Finding spot plays

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jpjpicks

Here is one for those of you that use Bris/ Race Summary we are looking for the horse
With the Top Rcg spd avg an Top Avg class last 3 you will get horse that are bet an wacth the days the horse ran last race . This little system works for all races
Jimmy

Hey Jpj

Portfolio took a severe beat down yesterday as none of them hit the board


#11 Vito Tony N Billy -- $0


#4 Cut to Order -- $0


#1 Initiate -- $0


#10 Lead Astray -- $0


#5 Hardly Home -- $0


However, I know that as soon as I stop chasing G Sciacca he will hit the board with a big price!!!

[TheOracle]

G Sciacca has these today

2nd race
#9 Baronet

4th race
#2 Carthon

5th race
#4 Madame Barbarian
#11 Lady Chocolotta

9th race
#2 Quanique


C R McGaughey has these today:
1st race
#5 Danceland

6th race
#8 Strident

7th race
#1 Inchargeofme

9th race
#5 Church Social

Only $12.90 left in the portfolio so will go with these

7th race
#1 Inchargeofme

4th race
#2 Carthon

At $2 per win, place and show that brings the portfolio to a close

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jpjpicks

Another Spot Play system the 7/2 sys
#1 horse must be in Claiming races
#2 horse must be 7/2 Morning line
#3 horse last race must be 18-19-20-21-22 days away
#4 check Twinspires to see Bris's Top-3 picks if in you have a bet

Hey Jpj

I don't have Bris but I will take a look at the 7/2 Morning Lines in Claiming races at Aqueduct and see what the break out totals reveal

[jpjpicks]

Thank you big man also if you can i like to see a thing on the days 18-19-20-21-22 if you can
Jimmy

[jpjpicks]

So lets put it this way some are in an some are out so with some checking we see that horses on the Earning per start top-3 are running better then Earning top-3 plus we are getting better prices so what does that say to us. 1st the morning line maker is not sure if he is going to be bet unless the horse is on both list Earning an Earning per start then everybody even your grandmother can see it in the pp's we are useing this system to find daily plays where we can bet big in the place an show pools an make money i know it works
============
#1 horse must be 7/2 ML
#2 Claiming races an dirt only (no oclm Alw )
#3 horse must be in the Top-3 for Earning per start (EPS)
#4 horse must have raced last race 18-19-20-21-22 days a must
#5 to get all the info needed free go to Equibase.com / under> Entries Plus
Thx:jimmy

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jpjpicks

Thank you big man also if you can i like to see a thing on the days 18-19-20-21-22 if you can
Jimmy

Hey Jpj

Here are the 7/2 Morning Lines in Claiming races as of November 4th at Aqueduct



Out of 16 Claiming races the Morning Line 7/2's had 4 winners

#1 Tiz Twice
#1 Roman Revival
#1 Storm Petrel
#11 Luckystrikedelcoco

I don't know if the winners raced within the 18 to 22 days prior to winning





However, I did find something interesting among the 7/2 Morning Line Claimers


When the distance has been less than 1 Mile, so far, it seems they have been hitting the board at a much higher rate.

In fact 6 of the last 7 going less than 1 Mile have hit the board




It also seems like the odds maker is leaning toward D Jacobson in this situation 3 of the 7 were trained him.

Are you finding that it is better when the distance is less than 1 Mile?

[jpjpicks]

Yes big man i have see 5.5-6.0-6.5-7.0 do better then 2-turns races all i do is give the system
Its up to the handicapper to add more or do what he or she does with it .. me i do all kinds of things in the AM i check all my quick systems for plays then i go from there to each his own other handicappers use only pace figs others use only speed an class thats y i use alot of things b.cause one thing can not work every race you have to find what work where. Take NCG program its a great software program you can play the Top-2 power #'s but did anybody find out if its better in one turn races or in 2-turn races yes i would like to know or is it better in claiming races or Alw races you can't think you r going to download a race card an hit 6 out of 9 remeber all you cant beat the races but you can beat a race...
Thx big man for the numbers

[jpjpicks]

Also those are great show prices

[jpjpicks]

Hey big man thank you for the work you did very cool
Jimmy

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jpjpicks

Hey big man thank you for the work you did very cool
Jimmy

Hey Jpj

Thanks bro

I noticed that in Allowance Optional Claiming* races, so far, the Morning Line 7/2's have also been hitting the board at a high rate at Aqueduct



They have been in the money in 9 of their last 11 races in this situation

I know this was not part of the initial criteria but it might be worth a look in the upcoming Allowance Optional Claiming* races at Aqueduct

*I group all Optional Claiming (i.e. Optional Claiming, Starter Optional Claiming, etc.) as Allowance Optional Claiming

[jpjpicks]

Okay big man i check the 16 horse that ran in my days an only 2 plays
11-16 R5/#4 4th
11-23 R2/#4 2nd $4.70-$3.20
But you did open my eyes to OC races very good stats an nice show prices its nice when handicappers can work together
Thats what its all about
Hey all if you got a system post it up no the odds will not drop
Jimmy

[jpjpicks]

Here is one i use today an hit some good ones wps on Bris's Race Summary look at the Top-3 prime #'s an find the horse that has my last race day 18 to 22 you r gettting sound an fit plus the power of Bris
Good luck all

[TheOracle]

Since this post G Sciacca and D Gargan have had just terrible returns across the board

The portfolio is comparable to the sports announcer that says, "he's hit 15 straight free throws in a row" and when the player goes for the next shot he misses right on queue.

At any rate, G Sciacca is primarily doing what he has always done which is a low hit rate across the board with big prices

I think he started to get a big head with his recent success and tried entering 4 to 5 horses a day but now he's back to 1 to 2 horses a day

He might have one or two more long shots before the start of the inner Dirt at Aqueduct






The real surprise is D Gargan he was doing so well for so long that it just looked like he would keep it going but he faltered right when I put him in the portfolio

He had a horse finish off the board in a 5 horse race




That said the portfolio is now at $6.40 = 0.90 + $5.50


7th race
#1 Inchargeofme -- $5.50

4th race
#2 Carthon -- $0

The portfolio is barely on life support only due to C R McGaughey on the Turf





Were it not for his horses on the Turf having a postive return the portfolio would have come to a complete close much sooner


Overall, McGaughey is giving a negative return since this post but he's doing much better on the Turf than the Dirt





The portfolio will end with G Sciacca in the 6th on Wednesday at Aqueduct
I guess it will be $3 win and $2 place

#6 Forest Boy


Let's see what happens on Wednesday!!!

[jpjpicks]

Even with bad things we just keep going god i love this game things can always turn around quick hang in there big man
Jimmy

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by jpjpicks

Hey big man thank you for the work you did very cool
Jimmy

Hey Jpj,

Just to let you know there is a Morning Line 7/2 in an Allowance Optional Claiming race today at Aqueduct in the 8th race:

8th race
#4 Dixie Runner

I will be keeping an eye on this one today at Aqueduct!!!