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Old 04-17-2015, 04:47 AM   #31
depalma113
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Ten Cents a Shine - Damn, I loved that horse.
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Old 04-17-2015, 06:03 AM   #32
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many bad bets but Arazi in '92 takes the cake. all these years later that one still really stings........
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Old 04-17-2015, 08:19 AM   #33
delsully
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Gemologist
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Old 04-17-2015, 09:15 AM   #34
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I used Gemologist too. But at least he was a decent price and that's where I learned my lesson. In 2005 I keyed Bellamy Road and I was at the Derby. Dumbest derby bet of my life and I have been betting it since about 1978 or so. Not only was that race "bumper cars" but the horse that won paid over 100 and one of my friends had it. Ever since then I will not just put all my eggs on the chalk in that race. Afleet Alex was much the best in all 3 races and got a night mare trip in the derby. The point is that for all the crap people rave about the "perceived" best horse in that race......and the band wagon chalkers will be raving about a few just like they do every year. It means absolutely nothing (many years) once that gate opens and 18-20 horses come stumbling and bumbling out of that gate. One of the more obvious horses can be used but I learned just depending on that is usually futile and also a missed opportunity. I'd rather lose 10 in a row than to hedge on a horse like Bellamy Road...lesson learned.
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Old 04-17-2015, 04:00 PM   #35
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2005 Afleet Alex. that was tough.

2006 Lawyer Ron

2008 Tried to get cute by using pyro, flamed out trying to beat a monster.

2009 I had Papa Clem who seemed to be tucked up nicely in 4th just needing a way out then.....50-1 skimmed the rail and the others ran him over as he had no punch late. I've been reasonably successful in the derby except for a few year.

2010 Paddy O' Prado didn't think pletcher would finally get his derby win. sloppy track proved otherwise.
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Old 04-17-2015, 04:19 PM   #36
Thunder Gulch
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This will be my 25th straight to attend. Had a great run thru the 90's, bad for the next decade.
1991 Hansel
1992 Lil E Tee- just bet Pat Day
1993 Sea Hero- loved the pedigree
1994 Strodes Creek- winner if it didn't rain
1995 Thunder Gulch- favorite horse ever
1996 Grindstone/Editors Note entry
1997 Silver Charm - never more confident in a winner
====At this point I think I know what I'm doing, right up til Cape Town looked good off the turn and hung.
1998 Cape Town
1999 Prime Timber
2000 The Deputy - whoa, what was that
2001 Point Given- still can't believe he lost
2002 Perfect Drift- one of my favorites for years thereafter "all/drift/all"
2003 Empire Maker- see Point Given above
2004 The Cliff's Edge- yep, I bet against Smarty
2005 Afleet Alex
2006 Sweetnorthernsaint- coin flip with Barbaro- I lost, Bluegrass Cat killed exacta
2007 Circular Quay- another coin flip with Street Sense- took higher odds, lost
2008 Colonel John- good horse, just got beat
2009 Pioneer of the Nile- made out thanks to exacta backwheel
2010 Lookin at Lucky- had Super Saver covered on tickets
2011 ArchArchArch- hurt and never raced again. Friendly rival had winner
2012 Gemologist- 5 min to post looked at board and commented to friend we didn't have the Santa Anita winner covered at 18-1
2013 Orb- Golden Soul screwed up all verticals
2014 California Chrome- Commanding Curve was great for my verticals
======
2015 Dortmund or Frosted
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Old 04-17-2015, 05:02 PM   #37
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Powis Castle, Concerto, Saarland, Captain Steve, Tapit, Wilko and Brother Derek come to mind.
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Old 04-17-2015, 08:00 PM   #38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
No offense FF, but I do now believe you are required to release your Derby pick in highlights, rainbows, and high end alerts; and available to everybody on this forum.
None taken LDH. I have accepted the fact that when it comes to the Derby, I suck....

To add insult to injury, my daughter actually did moderate handicapping and picked Animal Kingdom and Super Saver. She did this when she was, oh, 7 or 8 years old. Still haven't heard the end of it (and probably won't until I croak)...
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Old 04-17-2015, 09:46 PM   #39
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
That is absolutely fantastic.

Hats off to the greatest post on this site. Ever.
Thank you very much for the kinds words, though I humbly say I've read many posts that far surpass my little slice of personal history.

I was fortunate enough to grow up in Louisville, which fostered my love for the Derby, and now as an adult be intimately involved in a working fashion with the Derby for the past quarter century. Some years that has really benefited my selections, like Animal Kingdom or Pleasant Colony, but also some bonehead picks too, like in my list.

I love this thread; it's very cool to see the wide range of picks people have made, and I'm sure when we all look back, there is plenty of "How the hell did I pick that horse?"
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Old 04-17-2015, 09:48 PM   #40
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JBmadera
many bad bets but Arazi in '92 takes the cake. all these years later that one still really stings........
Arazi was the greatest bet against ever twice in America; the second time being the Breeders' Cup Mile later that year, when I made one of my biggest scores ever on Lure's devastating win.
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Old 04-19-2015, 01:26 AM   #41
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Originally Posted by Tall One
I'm pretty sure we made the all the same plays that Derby, SAM. Still say Congaree won that photo..
Just watched the replay. Wow - that was a horrific beat. I would have guessed Congaree on the inside got that.
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Old 04-19-2015, 08:32 AM   #42
Lemon Drop Husker
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FrankieFigs
None taken LDH. I have accepted the fact that when it comes to the Derby, I suck....

To add insult to injury, my daughter actually did moderate handicapping and picked Animal Kingdom and Super Saver. She did this when she was, oh, 7 or 8 years old. Still haven't heard the end of it (and probably won't until I croak)...
Hey, at least you "breed" well.

By the way, can you please let us know who she picks this year.
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Old 04-19-2015, 08:42 AM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
Hey, at least you "breed" well.

By the way, can you please let us know who she picks this year.
Who is his grandfather on the maternal side?
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Old 04-19-2015, 08:44 AM   #44
Lemon Drop Husker
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Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
Who is his grandfather on the maternal side?
And does she have tail in female generated Buckpasser X and Y chromosomes with SAN inbreeding?
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Old 04-19-2015, 03:01 PM   #45
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Every derby bet I made before the turn of the century except Unbridled were my worst derby bet ever. They all equally sucked. I bet every derby since 1983 and Unbridled was the only one I even got in the money before 2002. Unbridled/Summer Squall exacta. Pride of my betting history for the 1st 20 years I was a handicapper.
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