07-21-2017

Last edited by turninforhome10; 07-21-2017 at 04:12 PM.
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Old 07-21-2017, 05:28 PM   #23
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SARATOGA 07-21-2017 RACE 9 OF 10 -
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
7 PARTY BOAT *63.52 2.45 5-1

2 FIZZY FRIDAY 53.38 4.47 10-1
10 VICTORY TO VICTO 52.44 2.83 7-1

3 DEFIANT HONOR 49.62 3.16 7-1
8 PROCTORS LEDGE 48.02 2.45 6-1
11 DREAM DANCING 46.37 *2.12 6-1

4 CHUBBY STAR 41.65 3.87 10-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 PARTY BOAT 6.0 ROSARIO J. MOTION H. G.

11 DREAM DANCING 4.5 LEPAROUX J. R. CASSE M. E.
8 PROCTORS LEDGE 6.0 CASTELLANO J. WALSH B. P.

10 VICTORY TO VICTORY 8.0 GEROUX F. CASSE M. E.
3 DEFIANT HONOR 10.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. TONER J. J.

4 CHUBBY STAR 15.0 SANTANA JR. R. DEPAZ H.
2 FIZZY FRIDAY 20.0 LEZCANO J. CORREAS IV I.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 4 RACES, ROI -16.56 PCT
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Old 07-23-2017, 10:26 AM   #24
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Saratoga Sunday

SARATOGA 07-23-2017 RACE 1 OF 11 01:00PM
8.5f TURF MDN FILS 2YO WGT 119 LBS
MDN SP WT PURSE: $83000
Weighting Factors 4 1
PGM Name *TFSR ML SCORE
1 BIRD KEY 30.75 3.87 17-1
2 QUEEN COURAGE 19.51 4.47 28-1
3 YOU PEOPLE 37.56 2.45 13-1
4 ORBOLUTION 55.89 2.00 9-1
5 MISS MO MENTUM 52.48 2.12 9-1
6 OLDFASHIONED STY 51.74 2.83 10-1
7 SWEET BYE AND BY 41.34 3.46 13-1
8 SUREIS 30.02 2.45 15-1
9 ROAD OF HONOR 39.50 3.46 13-1
10 OUR GIRL ABBY *64.68 1.73 7-1
11 KITTY KAT KATE 60.21 *1.58 8-1
12 IN THE MOOD 59.53 2.12 8-1
TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING TFSR Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
10 OUR GIRL ABBY 3.0 LEPAROUX J. R. MAKER M. J.
11 KITTY KAT KATE 2.5 SAEZ L. WARD W. A.
12 IN THE MOOD 4.5 SAEZ L. WARD W. A.
4 ORBOLUTION 4.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
5 MISS MO MENTUM 4.5 ROSARIO J. CASSE M. E.
6 OLDFASHIONED STYLE 8.0 GEROUX F. CONTESSA G. C.
3 YOU PEOPLE 6.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOTT W. I.
7 SWEET BYE AND BYE 12.0 ORTIZ JR. I. DUTROW A. W.
9 ROAD OF HONOR 12.0 DAVIS D. MCPEEK K. G.
8 SUREIS 6.0 FRANCO M. KIMMEL J. C.
1 BIRD KEY 15.0 LOPEZ P. CONTESSA G. C.
2 QUEEN COURAGE 20.0 REYES L. R. CHATTERPAUL N.
Method Success - WIN 68.42 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 19 RACES, ROI 13.68 PCT

SARATOGA 07-23-2017 RACE 2 OF 11 PT-01:33PM
7.0f DIRT 3&UP Nw 3 3YO 120 LBS;ODR 124 LBS NON-WS 2 IN 2017 2 LBS IN
2017 4 LBS CLM
CLAIMING PURSE: $42000
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *DFC7 ML SCORE
1 AZTEC SENSE 44.90 2.83 9-1
2 TIZ SHEA D 49.31 *1.73 7-1
3 CHUBBY MASTER 50.53 3.87 10-1
4 TOP FORTITUDE 57.80 2.12 6-1
5 FIELDING GOLD 46.18 3.46 10-1
6 MONTE MAN 44.45 2.24 8-1
7 SCARF IT DOWN 55.36 1.87 6-1
8 WE DID *60.18 2.45 7-1
9 SHUT YOUR TRAPPE 41.30 4.47 14-1
TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING DFC7 Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 SCARF IT DOWN 3.5 ARROYO A. S. DIODORO R.
4 TOP FORTITUDE 4.5 ORTIZ JR. I. JACOBSON D.
2 TIZ SHEA D 3.0 LEZCANO J. MOTT W. I.
8 WE DID 6.0 ORTIZ J. L. LEVINE B. N.
6 MONTE MAN 5.0 SANTANA JR. R. ASMUSSEN S. M.
1 AZTEC SENSE 8.0 CARMOUCHE K. SERVIS J. C.
5 FIELDING GOLD 12.0 LUZZI M. J. TOSCANO JR. J. T.
3 CHUBBY MASTER 15.0 DAVIS D. ENGLEHART C. J.
9 SHUT YOUR TRAPPE 20.0 CAMACHO JR. S. FERRARO J. W.

SARATOGA 07-23-2017 RACE 3 OF 11 PT-02:07PM
9.0f DIRT MDN 3&UP 3YO 118 LBS;ODR 124 LBS
MDN SP WT PURSE: $83000
Weighting Factors 1 6
PGM Name *DFSR *ML SCORE
1 POWERFUL ALLY 48.37 45.67 7-1
2 MR CLASSICAL 56.88 *64.84 4-1
3 WEATHER WIZ 61.04 58.04 5-1
4 FIREBALL SHOT 45.37 42.50 7-1
5 UNCLE MOJO 52.99 57.35 5-1
6 ARCHIVAL 23.84 37.32 9-1
7 STREET REVIEW *61.51 44.29 6-1
TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING DFSR Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
2 MR CLASSICAL 1.6 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
3 WEATHER WIZ 2.5 MARAGH R. JERKENS J. A.
5 UNCLE MOJO 3.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
7 STREET REVIEW 12.0 ARROYO A. S. KIMMEL J. C.
1 POWERFUL ALLY 12.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOQUETT R.
4 FIREBALL SHOT 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. BAUER P. A.
6 ARCHIVAL 20.0 LOPEZ P. LUKAS D. W.
Method Success - WIN 100.00 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 14 RACES, ROI 62.32 PCT


SARATOGA 07-23-2017 RACE 4 OF 11 - PT-02:41PM
6.5f DIRT 3&UP STRTD A CLM $5OK/LESS AND Nw OTHER THAN MDN/CLMG 3YO
120 LBS;ODR 124 LBS
STARTER ALW PURSE: $55000
Weighting Factors 1 1
PGM Name *LINE ML SCORE
1 BOURNE COUNTRY 38.36 3.87 12-1
2 PHI BETA EXPRESS 43.72 1.87 7-1
3 MAIN ROAD 46.21 2.24 7-1
4 NORTHERN *51.26 *1.73 6-1
5 CINDERELA EL CRO 34.92 4.47 15-1
6 BASIC HERO 46.74 3.46 9-1
7 BELLOWS 33.92 3.16 10-1
8 GUICK 28.97 3.87 13-1
9 DRIVEN WEST 39.06 2.12 8-1
10 RAPID RED 34.66 2.83 9-1
TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
4 NORTHERN 3.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. WARD W. A.
2 PHI BETA EXPRESS 3.5 CARMOUCHE K. GARGAN D.
3 MAIN ROAD 5.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOQUETT R.
9 DRIVEN WEST 4.5 ORTIZ JR. I. SERVIS J.
6 BASIC HERO 12.0 SAEZ L. LYNCH B. A.
10 RAPID RED 8.0 LEPAROUX J. R. HONE B. G.
7 BELLOWS 10.0 ROSARIO J. MOTION H. G.
1 BOURNE COUNTRY 15.0 BRAVO J. ENGLEHART J. C.
8 GUICK 15.0 FRANCO M. ENGLEHART J. C.
5 CINDERELA EL CROME 20.0 REYES L. R. MORRISON J.

SARATOGA 07-23-2017 RACE 5 OF 11 PT-03:15PM
9.0f DIRT 3&UP Nw $1OK TWICE OTHER THAN MDN CLMG STRTR/ST BRD/ Nw 3
/CO $62500 3YO 119 L
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $90000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 65
Weighting Factors 2 1
PGM Name *DFA9R ML SCORE
1 THEBIGFUNDAMENTA 63.97 *1.41 5-1
2 ROYAL POSSE 61.77 1.58 5-1
3 SECURITIZ 39.15 2.12 8-1
4 SEEKING THE SOUL 39.08 3.16 9-1
5 FIFTH TITLE *64.46 4.47 7-1
6 GOATS TOWN 40.36 3.87 10-1
7 DOYOUKNOWSOMETHI 46.17 2.45 7-1
8 TURCO BRAVO 45.04 2.83 8-1
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING DRAF9R Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
1 THEBIGFUNDAMENTAL 2.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
2 ROYAL POSSE 2.5 CASTELLANO J. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
5 FIFTH TITLE 20.0 LEPAROUX J. R. WILKES I. R.
7 DOYOUKNOWSOMETHING 6.0 FRANCO M. AVILA A. C.
8 TURCO BRAVO 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. CONTESSA G. C.
3 SECURITIZ 4.5 ORTIZ J. L. JERKENS J. A.
4 SEEKING THE SOUL 10.0 ROSARIO J. STEWART D.
6 GOATS TOWN 15.0 SAEZ L. LUKAS D. W.
Method Success - WIN 95.00 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 20 RACES, ROI 12.31 PCT
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Old 07-23-2017, 01:22 PM   #25
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TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING TFSR Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
10 OUR GIRL ABBY 3.0 LEPAROUX J. R. MAKER M. J.
11 KITTY KAT KATE 2.5 SAEZ L. WARD W. A.
4 ORBOLUTION 4.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
5 MISS MO MENTUM 4.5 ROSARIO J. CASSE M. E.
3 YOU PEOPLE 6.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOTT W. I.
7 SWEET BYE AND BYE 12.0 ORTIZ JR. I. DUTROW A. W.
9 ROAD OF HONOR 12.0 DAVIS D. MCPEEK K. G.
8 SUREIS 6.0 FRANCO M. KIMMEL J. C.
1 BIRD KEY 15.0 LOPEZ P. CONTESSA G. C.
2 QUEEN COURAGE 20.0 REYES L. R. CHATTERPAUL N.
Method Success - WIN 68.42 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 19 RACES, ROI 13.68 PCT
Saratoga - Race 1 video replay
# Win Place Show
4 $9.30 $5.30 $3.30
5 . $5.20 $3.50
7 . . $4.70
Results: 01 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 4/5 $22.20
$0.50 Trifecta 4/5/7 $80.00
$0.10 Superfecta 4/5/7/1 $199.05
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Old 07-23-2017, 01:44 PM   #26
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TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING DFC7 Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 SCARF IT DOWN 3.5 ARROYO A. S. DIODORO R.
4 TOP FORTITUDE 4.5 ORTIZ JR. I. JACOBSON D.
2 TIZ SHEA D 3.0 LEZCANO J. MOTT W. I.
8 WE DID 6.0 ORTIZ J. L. LEVINE B. N.
6 MONTE MAN 5.0 SANTANA JR. R. ASMUSSEN S. M.
1 AZTEC SENSE 8.0 CARMOUCHE K. SERVIS J. C.
5 FIELDING GOLD 12.0 LUZZI M. J. TOSCANO JR. J. T.
3 CHUBBY MASTER 15.0 DAVIS D. ENGLEHART C. J.
9 SHUT YOUR TRAPPE 20.0 CAMACHO JR. S. FERRARO J. W

# Win Place Show
8 $16.20 $7.50 $5.10
7 . $4.80 $3.90
2 . . $4.30
Results: 01 | 02 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 8/7 $35.50
$1.00 Quinella 7/8 $16.80
$0.50 Trifecta 8/7/2 $110.87
$0.10 Superfecta 8/7/2/4 $44.25
$1.00 Double 4/8 $37.50
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Old 07-23-2017, 02:14 PM   #27
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TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING DFSR Line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
2 MR CLASSICAL 1.6 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
3 WEATHER WIZ 2.5 MARAGH R. JERKENS J. A.
5 UNCLE MOJO 3.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
7 STREET REVIEW 12.0 ARROYO A. S. KIMMEL J. C.
1 POWERFUL ALLY 12.0 ORTIZ J. L. MOQUETT R.
4 FIREBALL SHOT 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. BAUER P. A.
6 ARCHIVAL 20.0 LOPEZ P. LUKAS D. W.

Method Success - WIN 100.00 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 14 RACES, ROI 62.32 PCT

# Win Place Show
5 $7.20 $3.80 $3.60
3 . $4.10 $3.50
1 . . $6.10
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 5/3 $12.20
$0.50 Trifecta 5/3/1 $37.50
$0.10 Superfecta 5/3/1/2 $18.50
$1.00 Double 8/5 $25.75
$1.00 Pick-3 4/8/5 3 of 3 $125.00
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Old 07-31-2017, 09:31 AM   #28
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Monday July 31st SPA

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SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 1 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 BIGKAT AND CAMIL 51.35 2.83 5-1
2 BATTLEMENT 43.69 *1.26 6-1
3 TRUE CHARM 43.71 2.83 6-1
4 MISS KENTUCKY *64.13 1.58 4-1
5 FIRST CHARMER 48.21 2.45 5-1
6 PRAY FOR BOURBON 51.45 2.00 5-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
4 MISS KENTUCKY 2.5 LEZCANO J. ARNOLD II G. R.
6 PRAY FOR BOURBON 4.0 ALVARADO J. HENNIG M. A.
1 BIGKAT AND CAMILLE 8.0 ARROYO A. S. CHATTERPAUL N.
5 FIRST CHARMER 6.0 LEPAROUX J. R. METIVIER R.
3 TRUE CHARM 8.0 SANTANA JR. R. FERRARO J. W.
2 BATTLEMENT 1.6 ORTIZ JR. I. MOTT W. I.
Method Success - WIN 87.50 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 16 RACES, ROI 91.88 PCT 07-31-2017


SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 2 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 FUNTASTIC 38.25 2.12 9-1
2 RISKY TOWN 46.79 3.16 10-1
3 MAKEAMERICAGREAT 55.96 2.83 8-1
4 MOHICAN 53.09 3.16 9-1
5 OISEAU DE GUERRE 39.47 2.83 11-1
6 UNFORESEEABLE 33.93 4.47 18-1
7 NOW IN A DRIVE *57.77 1.58 7-1
8 ITSABIGBOY 52.26 2.24 8-1
9 TARPON BAY ROAD 53.70 2.83 9-1
10 PEACE SPEAKER 49.62 *1.41 7-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 NOW IN A DRIVE 2.5 SAEZ L. LYNCH B. A.
10 PEACE SPEAKER 2.0 LEZCANO J. MCLAUGHLIN K. P.
8 ITSABIGBOY 5.0 TBA R. PLETCHER T. A.
3 MAKEAMERICAGREAT 8.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. LOPRESTI C.
9 TARPON BAY ROAD 8.0 ORTIZ J. L. WALSH B. P.
4 MOHICAN 10.0 ROSARIO J. MOTT W. I.
1 FUNTASTIC 4.5 ORTIZ J. L. BROWN C. C.
2 RISKY TOWN 10.0 DAVIS D. TAGG B.
5 OISEAU DE GUERRE 8.0 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
6 UNFORESEEABLE 20.0 LEZCANO A. SERPE P. M.
Method Success - WIN 86.36 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 22 RACES, ROI 68.47 PCT 07-31-2017

SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 3 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 SMILE BIG 43.13 1.58 3-1
2 BLENHEIM PALACE *64.49 2.00 4-1
3 MOANA 51.18 *1.10 2-1
4 STAY FOND 42.08 2.83 8-1
5 POSSE NEEDED 48.60 2.45 6-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
3 MOANA 1.2 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
1 SMILE BIG 2.5 ORTIZ JR. I. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
2 BLENHEIM PALACE 4.0 ORTIZ J. L. MCGAUGHEY III C. R
5 POSSE NEEDED 6.0 ALVARADO J. HENNIG M. A.
4 STAY FOND 8.0 CASTELLANO J. PLETCHER T. A.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 7 RACES, ROI -33.39 PCT 07-31-2017

SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 4 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 BUSS THE BELL 24.34 4.47 20-1
2 FACTOR THIS 45.41 2.83 10-1
3 NATE CANT WAIT 35.17 3.16 13-1
4 SHANES JEWEL 57.41 2.24 8-1
5 NOTHINGS CHANGED 47.59 2.45 10-1
6 JOOPSTER 68.55 *1.73 6-1
7 TOMS MUSIC 33.70 3.46 14-1
8 DAY OF RECKONING 68.55 2.83 6-1
9 THE BERBER 42.89 3.16 11-1
10 DUNCASTLE *76.40 2.00 6-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
10 DUNCASTLE 4.0 ORTIZ J. L. RICE L.
6 JOOPSTER 3.0 ORTIZ JR. I. WARD W. A.
8 DAY OF RECKONING 8.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. WARD W. A.
4 SHANES JEWEL 5.0 CARMOUCHE K. SERVIS J. C.
5 NOTHINGS CHANGED 6.0 SAEZ L. SCHERER M. R.
2 FACTOR THIS 8.0 ARROYO A. S. BARKER E. R.
9 THE BERBER 10.0 LOPEZ P. CONTESSA G. C.
3 NATE CANT WAIT 10.0 REYES L. R. SCHETTINO D. L.
7 TOMS MUSIC 12.0 ROSARIO J. LUKAS D. W.
1 BUSS THE BELL 20.0 MONTANEZ R. PERSAUD R.
Method Success - WIN 72.73 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 11 RACES, ROI 42.27 PCT 07-31-2017


SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 5 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 NO HIDING PLACE 55.79 2.83 8-1
2 TALE OF E DUBAI 72.34 2.83 6-1
3 STREET SHARK 29.12 4.47 16-1
4 RAYSWARRIOR *73.24 *1.41 6-1
5 FRANCIS FREUD 38.89 4.47 12-1
6 STARSHIP WILDCAT 36.70 2.12 13-1
7 FULL SALUTE 49.63 3.16 9-1
8 AKTABANTAY 39.96 1.73 12-1
9 SHADOW ROCK 69.32 1.58 6-1
10 PADILLA 35.02 2.45 13-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
4 RAYSWARRIOR 2.0 ORTIZ JR. I. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
2 TALE OF E DUBAI 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. SALZMAN JR. J. E.
9 SHADOW ROCK 2.5 ORTIZ J. L. MAKER M. J.
1 NO HIDING PLACE 8.0 SANTANA JR. R. ASMUSSEN S. M.
7 FULL SALUTE 10.0 SAEZ L. ENGLEHART C. J.
8 AKTABANTAY 3.0 CARMOUCHE K. COX B. H.
5 FRANCIS FREUD 20.0 LEZCANO A. METIVIER R.
6 STARSHIP WILDCAT 4.5 LEZCANO J. GULLO G. P.
10 PADILLA 6.0 MARAGH R. SUMMERS C.
3 STREET SHARK 20.0 ARROYO A. S. CHATTERPAUL N.
Method Success - WIN 87.50 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 40 RACES, ROI 40.16 PCT 07-31-2017


SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 6 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 CHARMING CLARE *61.18 2.12 11-1
2 INDYGITA 38.22 3.87 17-1
3 BELIEVE INDEED 49.01 2.83 13-1
4 MERILORE 58.52 2.24 11-1
5 FROSTY LADY 54.71 2.83 12-1
6 CARMENERE 54.94 3.16 12-1
7 MORETHANAWARNING 43.42 2.83 15-1
8 GRACEFUL GAL 57.51 4.47 11-1
9 TIZ TWICE 49.86 4.47 13-1
10 MY GOOD VENEZUEL 60.50 1.87 11-1
11 MADAME BARBARIAN 30.99 4.47 22-1
12 STORM PETREL 43.14 3.87 15-1
13 PERINAS PRIDE 5.43 5.48 129-
14 FLICK OF AN EYE 41.79 2.00 16-1
15 JUST GOT OUT 56.42 *1.73 12-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
1 CHARMING CLARE 4.5 GAFFALIONE T. MAKER M. J.
10 MY GOOD VENEZUELA 3.5 LEZCANO J. JACOBSON D.
4 MERILORE 5.0 SAEZ L. SHARP J.
8 GRACEFUL GAL 20.0 CANCEL E. O'BRIEN L.
15 JUST GOT OUT 3.0 ORTIZ J. L. RICE L.
6 CARMENERE 10.0 GEROUX F. SCHERER M. R.
5 FROSTY LADY 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. SERVIS J.
9 TIZ TWICE 20.0 FRANCO M. ENGLEHART C. J.
3 BELIEVE INDEED 8.0 MARAGH R. LEVINE B. N.
7 MORETHANAWARNING 8.0 CASTELLANO J. QUICK P. J.
12 STORM PETREL 15.0 ORTIZ J. L. PLETCHER T. A.
14 FLICK OF AN EYE 4.0 CARMOUCHE K. SCHETTINO D. L.
2 INDYGITA 15.0 LOPEZ P. SERPE P. M.
11 MADAME BARBARIAN 20.0 REYES L. R. METIVIER R.
13 PERINAS PRIDE 30.0 MONTANEZ R. GRANT G.
Method Success - WIN 92.31 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 13 RACES, ROI 13.17 PCT 07-31-2017


SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 7 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 ROYAL EKATI 56.82 2.00 4-1
2 WINSTONS CHANCE 48.93 2.45 5-1
3 THIRD SON 49.83 2.45 5-1
4 BLAME THE THIEF *58.65 1.58 4-1
5 HONORABLE JONAS 39.08 4.47 7-1
6 MINSKY MOMENT 40.41 *1.10 6-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
4 BLAME THE THIEF 2.5 LOPEZ P. HILLS T. A.
1 ROYAL EKATI 4.0 ORTIZ J. L. TAGG B.
3 THIRD SON 6.0 SANTANA JR. R. AVILA A. C.
2 WINSTONS CHANCE 6.0 ARROYO A. S. BREED D. A.
6 MINSKY MOMENT 1.2 ORTIZ JR. I. BROWN C. C.
5 HONORABLE JONAS 20.0 CAMACHO JR. S. JONES E. E.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 20 RACES, ROI 48.56 PCT 07-31-2017

SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 8 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 LET IT RIDE MOM 37.80 2.83 9-1
2 HIDDEN MYSTERY 42.17 3.16 9-1
3 NO MORE BABIES 47.18 2.45 7-1
4 HEAVENLY SCORE 48.99 3.87 10-1
5 INDIA MANTUANA 45.65 2.00 7-1
6 EPPING FOREST 54.36 2.24 7-1
7 YORKIEPOO PRINCE 29.10 4.47 17-1
8 MORTICIA *57.32 *1.41 6-1
9 LADY ALEXANDRA 55.13 2.45 7-1
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
8 MORTICIA 2.0 LEZCANO J. ARNOLD II G. R.
6 EPPING FOREST 5.0 ORTIZ J. L. CLEMENT C.
9 LADY ALEXANDRA 6.0 LOPEZ P. PROCTOR T. F.
5 INDIA MANTUANA 4.0 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
3 NO MORE BABIES 6.0 LEPAROUX J. R. BAUER P. A.
1 LET IT RIDE MOM 8.0 ROSARIO J. CASSE M. E.
2 HIDDEN MYSTERY 10.0 ORTIZ JR. I. SERVIS J.
4 HEAVENLY SCORE 15.0 SAEZ L. TERRANOVA II J. P.
7 YORKIEPOO PRINCESS 20.0 ARROYO A. S. BARKER E. R.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 7 RACES, ROI -21.43 PCT 07-31-2017

SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 9 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 DAB 56.59 *1.87 10-1
2 SKEET SHOT 38.55 3.87 15-1
3 SEASALL 41.11 5.48 14-1
4 FULLBACK FOYE 52.32 2.45 11-1
5 LITTLE MONSTER B 31.01 5.48 19-1
6 SOUPER COLORS 49.10 2.83 11-1
7 THE PODIATRIST 38.93 3.46 15-1
8 DOUBLINS DOUBLE 28.54 5.48 20-1
9 I MISS MY FATHER 38.01 3.16 15-1
10 MARTINO 50.19 2.12 11-1
11 RUN FOR BOSTON 29.49 3.46 20-1
12 THAT MR P 43.04 5.48 13-1
13 SARATOGA COLONEL*72.54 2.83 7-1
14 LAKE SURPRISE 43.79 3.16 13-1
15 NUT NUT SCR SCR ????
16 BROOKLYN MAJOR SCR SCR ????
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
13 SARATOGA COLONEL 8.0 FRANCO M. WEAVER G.
1 DAB 3.5 SANTANA JR. R. TERRANOVA II J. P.
4 FULLBACK FOYE 6.0 SAEZ L. ZITO N. P.
10 MARTINO 4.5 CASTELLANO J. MARTIN C. F.
6 SOUPER COLORS 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. TROMBETTA M. J.
14 LAKE SURPRISE 10.0 ORTIZ J. L. ENGLEHART J. C.
12 THAT MR P 30.0 ARROYO A. S. UBILLO R. A.
3 SEASALL 30.0 HOWELL T. QUICK P. J.
7 THE PODIATRIST 12.0 MARAGH R. MAREINA M.
2 SKEET SHOT 15.0 ROSARIO J. SCIACCA G.
9 I MISS MY FATHER 10.0 LOPEZ P. GULLO G. P.
5 LITTLE MONSTER BOY 30.0 DAVIS D. QUARTAROLO A. T.
11 RUN FOR BOSTON 12.0 REYES L. R. RYERSON J. T.
8 DOUBLINS DOUBLE 30.0 CAMACHO JR. S. FRIEDMAN M. E.
Method Success - WIN 88.24 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 34 RACES, ROI 32.32 PCT 07-31-2017
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Old 07-31-2017, 01:04 PM   #29
turninforhome10
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Tuned and ready to use. Happy Cappin
SARATOGA 07-31-2017 RACE 1 OF 9
PGM Name *Line2 ML SCORE
1 BIGKAT AND CAMIL 51.35 2.83 5-1
2 BATTLEMENT 43.69 *1.26 6-1
3 TRUE CHARM 43.71 2.83 6-1
4 MISS KENTUCKY *64.13 1.58 4-1
5 FIRST CHARMER 48.21 2.45 5-1
6 PRAY FOR BOURBON 51.45 2.00 5-1

MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
4 MISS KENTUCKY 2.5 LEZCANO J. ARNOLD II G. R.
6 PRAY FOR BOURBON 4.0 ALVARADO J. HENNIG M. A.
1 BIGKAT AND CAMILLE 8.0 ARROYO A. S. CHATTERPAUL N.
5 FIRST CHARMER 6.0 LEPAROUX J. R. METIVIER R.
3 TRUE CHARM 8.0 SANTANA JR. R. FERRARO J. W.
2 BATTLEMENT 1.6 ORTIZ JR. I. MOTT W. I.
Method Success - WIN 87.50 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 16 RACES, ROI 91.88 PCT 07-31-2017

Saratoga - Race 1
# Win Place Show
3 $9.00 $4.50 $3.60
6 . $3.40 $2.70
1 . . $4.40
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Old 07-31-2017, 01:39 PM   #30
turninforhome10
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Posts: 2,815
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
7 NOW IN A DRIVE 2.5 SAEZ L. LYNCH B. A.
10 PEACE SPEAKER 2.0 LEZCANO J. MCLAUGHLIN K. P.
8 ITSABIGBOY 5.0 TBA R. PLETCHER T. A.
3 MAKEAMERICAGREAT 8.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. LOPRESTI C.
9 TARPON BAY ROAD 8.0 ORTIZ J. L. WALSH B. P.
4 MOHICAN 10.0 ROSARIO J. MOTT W. I.
1 FUNTASTIC 4.5 ORTIZ J. L. BROWN C. C.
2 RISKY TOWN 10.0 DAVIS D. TAGG B.
5 OISEAU DE GUERRE 8.0 CASTELLANO J. BROWN C. C.
6 UNFORESEEABLE 20.0 LEZCANO A. SERPE P. M.
Method Success - WIN 86.36 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 22 RACES, ROI 68.47 PCT 07-31-2017
Chad Brown in effect.
Results

Saratoga - Race 2
# Win Place Show
1 $11.20 $4.70 $4.40
5 . $4.50 $3.60
10 . . $4.40

Last edited by turninforhome10; 07-31-2017 at 01:45 PM.
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