Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 04-30-2009, 11:09 AM   #1
BombsAway Bob
DimeSupers Really Are!
 
BombsAway Bob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 2,095
Do Bridgejumpers "DoubleJump" @CD Friday?

with Zenyatta & Rachel Alexandra looking like death & taxes, will any brave souls out there tempt fate & Rich Perloff, trying the rarely-seen Bridgejumping Parley Friday at Churchill Downs?
__________________
Quick Picks, LMSP's, & opinions real-time
@
www.twitter.com/BombsawayBob
[/url]
BombsAway Bob is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 11:23 AM   #2
SMOO
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 580
Why not just put it all on one, they would only get get back 5% if one ran 4th.
SMOO is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 11:46 AM   #3
CBedo
AllAboutTheROE
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Denver
Posts: 2,411
But that's the point of being a "bridge jumper'--thinking they're locks and can't lose, so more likely it will be a bridge jumper parlay!
CBedo is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 12:02 PM   #4
point given
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 1,991
could be dicey with the likely sloppy track, I'd go with RA , a zillion to show
point given is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 12:03 PM   #5
Track Collector
Grinding at a Poker Table
 
Track Collector's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 4,902
Bridgejuming is simply not smart IMO. Too much risk for too little of a return, regardless of who the horse is. I suspect that those who do it keep up that strategy long-enough to end up significantly on the negative side. Bridgejumpers need to be independently wealthy with lots of available "fun" money.

I can not imagine that there are more than just a few extremely rare individuals who have the skill, patience, and bankrolls to do this successfully. If you are one of those people, congratuations! For the rest of us, the old phase "Do not try this at home" should apply.
Something else to think about regarding Bridgejumping. It implies easy money and plays to the greed factor. Both are not compatible with what it takes to be successful in this hard and challenging game of handicapping.
Track Collector is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 12:07 PM   #6
SMOO
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 580
I would at least stick to the 2.20 min. tracks, only have to risk half as much.
SMOO is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 12:12 PM   #7
46zilzal
velocitician
 
46zilzal's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 26,296
The first bridge jumper I ever witnessed was at Hollywood. This dunce borrowed TEN THOUSAND DOLLARS against the equity in his home to bet the entire thing on Convenience (the great filly who won the match race with Typecast later that season).

A seven furlong contest, one could not see the horses for a bit as they passed behind the old Sales Pavilion that sat between the chute and the clubhouse turn. I believe there were 8 or 9 in the contest and after passing that landmark one less than the field exited. SHE HAD A NOSEBLEED, first time ever out of the money as the rider (Jerry Lambert) intelligently pulled her up.

This guy actually fell to the floor and had to be revived.
__________________
"If this world is all about winners, what's for the losers?" Jr. Bonner: "Well somebody's got to hold the horses Ace."
46zilzal is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 02:29 PM   #8
sonnyp
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 1,881
posted this in another thread......churchill is gutless on allowing show bets on big favorites.

doubt you'll see show betting on rachel and probably not on zenyatta either.
sonnyp is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 03:29 PM   #9
Imriledup
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,988
Why would you jump on RA and get 2.10 when you could have jumped on her to place in her last start and got 2.20? (in a 4 horse field)


Last time was the time to jump.
Imriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 03:33 PM   #10
Imriledup
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,988
Bridgejump question for anyone who might know the answer to this.


If a person wants to bet a couple hundred grand to show, how to they actually pull this off? Do they walk into their racetrack or simo facility with 200k in cash and walk to the window and plop the bag down on the counter?
Imriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 03:37 PM   #11
SMOO
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 580
Quote:
Originally Posted by Imriledup
Bridgejump question for anyone who might know the answer to this.


If a person wants to bet a couple hundred grand to show, how to they actually pull this off? Do they walk into their racetrack or simo facility with 200k in cash and walk to the window and plop the bag down on the counter?
They make you use a self-serve machine and punch it out in $2 tickets.
SMOO is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 06:06 PM   #12
GreenPlant
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 13
Would Greatest Horses Show Profit Bridgejumping?

In order to show a long term positive expectation betting a 1-20 shot, the horse would have to come in the money 20 out of 21 times just to break even. Do you think there are any horses that have shown that kind of results NOW....or in history? Who are they in your opinion?
GreenPlant is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 06:16 PM   #13
kyle2227
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Hatfield/Harleysville PA
Posts: 265
Quote:
Originally Posted by Imriledup
Bridgejump question for anyone who might know the answer to this.


If a person wants to bet a couple hundred grand to show, how to they actually pull this off? Do they walk into their racetrack or simo facility with 200k in cash and walk to the window and plop the bag down on the counter?
I have always wondered that myself. My guess is they get to the track very early and use self service machines.
kyle2227 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 06:49 PM   #14
Imriledup
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,988
Most of these big bets come in all at once and most times, they show up in the pools right at the end of the cycles. That can't be self service machines, it has to be some other way. There has to be some way a teller can punch, in one shot, a 50k ticket. If the teller was only able to punch the bet in with 250 increments, it would take well over 1 minute to get all that money in the pools. It all seems to come in (most times) on the last flash, all at once.
Imriledup is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 04-30-2009, 07:13 PM   #15
kyle2227
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Hatfield/Harleysville PA
Posts: 265
Quote:
Originally Posted by Imriledup
Most of these big bets come in all at once and most times, they show up in the pools right at the end of the cycles. That can't be self service machines, it has to be some other way. There has to be some way a teller can punch, in one shot, a 50k ticket. If the teller was only able to punch the bet in with 250 increments, it would take well over 1 minute to get all that money in the pools. It all seems to come in (most times) on the last flash, all at once.
At my local otb the limit per ticket is $100. So that would mean you would have to punch in a heck of a lot of ticket. I to have also noticed several occasions where the bridge jumper bets have come in at the last minute. Maybe so as to not alert the stewards? But then again many times you will just know before-hand if a horse will be bet as a bridgejumper.


I think with track permission a large win bet say for example 20k could be bet in one shot(one ticket) on a horse to win. But I think a manager would have put in the bet otherwise I assume you would have to print a ton of $100 or $250 tickets or whatever it may be to reach the target wager.

Last edited by kyle2227; 04-30-2009 at 07:15 PM.
kyle2227 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.