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Old 06-24-2010, 05:58 PM   #1
JBmadera
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quick - hedging help

I'm live into the final leg of the late P4 at AP. I'm live to the 2 and 4. the prices have been good, legs 1-3 (24.20, 36.80, 9.60). I still cannot see the P4 payoffs but I'm worried that I don't have the 3 or the 5......should I bet them both to win as a hedge?

Any input would be appreciated.

thx,

jb
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Old 06-24-2010, 06:04 PM   #2
DeanT
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You would have to know what they are paying. And I dont think you will, because the 8 was a late scratch I think (?)

Good luck!
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Old 06-24-2010, 06:06 PM   #3
JBmadera
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DeanT
You would have to know what they are paying. And I dont think you will, because the 8 was a late scratch I think (?)

Good luck!
I think you're right as they still aren't showing any p4 payoffs.....oh well, time to cross the fingers and wait....thx!

jb
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Old 06-24-2010, 06:25 PM   #4
speldedo
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Hedge

OUCH!
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Old 06-24-2010, 06:39 PM   #5
JBmadera
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Originally Posted by speldedo
OUCH!
my sentiments exactly! damn!!!!
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Old 06-24-2010, 07:30 PM   #6
BombsAway Bob
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JBmadera
I'm live into the final leg of the late P4 at AP. I'm live to the 2 and 4. the prices have been good, legs 1-3 (24.20, 36.80, 9.60). I still cannot see the P4 payoffs but I'm worried that I don't have the 3 or the 5......should I bet them both to win as a hedge?
Any input would be appreciated.
thx,
jb
didn't see this 'til now..this is what TVG had for will-pays:
1
$18173.70
2
$4543.40
3
$9086.80
4
$6057.90
5
$37.00
6
$18173.70
7
$49.30
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Last edited by BombsAway Bob; 06-24-2010 at 07:32 PM.
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Old 06-24-2010, 07:42 PM   #7
JBmadera
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BombsAway Bob
didn't see this 'til now..this is what TVG had for will-pays:
1
$18173.70
2
$4543.40
3
$9086.80
4
$6057.90
5
$37.00
6
$18173.70
7
$49.30
thx Bob...the 3 was my 3rd pick in the race, a $9k p4....wow, I think I 'm going to put my head in the oven for awhile.....
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Old 06-24-2010, 08:10 PM   #8
Space Monkey
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Quote:
didn't see this 'til now..this is what TVG had for will-pays:
1
$18173.70
2
$4543.40
3
$9086.80
4
$6057.90
5
$37.00
6
$18173.70
7
$49.30
Bob, your will pays on the 5 and the 7 have to be wrong. The 5 was 6-1 and the 7 was 9-1. How could any payoff be that low after an 11-1, a 17-1 and a 9-2 shot won the first 3 legs?

To JbMadera, I don't want to pile on, but your first mistake was ASKING if you should hedge after those first 3 results. You should have covered ALL the other horses in that race. Hopefully this is a mistake that you won't make again.
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Old 06-24-2010, 08:12 PM   #9
JBmadera
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Space Monkey
Bob, your will pays on the 5 and the 7 have to be wrong. The 5 was 6-1 and the 7 was 9-1. How could any payoff be that low after an 11-1, a 17-1 and a 9-2 shot won the first 3 legs?

To JbMadera, I don't want to pile on, but your first mistake was ASKING if you should hedge after those first 3 results. You should have covered ALL the other horses in that race. Hopefully this is a mistake that you won't make again.
yeah, it's pretty damn clear now that I f'd up....... I knew that I should but I think I just got greedy.
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Old 06-24-2010, 08:46 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Space Monkey
Bob, your will pays on the 5 and the 7 have to be wrong. The 5 was 6-1 and the 7 was 9-1. How could any payoff be that low after an 11-1, a 17-1 and a 9-2 shot won the first 3 legs?
If they were paying for 3 of 4.
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Old 08-15-2010, 01:50 PM   #11
JBmadera
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hopefully I've learned my lesson>

I'm live here in the P3 at SAR (8/15 R1-R3) to all but the and the ....so I bet both to win, twice as much to win on the as the since the is approx 1/2 the odds of the ......now if I can just get that out of the winners circle it will be a nice payoff.

jb
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Old 08-15-2010, 01:57 PM   #12
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I wished you good luck last time and it did not work out, so this time, mum's the word
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Old 08-15-2010, 02:01 PM   #13
JBmadera
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DeanT
I wished you good luck last time and it did not work out, so this time, mum's the word
thx Dean! mums the word....it won't be worth much if the fav wins but at least for the next few mins I can dream......
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Old 08-15-2010, 02:09 PM   #14
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Nice Hit!
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Old 08-15-2010, 02:12 PM   #15
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That's a great payout. Congrats JB!
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