Woodbine Race #6: 10/27/17
Conquest Boogaloo 3-1 A class drop and a trainer change. Speed figures are good and shows 3 races that will win here. Trainer change was in June, to a low % trainer off a break, entered for 23,500 here, 2 works in July and only 1 work since are all red flags. Pass.
Macho Brew 8-1 Interesting, jockey change is a plus and the last race looks good. Trainer is good. Love the last race pace line, but, last time at this level beat 2 home. Gets contender status here, but only as a saver win bet.
Comedy Gold 30-1 Best speed figure was in a sprint at Fort Erie. Declining figures since, and a non-winner at this distance. Toss.
Beyond Smart 10-1 Bullet work, but only the best of 9. Dangerous if the speed is holding. Could be alone on the front in this race and must be respected for that alone. Last speed figure and the fact he also does not "need the lead" has to be respected also. Contender.
Oakton 6-1 Has to be looked at on his back speed figures and the class drop. But since the claim, declining speed figures along with the class drops, and the jockey choice tells the bad news. Doubtful.
Thunder Point 4-1 Unlike the
, good news after the claim. A win and a good speed figure. Up one class is acceptable and the jockey and trainer do well in this situation. Contender.
Gray Phantom 8-1 Form is good here and his best workout came after his best lifetime speed figure. My Pick.
Malibu Wood 30-1 Might be involved early. Toss.
Viva Lad 5-1 Drop in class and form is strong. Has run well in slow and fast pace races. Speed figures are solid. Without the
in this race I would pick on top. Strong contender.
Niigon's Glory 15-1 Can win this in one situation, needs a very strong contested pace. Do not see that happening here. Pass.
Cito 20-1 All speed figures are light and the drop in class in the last race also came with a decline in the speed figure. Toss.
Atipical 15-1 Another light speed figure horse here and although the jockey and trainer here are good, I think he is just a little behind the other contenders here. Pass.
