2012 presidential election odds

[horses4courses]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

there has been a little bit of a betting surge in the last few days.

the odds have gone up from the Democrat -$180 to the Democrat -$200.


Thegreek.com is where i am quoting my prices from. as far as i know Spiro is pretty large and very reputable. i don't know if he is bigger than the ones that have been mentioned on this thread, all i know is that he has been doing this for the past 20 years offshore.

The Greek is a major player.
Always quick to post lines - they've been around forever.

[Valuist]

It will be interesting to see when Bookmaker.eu posts their numbers. They have a lot of US accounts; while I believe the UK books are great at setting lines for events like the Arlington Million and BC turf races, they primarily have European customers so its likely they have a biased opinion in favor of the Euro-friendly Obama.

Bill Hill: Obama 2-5 Romney 7-4. Sorry but IMO thats the worst 2-5 shot I've ever seen. Come "post time" I suspect that line will come in, at least at a shop like Bookmaker where the clientele are more familiar with both candidates.

[Bettowin]

Bovada has:

2012 US Presidential Election - Winning Party 9:00p Democratic Party -210
Republican Party +170

[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by Valuist

It will be interesting to see when Bookmaker.eu posts their numbers. They have a lot of US accounts; while I believe the UK books are great at setting lines for events like the Arlington Million and BC turf races, they primarily have European customers so its likely they have a biased opinion in favor of the Euro-friendly Obama.

Bill Hill: Obama 2-5 Romney 7-4. Sorry but IMO thats the worst 2-5 shot I've ever seen. Come "post time" I suspect that line will come in, at least at a shop like Bookmaker where the clientele are more familiar with both candidates.

a friend of mine just told me that Bookmaker has the line -$220 over the phone.

i am going to give the greek the respect on this line, they take the biggest bite.

it looks like they are loaded with Republican money

[lamboguy]

as of today, August 24 thegreek.com new line for this election:

Democrats -$210-$100

Republicans $100-$175

[lamboguy]

checked odds today and saw that thegreek.com had this election off the boards.

i checked with BETCRIS.com and they had it up at Democrat -$190 Republican +$160

wider spread, but according to them shifting towards the Republican.

no question in my mind, if i could get down i would be taking the +$170 for some large change. i think this election is going to flip-flop going forward.

[horses4courses]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

checked odds today and saw that thegreek.com had this election off the boards.

i checked with BETCRIS.com and they had it up at Democrat -$190 Republican +$160

wider spread, but according to them shifting towards the Republican.

no question in my mind, if i could get down i would be taking the +$170 for some large change. i think this election is going to flip-flop going forward.

Fly to London, lambo
Plenty of books will give you +175 on the Republicans for 5-10K a pop.

[horses4courses]

What's interesting to me is the fact that the best generally available odds you can get on the Republicans winning is +175.
Yet, you can bet on Mitt Romney being the next president at +187 with quite a few books.

That's quite an odds differential for six of one, and a half dozen of the other.

[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by horses4courses

What's interesting to me is the fact that the best generally available odds you can get on the Republicans winning is +175.
Yet, you can bet on Mitt Romney being the next president at +187 with quite a few books.

That's quite an odds differential for six of one, and a half dozen of the other.

its like betting a baseball game where you name the pitchers and both of them have to start otherwise you got no action.

if i was betting on the democrats, i would much rather be betting on that entry instead of Obama, he is a beatable candidate against Romney, Hillary can't miss against anyone the other side puts up.

[Valuist]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

if i was betting on the democrats, i would much rather be betting on that entry instead of Obama, he is a beatable candidate against Romney, Hillary can't miss against anyone the other side puts up.

If Obama wins this election and the economy goes deeper into the toilet, she won't have a chance in 2016. Ryan will crush her. Her best chance is if Romney/Ryan win now, but if the economy still is struggling by 2016.

[lamboguy]

thegreek.com is back up with the democrats -$210-$100

[Valuist]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

thegreek.com is back up with the democrats -$175-$100

Look where the money is moving. The William Hill and other UK bookmaker's odds were a joke. They should stick to horse racing and soccer. Things they are knowledgable about.

[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by Valuist

Look where the money is moving. The William Hill and other UK bookmaker's odds were a joke. They should stick to horse racing and soccer. Things they are knowledgable about.

i made a mistake posting before

[horses4courses]

Originally Posted by Valuist

Look where the money is moving. The William Hill and other UK bookmaker's odds were a joke. They should stick to horse racing and soccer. Things they are knowledgable about.

Yeah, they've only been doing business legally for over 80 years....
The only thing that moves that line is money, and they are taking it on both sides.

If they lack knowledge with betting on politics, their doors are open 7 days a week for the likes of you to stick it to them.

[lamboguy]

as of 6:00 p.m.

Democrats are down to -$185- $100

Republicans $100- $165


someone must have come in with $100,000 to win on the Republicans