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Originally Posted by Spalding No!
I don't consider it piggybacking at all, I think everything we are suggesting is backed up with visual evidence at the very least. Whether we are proved wrong is another story. Maybe Solomini will make 30+ career starts and McKinzie will win the Belmont, but I wouldn't bank on it at this stage.
Anyways, its fairly easy to point out that a horse won't truly stay a classic distance nowadays. The cliche is true really, that "none of them want to go that far".
To look at the 1-2-3 finishers of the Triple Crown races for the last 10 years or so reveals only a handful of sires that dominate the truly "classic" horses on dirt. Those are (in no particular order):
AP Indy, Smart Strike, and Unbridled, especially through descendants Tapit (AP Indy), Curlin (Smart Strike), and Pioneerof the Nile (Unbridled/Empire Maker).
Medaglia d'Oro is another classic stamina source I suspect--he sired Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra--but for some reason he's been getting mostly top class fillies (kind of like Quality Road at the moment). Not so this year with top candidates on both coasts (Bolt D'Oro and Enticed).
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I've been playing the ponies for more than four decades and my focus has always been about selecting contenders and trying to maximize profits. Of course like anything else one evolves into something quite different than where they began.
I admire guys/gals that are historians and caretakers of the game. Your writing style and thought process is concise and accurate. It also appears you have a valued opinion at this time of year when pools are larger.
Fun chatting