Handicapping, Spot Plays, Software, etc

[NorCalGreg]

The same speed play today from Santa Anita had these horses:

SA
7TH ZERO TOLERANCE $6.00
8TH LA PULCINEA
9TH MISS TOKYO
3RD SHUT UP MICHAEL $6.60
6TH QUEEN OF LOVE
5TH DON'T SWEAR DAVE $29.40

[Fairchild]

Hi Greg

The image I posted showed 6 losses in a row and then 2 more mixed in with the winners. It shows an increase in the amount wagered that became less as the number of losses in a row increased, that is what I wanted to happen.

The main thing is I accomplished wagering more on average on the winners than I wagered on the losers and the largest amount wagered was reasonable. Once I hit a winner that paid enough in odds to one that was greater than the number in the WOD column I was ahead and the progression started over.

I will send you a copy of a chart that is used to teach the method in a little bit, I need to scan it first. It illustrates the method having a run of 40 loses in a row and still coming out ahead.

[Fairchild]

Hi Greg

I hope I attached this chart properly. Because I was able to attach an image once doesn't mean I can do it twice!

[Fairchild]

I should have made notes the first time, I aged since this afternoon.
Let's try again

[NorCalGreg]

Thanks...I'd like to take a look at it. Was looking around the internet for wagering methods, and found a site that is actually for roulette-but some wagering schemes can be adapted to horse betting. The site seems to be down right now, though.
https://www.rouletteforum.cc/

[Tom]

Originally Posted by horseplayer

Many yrs ago when Russ Harris was handicapping for Daily News - one of those monthly or perhaps weekly newstand turf publications had an article entitled "The Genius of Russ Harris" and illustrated a progression bet on his picks - I wish I had saved it.

The good old days! I remember when he first came to The DN and redesigned the whole racing page. I used to cut it out every day and save it for the charts with beaten lengths. When the truck didn't show up on snowy days,PANIC set in!

[NorCalGreg]

Bet The Rent

Horse name GUMP
Notes RTW GPX
Activity date 01-12-2022
Track Gulfstream Park
Surface Dirt
Distance 1 Mile
Race number 8
Claim price $40,000
Race type Starter Allowance
Post position 5
Jockey Alvarado J
Morning line 15-1

Before that race goes...here is the Cramer "MAIDEN DROPDOWN"


I once read that this particular spot play has shown a profit for the
last twenty years...probably should also point out I read that report about two decades ago. Believe it's still long-haul profitable, but the losing streaks can burn through and discourage an under-funded horseplayer's bank.

1ST CANAAN 5-1

3RD TINKER TAILER 12-1

Good luck,


-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

BLM is "Bet Lotta Money"

Race 5 NO PASA NADA ML 5-1 Wade/Buechler

comment: "sitting on a win"

Think I may start a "Wolson" type of daily play, but it may take a year to get to 500 selections. I wouldn't be able to post every day, either. I've done a couple 100 play tests on this forum -both profitable- but 500 plays is what made Steve a legend, here.

Was looking at some older threads during the time he ran that demonstration--unbelievably some posters still had complaints. LOL one guy said his method was crap--AFTER he posted the 500 spot-play test

AQ 4TH STEPPIN' HAWK 10-1

CTX 1ST WORLD OF FOOLS 9/5

GPX 1ST BOURBON OVER ICE 4-1

SAM 3RD LOTS OF GOLD 6-1

TUP 2ND ROCKIN JO KOOL 8-1

Good Luck,

-NCG

[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Think I may start a "Wolson" type of daily play, but it may take a year to get to 500 selections. I wouldn't be able to post every day, either. I've done a couple 100 play tests on this forum -both profitable- but 500 plays is what made Steve a legend, here.

Was looking at some older threads during the time he ran that demonstration--unbelievably some posters still had complaints. LOL one guy said his method was crap--AFTER he posted the 500 spot-play test
-NCG[/B]

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...36&postcount=1

Overall since March 25th, 2004:

500 plays - 158 win ( 32% winners)
$1000 bet - $1107.40, profit +$107.40, ROI +11%

[NorCalGreg]

Good Luck,

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Good Luck,

-NCG

Don't think I've seen this before:

DRF PAYOFF



XB PAYOFF



Really doesn't matter to me or my bankroll...I had the 10 to win, and a saver 7/10 exacta. Interesting XB has no mention of a deadheat for 2nd. Okay I see they do have pays for the exotics-so we can chalk it up to a simple typo

[NorCalGreg]

[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Unsolved mystery angles

2nd Time Lasix
1st Time mdn claiming
mdn to mdn clm
drop in class
Surface switch (Turf-Dirt)
Cutback distance (1/2 furlong)
Jockey switch
She is comeback in 6 days from her most recent race

Looks positive!

I am liking in this race

Good luck Greg!

[NorCalGreg]

GPX 5TH MO HAWK 6-1 6TH SMOKIN BOW 9/2

GGX 2ND AWESOME DUDE 2-1

FG 6TH ALLOCATE 6-1

DD 4TH MISS MESS 7/2

CTX 7TH PREPAREFORTAKOFF 7/2

AQ 3RD INTO HAPPINESS 9/2 9TH THE HONORABLE RUTH 9/2

TUP 6TH AWESOME GALAXY 2/1

TAM 4TH CREEKMORE 5/2

SA 1ST STREET ART 7/2 3RD UNSOLVED MYSTERY 30-1

SAM 3RD RAMAAH 2-1

PEN 3RD STROLL SMOKIN 5/2

Good Luck,

-NCG

[green80]

DD 4TH MISS MESS 7/2, took a big odds drop when the gate opened, somebody's betting your spot plays.