POCONO DUTCHING EXPERIMENT

[coachv30]

I'm gonna use a form of Dutching for a while at Pocono based off of the morning line odds. I will play 50% of the field in races with 7 or more runners.

My strategy is to wager an amount that will return at least $50 off of the morning line odds. Some races will have more than $50 wagered, so I'm hoping that the swing in odds from the public influence can lead to profit. I will track outcomes and post results.

Wagers will be returned on scratched horses. The % of change from my initial bankroll, will determine my winnings goal per race in the next card. For example, my starting bankroll is $1000. At the end of tonight if I am at $1500 (50% increase), then my goal next card will be to win $75 off of the ML odds.

[coachv30]

RACE 1

$5
$10
$17
$5

RACE 2

$18
$10
$3
$17

RACE 3

NO BETS

RACE 4

$18
$17
$13
$4

RACE 5

NO BETS

RACE 6

$17
$7
$17
$9

RACE 7

$13
$16
$7
$17

RACE 8

$9
$5
$4
$17

RACE 9

$17
$5
$11
$13

RACE 10

NO BETS

RACE 11

$17
$16
$7
$13

RACE 12

$18
$9
$ 17

RACE 13

$18
$9
$4
$13

RACE 14

$17
$16
$5
$3


STARTING BANKROLL- $1000
TODAY'S WAGERS- $468
CURRENT BANKROLL- $532

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by coachv30

RACE 1

$5
$10
$17
$5

RACE 2

$18
$10
$3
$17 ($71.40)

RACE 3

NO BETS

RACE 4

$18
$17
$13
$4 (REFUNDED)

RACE 5

NO BETS

RACE 6

$17 ($125.80)
$7
$17
$9

RACE 7

$13
$16
$7
$17 ($79.90)

RACE 8

$9 ($21.60)
$5
$4
$17

RACE 9

$17 ($23.80)
$5
$11
$13

RACE 10

NO BETS

RACE 11

$17 ($42.50)
$16
$7
$13

RACE 12

$18 ($23.40)
$9
$ 17

RACE 13

$18 ($28.80)
$9
$4
$13 (REFUNDED)

RACE 14

$17
$16 ($38.40)
$5
$3


STARTING BANKROLL- $1000
TODAY'S WAGERS- $468
CURRENT BANKROLL- $532

TOTAL WAGERED- $451.00
TOTAL RETURNED- $455.60

NEW BANKROLL- $1004.60

[coachv30]

Race 1
$18
$17
$9

Race 2
$9
$13
$5
$17

Race 3
No Bets

Race 4
$18
$16
$7

Race 5
No Bets

Race 6
$5
$18
$11
$13

Race 7
$16
$17
$11
$5

Race 8
$11
$10
$17
$5

Race 9
$12
$9
$13
$7

Race 10
$17
$11
$11
$7

Race 11
$18
$13
$17
$5

Race 12
$12
$13
$4
$5

Race 13
$13
$5
$5
$17

Race 14
$13
$17
$7
$5

STARTING BANKROLL- $1004.60
TOTAL WAGERED- $523
REMAINING BANKROLL - $481.60

[pandy]

Interesting test!

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by coachv30

Race 1
$18
$17
$9 ($47.60)

Race 2
$9
$13 ($32.50)
$5
$17

Race 3
No Bets

Race 4
$18
$16
$7

Race 5
No Bets

Race 6
$5
$18 ($27.00)
$11
$13

Race 7
$16 ($60.80)
$17
$11
$5

Race 8
$11
$10
$17
$5

Race 9
$12
$9
$13
$7 (REFUND)

Race 10
$17 ($25.50)
$11
$11 (REFUND)
$7 (REFUND)

Race 11
$18 ($23.40)
$13
$17
$5

Race 12
$12
$13
$4
$5 ($67.00)

Race 13
$13
$5
$5
$17 ($42.50)

Race 14
$13
$17 ($35.70)
$7
$5

STARTING BANKROLL- $1004.60
TOTAL WAGERED- $523
REMAINING BANKROLL - $481.60

TOTAL WAGERED - $523.00
TOTAL RETURNED- $387.70 (Refunds Included)

NEW BANKROLL- $869.30

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by pandy

Interesting test!

Thanks Pandy...Underlays hurt me tonight.

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by coachv30

TOTAL WAGERED - $523.00
TOTAL RETURNED- $387.70 (Refunds Included)

NEW BANKROLL- $869.30

*$43.00 will be my target win amount for tomorrow's card. Bankroll is down approximately 14%.

[coachv30]

Max wager of $10 today

Race 1
$10
$10
$10
$8

Race 2
$10
$9
$10
$3

Race 3
$10
$10
$6

Race 4
$10
$10
$7
$10

Race 5
$7
$10
$4

Race 6
$10
$10
$10
$6

Race 7
$10
$10
$10
$7

Race 8
$10
$3
$10
$7

Race 9
$10
$5
$9
$3

Race 10
$10
$10
$10
$7

Race 11
$10
$10
$10

Race 12
$10
$10
$10

Race 13
$10
$9
$10
$4

Race 14
$7
$10
$3
$3

TOTAL WAGERED-$437
REMAINING BANKROLL- $432.30

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by coachv30

Max wager of $10 today

Race 1
$10
$10 ($19.00)
$10
$8

Race 2
$10 ($24.50)
$9
$10
$3

Race 3
$10
$10
$6

Race 4
$10 ($12.00)
$10
$7
$10

Race 5
$7
$10 ($17.00)
$4

Race 6
$10
$10
$10
$6 ($100.20)

Race 7
$10 ($27.00)
$10
$10
$7

Race 8
$10
$3
$10
$7 ($37.80)

Race 9
$10 ($13.00)
$5
$9
$3

Race 10
$10 ($16.80)
$10
$10
$7

Race 11
$10
$10 ($15.00)
$10

Race 12
$10
$10 ($44.00)
$10

Race 13
$10 ($16.00)
$9
$10
$4

Race 14
$7
$10 ($24.00)
$3
$3

TOTAL WAGERED-$437
REMAINING BANKROLL- $432.30

TOTAL WAGERED- $437.00
TOTAL RETURNED- $366.30

NEW BANKROLL- $798.60

[coachv30]

Total Wagered- $1411.00
Total Returned- $1209.60

Total ROI- .86

Current Bankroll- $798.60

[coachv30]

Man....I hit the winner in 13 of 14 races and still finish down. I'm thinking about doing one of the following for the next week:

1) Leaving the ML favorite out entirely since these are my largest bets, and hoping to hit enough winners to put me ahead.

2) Not capping the max bet at $10 on the low priced horses

3) Using the entire bankroll and splitting it into an allotted amount for each qualifying race.


Does anyone feel that one of these may be beneficial?

[coachv30]

Originally Posted by coachv30

Man....I hit the winner in 13 of 14 races and still finish down. I'm thinking about doing one of the following for the next week:

1) Leaving the ML favorite out entirely since these are my largest bets, and hoping to hit enough winners to put me ahead.

2) Not capping the max bet at $10 on the low priced horses

3) Using the entire bankroll and splitting it into an allotted amount for each qualifying race.


Does anyone feel that one of these may be beneficial?

In fact, I'm going with option #3 today at SARATOGA. I will round my bankroll out to $800 and split it evenly among the 10 qualifying races. Races 7 and 8 only have six runners and does not qualify. Plays will be posted soon.

[coachv30]

RACE 1
$20
$15
$10
$15
$20

RACE 2
$25
$25
$12
$10
$8

RACE 3
$30
$20
$15
$15

RACE 4
$20
$30
$10
$20

RACE 5
$25
$20
$15
$10
$10

RACE 6
$30
$20
$20
$10

RACE 7- NO BET
RACE 8- NO BET

RACE 9
$25
$20
$12
$15
$8

RACE 10
$35
$15
$20
$10

RACE 11
$30
$20
$10
$20

RACE 12
$50
$10
$8
$12

[coachv30]

Scratched in Race 1..New Play below...

RACE 1
$20
$15
$25
$20