Tampa Bay Derby thoughts

[Nitro]

Originally Posted by Nitro

I took a quick peek at this race and it seems like there’s an awful lot of early speed.
So with Pletcher’s horse having a bit more development than the others my pre-tote picks are as follows:
Keying in the top 2 slots with 5 others in the verticals: , , , ,
Watch the tote action especially on those long shots!
GL

POS	#	Horse	               Win	Place	Show
1st:	6	Tapit Trice	       $3.00	$2.40	$2.20
2nd:	2      Classic Car Wash		$7.40	$5.00
3rd:	3	Classic Legacy			$4.00
4th:	12	Prairie Hawk			
5th:	1	Lord Miles	
		
•	$2.00 EXACTA 6-2 $22.00
•	$2.00 TRIFECTA 6-2-3 $95.20
•	$2.00 SUPERFECTA 6-2-3-12 $945.40
•	

Turning chalk into gold!
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[CheckMark]

Originally Posted by CheckMark

Only liking 3 horses in this race and to be honest could come down to these horses at the end imo

Below are the horses number then morning line odds and right below that is my "Fair Odds" and this is a little project that I have been working on for a bit projecting odds for today's races; 2 projections are show below PO#1 and PO#2 which one or the other seems to be right on or around the final odds the horse goes off at in my testing

The favourite #6 (like today) sometimes get a higher odds that what others might put it as which in this case I project a 6-1 4-1 even though that horse should be 8/5 or lower

See what happens I am still in the testing periods but excited to see what happens in the near future

6/1
Fair Odds 26/17

8/5
Fair Odds 6/4

9/2
Fair Odds 19/13

#4 off @ 11/1

#6 off @ 1/2

#9 off at 12/1

Either the odds are way off or bang on and today they were so so
Congrats to Todd on winning another Tampa Derby!

[Michael]

Originally Posted by boys at tosconova

it didn't even matter that he was left in the gate looking disinterested.

slowish, but there was no need to put the pedal to the floor.

Saez is the right Jock for the horse. (reminds me of fearless) I'm going to guess the Beyer comes back around a 94. Really cool animal.

[myohmyjustify]

The heck with congrats to Todd.


Congrats to Nitro!!

[Longshot6977]

Nice going Nitro.