Did a few final tweaks to EXOTIC ...mainly the
COMPREHENSIVE REPORT.
There were too many horses appearing on the list--so tightened it up a little, to have fewer horses, but better qualified. It's purpose is to give the user a look at horses that rank highly in the "important" categories.
Pace View users will know these categories quite well:
PLATINUM POWER
ABILITY
T/J%
PRIME POWER
These apply to all distances and levels.
So I did some research and was able to assign a "value" to each horse---the TOP horses in COMPREHENSIVE VALUE appear on the list.
-Some things to know about this TIP SHEET which contains the comp report:
All horses in each race are evaluated--any horses that have a large gap to #2 in this "value" report...are shown on the VALUE PLAY list. Many times there aren't any---sometimes three or four (rarely)
What's interesting is that, when there has been just one horse on the Value Play list--
so far they are showing a profit--without any further handicapping.
The
HOT LIST you already know about--that's not a selection list, but a list of horses that have passed a basic mechanical handicapping screen.
Tom Aislie would have loved this.
The comp report can be very useful ...concentrate on horses showing a "1" anywhere in the 4 categories. These horses are tops in at least one category.
Funny thing is--the horses that top two, three, or all four categories...are
not LOCKS to win. Take a look at the ML--there is a reason it's listed immediately following. A horse with several 1's--and is the
ML favorite--is obvious to everyone--and a good chance this horse is coming off a big effort. They do win--about as often as the favorite--because
THEY WILL in all likelihood be--be favorites.
They are ONLY good for exotics--you'll lose your a$$ betting these to win.
So here's a method for using this report ---maintain a decent strike rate--and if careful and demanding--show a profit.
#1- Any horse on the Comp Report showing a "1" in any of the 4 categories--is to be considered "live"
#2- Of this group--you want to ELIMINATE the favorites for win betting. I bet in advance, so I use a 3-1 ML minimum--as a qualifier. This won't guarantee you won't be betting a huge favorite--but it's better than looking at tote boards all day.
See....if the ML maker --using whatever method he uses--makes this horse less than 3-1 ML--say 7/5....it's no mystery to anyone--and obviously this horse has done something recently to impress the ML maker. (I hope I'm making myself clear--I'm trying
)
So...any horse 3-1 or better--showing a 1 in any of the 4 categories is a potential win bet. This way you don't get caught in the "sucker bet" trap of betting even money horses who may have fired their best shot already.
#3- Any horse 10-1+ showing a 1...jump on it. He wouldn't have made the list if he had no chance--the "1" just makes it a more palatable bet IMO.
Here are the
TIP SHEETS from Sunday @ GGX and TUP...so you can see what you're looking at in the beginning:
.