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06-09-2020, 01:18 PM
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#31
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
UK Chelmsford City Post Time: 1:14 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT EXACTA AND QUINELLA MATRIX PERCENTAGE 65%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 ---- 44 x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 43.72
2 49 ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 48.77
3 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
4 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
5 ---- ---- x x x x x x 10 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 9.53
6 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
7 ---- ---- x x x x x x 4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 3.98
8 5 ---- x x x x x x 26 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 31.49
9 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
10 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
11 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
12 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
13 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
14 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
15 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
16 ---- ---- x x x x x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 1.538 137.49
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-09-2020, 01:19 PM
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#32
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
UK Chelmsford City Post Time: 1:14 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT EXACTA AND QUINELLA MATRIX PERCENTAGE 38%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 x x 7 8 7 23 10 ---- x 4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 58.10
2 x x 32 42 27 12 6 9 x 4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 131.90
3 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
4 x x 79 ---- 53 ---- 1 6 x 2 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 140.87
5 x x 9 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x 3 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 11.50
6 x x 5 11 8 ---- 11 29 x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 69.60
7 x x 4 ---- 3 ---- ---- ---- x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 11.02
8 x x 2 ---- 6 ---- 9 ---- x 2 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 18.35
9 x x 10 19 ---- ---- ---- ---- x 15 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 44.07
10 x x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 5.35
11 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
12 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
13 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
14 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
15 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
16 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 2.649 490.77
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-09-2020, 06:25 PM
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#33
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 1,751
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
UK Chelmsford City Post Time: 1:14 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT EXACTA AND QUINELLA MATRIX PERCENTAGE 38%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 x x 7 8 7 23 10 ---- x 4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 58.10
2 x x 32 42 27 12 6 9 x 4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 131.90
3 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
4 x x 79 ---- 53 ---- 1 6 x 2 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 140.87
5 x x 9 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x 3 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 11.50
6 x x 5 11 8 ---- 11 29 x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 69.60
7 x x 4 ---- 3 ---- ---- ---- x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 11.02
8 x x 2 ---- 6 ---- 9 ---- x 2 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 18.35
9 x x 10 19 ---- ---- ---- ---- x 15 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 44.07
10 x x 5 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 5.35
11 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
12 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
13 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
14 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
15 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
16 x x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- x ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.00
#VALUE! #VALUE! #VALUE! 2.649 490.77
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I assume this was Race 4. Interesting set of 37 Wagers! If I computed this right, it was a $7 loss, but could have been huge if the 50-1 shot had caught the leader. Thanks for sharing.
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06-10-2020, 09:16 AM
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#34
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FocusWiz
I assume this was Race 4. Interesting set of 37 Wagers! If I computed this right, it was a $7 loss, but could have been huge if the 50-1 shot had caught the leader. Thanks for sharing.
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yes it was the 4th race.
the 1/10 exacta $1 track payout was $121.50
the $4 bet size (rounded, it was a bit more)
returned $486, the total bet size was $490.77 returning $0.99 on the dollar.
when you scroll the matrix all the way to the right, you find my estimated probability for the entire matrix, it was 38%
which means my min returned need to be $2.63
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-10-2020, 09:44 AM
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#35
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 1,751
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Thank you for the explanation and for sharing
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06-10-2020, 07:29 PM
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#36
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Delta Downs Race 3Post Time: 7:24 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
25 10 8 10 2 5 3 7 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-10-2020, 07:43 PM
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#37
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
Delta Downs Race 3Post Time: 7:24 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
25 10 8 10 2 5 3 7 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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I'LL EXPLAIN HOW THIS WORKS. YOU PICK THE WIN HORSE. IN THIS CASE IT WAS #2. THE $1 WIN BET RETURNED $10.80.
USING MY BET SIZES FOR THE 2/ALL EXACTAS MY $1 RETURN WAS $11.16. THE $1 TRACK EXACTA PAYOUT WAS $39.60
SO I BEAT THE WIN BET RETURN BY 103%
TO BEAT A 17% WIN POOL TAKOUT, I WOULD NEED TO BEAT THE $1 WIN BET BY 120%. THE KEY IS TO AVERAGE A 120% OR BETTER RETURN.
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-10-2020, 08:12 PM
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#38
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Canterbury Park Race 6Purse: $30,500 Dista FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
2 10 2 6 14 22 14 9 10 1 5 5 0 0 0 0 100
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-10-2020, 08:25 PM
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#39
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Evangeline Downs Race 4Post Time: 6:15 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
14 6 37 7 17 13 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-10-2020, 10:23 PM
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#40
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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the results for todays 3 races
$1 win bet return
10.80+2.90+1.20 = 14.90
14.90/3 = $1 return of $4.96
winner/ all exacta
bet -------- return
$90 -------- $1008
$63 -------- $ 108
$78 -------- $ 184
sum $231-------- sum $1290
1290/231 = $1 return of $5.58
my advantage 12.5% gain
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 06-10-2020 at 10:25 PM.
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06-11-2020, 02:21 PM
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#41
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
correction
ThistleDown Race 4Post Time: 2:19 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
8 15 19 12 9 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Code:
ThistleDown Race 4Post Time: 2:19 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
18 15 22 15 14 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 06-11-2020 at 02:31 PM.
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06-11-2020, 02:41 PM
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#42
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
correction
ThistleDown Race 4Post Time: 2:19 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
8 15 19 12 9 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Code:
ThistleDown Race 4Post Time: 2:19 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
18 15 22 15 14 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
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$1 win pool return was $3.2
the top grid $1 return was $5.75
the bottom $2.56
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-11-2020, 03:57 PM
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#43
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
ThistleDown Race 7Post Time: 3:55 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
19 0 9 15 42 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Code:
ThistleDown Race 7Post Time: 3:55 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
18 0 15 14 13 23 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
[/B][/CODE]
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
Last edited by formula_2002; 06-11-2020 at 03:59 PM.
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06-11-2020, 04:07 PM
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#44
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
Code:
ThistleDown Race 7Post Time: 3:55 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
19 0 9 15 42 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Code:
ThistleDown Race 7Post Time: 3:55 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
18 0 15 14 13 23 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
[/B][/CODE] |
$1 win pool bet returned $4.20
my top grid returned $4.51 on the dollar
my 2nd line $1.57
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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06-11-2020, 04:21 PM
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#45
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Code:
Churchill Downs Race 7Post Time: 4:13 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
0 18.96 12.04 6.76 0.00 14.06 22.91 9.53 15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100
Churchill Downs Race 7Post Time: 4:13 pm FORMULA'S KEY TO THE MINT BEATS THE WIN BET PLAY. YOUR PICK OVER ALL
PGNOS>>> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 TOTAL
0 16.93 9.79 24.58 0.00 12.03 13.14 10.14 13.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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