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05-17-2020, 04:32 AM
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#631
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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R#8- 1800M C2 (9F)T
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2-1-8 W/ 4-6-7
@3mins to Post
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05-17-2020, 04:45 AM
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#632
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#8- 1800M C2 (9F)T
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2-1-8 W/ 4-6-7
@3mins to Post
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11-2-9-1 Dutch LOSS 37% Profit Margin PASSED / The Winner got pounded late too late to post a change
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05-17-2020, 04:49 AM
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#633
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 8
Nitro
Can you post race 8 numbers at post please
Thank you
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05-17-2020, 04:52 AM
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#634
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hypnotist1
Nitro
Can you post race 8 numbers at post please
Thank you
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Maybe later!
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05-17-2020, 04:53 AM
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#635
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 8
Cool
I know your busy . After the card is over would be great
Good Luck
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05-17-2020, 05:07 AM
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#636
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T
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..1-2-10 W/ 4-9-5
@3mins to Post
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05-17-2020, 05:18 AM
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#637
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#9- 1400M C3 (7F)T
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..1-2-10 W/ 4-9-5
@3mins to Post
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5-6-1-3 Dutch LOSS 48% Profit Margin PASSED / No action on the L/S Placer #6!
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05-17-2020, 05:42 AM
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#638
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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R#10-1200M C3 (6F)T
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11-3-5 W/ 2-8-1
.@3mins to Post
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05-17-2020, 05:56 AM
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#639
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#10-1200M C3 (6F)T
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11-3-5 W/ 2-8-1
.@3mins to Post
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3-11-1-8 Dutch WIN 52% Profit Margin - PLAY / $18.50 Quinella & $190.40 Triple BX ($776.60 Quartet Bx) All of that one!
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05-17-2020, 05:57 AM
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#640
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 245
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Race 10
Good hit
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05-17-2020, 06:02 AM
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#641
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hypnotist1
Good hit
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Thanks
I was all over that one! I would have been shocked if anything else snuck in there.
It turned out to be a great race card with some nice results. The Dutch Win bets produced a decent 57% O.A. Profit margin hitting 3 of 4 races. There were also some nice Verticals as well: Hitting many 5 Quinellas, 4 Triples (and even 2 Quartets) with some decent value!
The TOTE analysis was once again on those BIG money moves!
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05-17-2020, 06:07 AM
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#642
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Race #8
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hypnotist1
Cool
I know your busy . After the card is over would be great
Good Luck
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TOTE ANALYSIS for Race # 8 (Entries w/Computed Values closest to PAR are always of interest)
Code:
Post 4m 10m 15m P F
352 268 252 246 1 2 4
203 269 170 174 2 1 2
597 526 493 498 3
352 286 282 292 4 4
540 450 439 446 5
394 367 341 330 6 5
510 421 401 402 7 6
441 331 274 270 8 3
618 598 591 544 9 3
660 623 615 569 10
392 517 412 407 11 1
12
13
14
339 327 273 272 PAR
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05-23-2020, 11:51 PM
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#643
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN SUN - 5/24/20
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
Im wont be posting my pre-race selections for this very competitive race card that looks to offer some decent value. There are 11 races at Sha Tin with all races on Turf:
Post Time Race #1 12:30 AM SUN EST
Ive taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used a unique static tote analysis to come up with my preliminary picks for each race. However, Ill be only posting live selections this morning because the Live tote analysis will certainly shed more light on these entries and any others I might have missed.
The latest tote action (by 4 mins. to post) may reveal some things that cause final substitutions among the Top 3 picks from the Bottom 3 picks. However, the overall picks generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores. A few of the races this morning look wide open!
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
For those of you that have the resources to bet more than $2 per race you might want to consider the following in terms of betting:
1) Win Dutching 3 entries means betting each of the 3 entries so that no matter which one wins the return is the same. (Wait until 4 mins to post for final odds calculations).
2) For Quinellas there are many options:
a) Using all 3 of the top Keys with all the others = 12 bets
b) Boxing all 6 selections = 15 bets
3) Triples there also many options:
a) Using any Key in the top position w/All others = 20 bets
b) Using all 3 Keys in the top position w/All others = 60 bets
c) Using Top 4 selections in the top position w/All others = 80 bets
d) Boxing all 6 selections = 120 bets
(Warning: The odds of the selected entries @ 7 mins to post should determine playability by comparing the combined value of each group of 3 that may complete the triple with the amount to be bet).
Good Luck if youre playing!
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05-24-2020, 12:27 AM
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#644
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T
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.1-7-6 W/ 2-8
@3mins to Post
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05-24-2020, 12:39 AM
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#645
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,974
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
R#1-1200M C6 (6F)T
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.1-7-6 W/ 2-8
@3mins to Post
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7-2-3-8 Dutch WIN 14% Profit Margin PASSED/ $37.40 Quinella w/Some Great Value/ #8 took a lot of very late action went Brown to no avail
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