Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > Selections


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 01-26-2019, 11:39 PM   #391
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Cool HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN- 1/27/19

Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I’m posting my pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 10 races at Sha Tin with 8 to be run on Turf and 2 on the Dirt: (from top Class to bottom) -
(1)-Class-2, (4)-Class-3, (4)-Class-4, (1)-Class-5


Post Time Race #1 – 12:00 AM SUN EST

BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I can’t make a Dutch Win bet I’ll generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.

Good Luck if you’re playing!

R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T…. 6-5-1 W/ 3-7-- ….…12:00 PM EST –

R#2 - 1000M C4 (5F)T…. 1-4-6 W/ 7-8-9 …..…12:30 AM EST –

R#3 – 1200M C2 (6F)T….. 1-8-5 W/ 2-3--- .......1:00 AM EST -

R#4 - 1400M C5 (7F)T…. 9-5-1 W/ 4-10-3 ….....1:30 AM EST –

R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)D.... 2-3-10 W/ 11-12-1 ….2:00 AM EST –
(May sub #11 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)D…... 4-7-5 W/ 12-3-1 ……..2:35 AM EST –
(May sub #12 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

R#7 – 1800M C3 (9F)T.... 2-3-4 W/ 7-6---- ......3:05 AM EST –

R#8 - 1600M C4 (8F)T..… 1-9-3 W/ 6-7-5 ….....…3:35 AM EST –
(May sub #5, #6 or #7 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)T.…. 12-14-8 W/ 1-13-4 ….4:10 AM EST –
(May sub #1 or #4 into top 3 if live tote indicates)

R#10 - 1400M C3 (7F)T... 5-14-8 W/ 10-13-2 ….4:45 AM EST –
(May sub #2, #10 or #13 into top 3 if live tote indicates)
.
.
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:10 AM   #392
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Thumbs up

Quote:
R#1 - 2000M C4 (10F)T…... 6-5-1 W/ 3-7-- ….…...12:00 PM EST –
6-2-3-7– BIG Dutch Win 139% Profit Margin/ #2 took lots of late action
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:16 AM   #393
Ramblin
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 102
Nitro, I know your busy capping but if you get a chance....
When there's alot of action inside of 4 minutes...do you tend to go with a horse (or horses) that have dropped by more than 20% or would you favor quinella combo's that has dropped by more than 50%?
What tends to draw your attention more?
Thanks (and good luck again this evening.)
Ramblin is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:24 AM   #394
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ramblin View Post
Nitro, I know your busy capping but if you get a chance....
When there's alot of action inside of 4 minutes...do you tend to go with a horse (or horses) that have dropped by more than 20% or would you favor quinella combo's that has dropped by more than 50%?
What tends to draw your attention more?
Thanks (and good luck again this evening.)
Hi there Ramblin.
First off I don't do ANY handicapping.
All of my selections (early & late) are based on my tote board analysis.
I'm always watching the board to possibly make substitutions.
GL this morning!
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:30 AM   #395
VigorsTheGrey
Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
R2



VigorsTheGrey is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:36 AM   #396
Ramblin
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 102
Thank you sir...you won't see me post plays (yet anyway) as I'm watching the boards til they get to the post.
The best I can do at the time is play quinellas tailing you and subbing late monies. I can't calculate dutches so close to post and Twin Spires refuses to give accurate mtp info so...

No-I haven't cracked the code yet...still trying hahaha
Ramblin is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:41 AM   #397
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
R2



Vigors are you posting to share information or for just self gratification? Why wait to post when they're all in gate ready to run?
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:41 AM   #398
VigorsTheGrey
Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey View Post
R2





quinella
VigorsTheGrey is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:44 AM   #399
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Thumbs up

Quote:
R#2 - 1000M C4 (5F)T….… 1-4-6-7 W/-8-9-3 …….…12:30 AM EST –
7-6-14-12– Dutch Win 89% Profit Margin / $31.80 Quinella (#4 Late Scr)
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:52 AM   #400
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ramblin View Post
Thank you sir...you won't see me post plays (yet anyway) as I'm watching the boards til they get to the post.
The best I can do at the time is play quinellas tailing you and subbing late monies. I can't calculate dutches so close to post and Twin Spires refuses to give accurate mtp info so...

No-I haven't cracked the code yet...still trying hahaha
Try this:
https://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?ur...ng=en&dv=local
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 12:59 AM   #401
VigorsTheGrey
Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
R3





Result




Win, quinella, triple, quad..!

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 01-27-2019 at 01:06 AM.
VigorsTheGrey is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 01:12 AM   #402
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Quote:
R#3 – 1200M C2 (6F)T……. 1-8-5 W/ 2-3--- .......1:00 AM EST -
1-6-2-8– Dutch Win 7% Profit Margin - Passed / Placer #6 took the late action
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 01:30 AM   #403
VigorsTheGrey
Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
R4

2:



Nothing in that one, but the 2 won, those are some massive payoffs...can a person bet a dime super, and .50 cent minimums for exotics or even a dollar for the ‘FIRST FOUR’ bet...?

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 01-27-2019 at 01:44 AM.
VigorsTheGrey is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 01:40 AM   #404
Nitro
Registered User
 
Nitro's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,982
Thumbs down

Quote:
R#4 - 1400M C5 (7F)T…….. 9-5-1 W/ 4-10-3 ….....1:30 AM EST –
2-1-5-6– Dutch Loss 118% Profit Margin / No real action on the Winner – a tough beat
Nitro is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 01-27-2019, 02:00 AM   #405
VigorsTheGrey
Veteran
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 4,553
R5






Result




Quinellas

Last edited by VigorsTheGrey; 01-27-2019 at 02:13 AM.
VigorsTheGrey is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:55 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.