M1 Post Position variance

[SchagFactorToWin]

Does anyone have the last few year's post position win rate by racing season for Meadowlands? I know they post current season on their website, but I want to see if there is much variance from racing season to season.

[Just a Fan]

I don't have this info. But keep in mind from a statistical perspective that since they moved to classified racing in 2013, fewer races now have a random draw. Particularly in the last few months of their meet last year, they combined a lot of classes so that the better horses were given outside posts. A true measure of post position analysis would look at ony races that had a random draw (of course, no tracks actually provide this).

So whatever results you find might be misleading.

[am1947]

11/23/2013 thru 1/22/2014 M1
PP All races W% .........minus races combined classes W%
1 9.5% ........................9.6%
2 9.5% ........................10.0%
3 7.8% ........................9.1%
4 14.0% ........................14.4%
5 16.5% ........................16.7%
6 14.1% ........................13.5%
7 7.6% ........................7.4%
8 10.9% ........................9.5%
9 7.1% ........................6.3%
10 8.0% ........................7.2%
11 0.0% ........................0.0%
12 100.0% ........................100.0%
244 wins ........................210 wins
1dh ........................1dh

AM

[am1947]

Originally Posted by am1947

11/23/2013 thru 1/22/2014 M1
PP All races W% .........minus races combined classes W%
1 9.5% ........................9.6%
2 9.5% ........................10.0%
3 7.8% ........................9.1%
4 14.0% ........................14.4%
5 16.5% ........................16.7%
6 14.1% ........................13.5%
7 7.6% ........................7.4%
8 10.9% ........................9.5%
9 7.1% ........................6.3%
10 8.0% ........................7.2%
11 0.0% ........................0.0%
12 100.0% ........................100.0%
244 wins ........................210 wins
1dh ........................1dh

AM

12/28/2012 8/3/2013

PP W%...................... -combined
1 8.6%................... 9.2%
2 9.0%................... 9.5%
3 12.2%................... 12.3%
4 11.0%................... 11.3%
5 14.0%................... 13.9%
6 13.2%................... 12.6%
7 11.5%................... 10.4%
8 11.1%................... 10.9%
9 8.7%................... 8.1%
10 8.0%................... 7.6%
11 3.6%................... 3.6%
12 5.9%................... 5.9%
855 wins................... 759 wins

AM

[SchagFactorToWin]

Thanks, I'll start with those 2 seasons.

[mrroyboy]

Ok usual for Meadowlands. posts 5+6 are best. 3,4,7 are close. Big M has been this way forever so I guess the new track etc is the same. I would also think this is standard for most mile tracks?

[LottaKash]

Personally, with only 244 races to work with since the "New-M1" opened, and winter always being unkind to certain types of runners and classes, I wouldn't think that is enough data to make any firmer affirmations just yet...

I can definitely see it trending somewhat, still, it is not enough for me to go on yet...

Interesting stats on the "combined class" tho....

[Vinman]

Originally Posted by am1947

12/28/2012 8/3/2013

PP W%...................... -combined
1 8.6%................... 9.2%
2 9.0%................... 9.5%
3 12.2%................... 12.3%
4 11.0%................... 11.3%
5 14.0%................... 13.9%
6 13.2%................... 12.6%
7 11.5%................... 10.4%
8 11.1%................... 10.9%
9 8.7%................... 8.1%
10 8.0%................... 7.6%
11 3.6%................... 3.6%
12 5.9%................... 5.9%
855 wins................... 759 wins

AM

Great work. Any chance for a "New MED" pp update from the beginning of the current meet thru 2/8?

Thanks in advance.

Vinman

[bigeastbeast]

The middle posts have only been winning big since the track was resurfaced in 1990.Prior to that,the inner posts dominated as well.