Handicapping, Spot Plays, Software, etc

[geroge.burns99]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Well...that was a little strange...Ortiz looks to his inside--can see he has a horse on the rail (RAGTIME BLUES)...slams into him, almost knocking the rider OVER the rail. Lucky that jockey wasn't seriously injured.

The horse is still "live"...rider getting thrown notwithstanding. Depending where he's entered next, should be a good price.

Definitely on my watch list

-NCG

This sums it up...

BAD RIDE BY SHIT JOCKEY

instead of getting a lead he looks around to see whats happening before securing his position....

If you noted hosre did have front wraps on....so he was a GO

[upthecreek]

Yesterday @ Tam Best 5 consensus had 8 winners listed, 5 were top picks.

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by upthecreek

Yesterday @ Tam Best 5 consensus had 8 winners listed, 5 were top picks.

Nice...some of our biggest winners have been @ Tampa.

Let's give PONYPICKER a shot at the big-time:

PONYPICKER SPOT PLAYS 12-04

GPX

RACE 1 #11 BENEFACTOR 20-1
RACE 6 #8 SUGAR FIX 7/2
RACE 10 #3 GIRILAMO'S ATTACK 5/2
RACE 11 #8 MAX K.O. 3-1

LRC

RACE 3 #3 NOTRE DAME 5-1
RACE 6 #4 BIG PASSION 7/2

AQ

RACE 3 #8 ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 3-1
RACE 4 #6 SUPREME AURA 6-1
RACE 9 #3 VENTI VALENTINE 5-1

TAMPA

RACE 2 #6 ESTILO DIFERENTE 3-1
RACE 3 #4 EL BAILADOR 3-1
RACE 5 #5 GET SERIOUS 3-1
RACE 10 #6 RAISING MOON 3-1

MVR

RACE 4 #5 LILAC LACE 3-1

[Bennie]

Thats how you start off. I guess I wasn't the only one who also thought Benefactor was live. Went off half the ML but $22 winner to begin.

[BarchCapper]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

I'm semi-agonizing over an interesting horse in the 8th @ AQ today: RAGTIME BLUES 10-1.



I'll stick a 5-spot on Ragtime, in case Trainer Lenin Cruz (yes his first name is "Lenin") can get it done.

Good luck,

-NCG

Lenin Cruz is the father-in-law of Orlando Noda - so just think Noda if you see Cruz again. No agonies in terms of whether live-looking horse is live.

[NorCalGreg]

Good to know, BC....thanks. I didn't really want to comment on the other thread, about this incident, but from what I've read--Irad has a temper. I wonder if..in the heat of the moment, he obviously wanted the lead--but that brand-X no-name rider on Ragtime was ruining his plan. Could he have purposely done that? The way he looked back--and looked again to see the rider go down, suggests that may be exactly what happened.

Doubt we'll ever know...

[NorCalGreg]

Looking at bigger exotic profits--I only play the late pick-4 at GPX, AQ, SA/DM, and of course Tampa. Copied right off the Best-Five Contender sheet.
The reason I play the LATE p-4 is...it seems the bombs come in in the later races. I have no data to back that up--just a hunch.

[NorCalGreg]

Typical Raider game....stop the opponent ONE TIME-RIGHT NOW..and win the game--and they can't get it done

Remember that Highest-Speed last race spot play? The one that requires no handicapping whatsoever?

Scored again today:




*remember--double digits ML only requirement

[green80]

Don't overlook the trainer spot play button on Speed Demons. Yesterday in 8th at OP it had a $23.40 winner

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

Don't overlook the trainer spot play button on Speed Demons. Yesterday in 8th at OP it had a $23.40 winner

I haven't won a dime at OPX--ever. Couple years ago, I simply gave up. I don't even get the data files anymore, despite having the unlimited data. Think everyone has a track or two they avoid--just doesn't fit your handicapping style. OPX and Turfway are two I avoid like the plague.

Thankfully...if you like cheap claimers (which I do) there is always Parx. Swear I almost had a HEART ATTACK watching the late races there, today.



ARRIVEDERCI won the first--okay off to a great start. GRIMHILDE in the 5th tanked--but the next two: THE GREAT GAZOO 7-1 in the 8th, and CANT STOP THIS MAN 14-1 in the 9th--BOTH just missed by a short neck in the last two races.

[green80]

I feel the same about OP, I could never win there. Thought I would try something different with the new Demon power # and the trainer spot play and so far so good.

[NorCalGreg]

Horse name No Pasa Nada
Notes sitting on a win
Activity date 12-07-2021
Track Turf Paradise
Surface Turf
Distance 5 Furlongs
Race number 8

Anyone familiar with the "odds pop" theory will notice today will be the 4th consecutive odds drop--after coming off a 3-race odds pop. Rarely see a horse with no win under these "conditions"

-NCG

[Ghostrider5]

Is that one of the early tom worth tips methodology?

Ghostrider5

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by Ghostrider5

Is that one of the early tom worth tips methodology?

Ghostrider5

Off-hand I can't remember his name...but he and Tom Worth, in the beginning combined forces to jointly create the Pops And Tips methodology. They may have had a falling out, later--because the "Pops" part was eliminated from the method eventually.

After having studied the TIPS (trainer angles and signals) for many years, along with the ODDS POP...the first thing I look for with PP's are the trainer tip-offs, and any odds pops.

I can say, without hesitation...I learned to handicap from the late, great Tom Worth.

[NorCalGreg]

This spot play can be found on the SPEED DEMONS program: