|
|
05-05-2012, 07:28 AM
|
#61
|
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 180
|
I am betting these three;
1) Union Rags,
2) I’ll Have Another,
3) Went the Day Well.
Good luck everyone.
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 07:36 AM
|
#62
|
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 2,459
|
Alpha
Creative Cause
Union Rags
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 08:09 AM
|
#63
|
Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 7,656
|
My top pick for several days has been Take Charge Indy. The choice has nothing to do with Calvin riding him, he'll be bet down for this reason. He's in good position, he doesn't have to roll with Hansen, Trinniberg and Bode. TCI's been under the radar, which suits me fine. His trainer, Pat Byrne's quietly confident, hasn't minded the stealth status.
I'll also place win bets on Daddy Knows Best and Sabercat. Like both horse's performances--CLOSERS. (On a side note, I pay attention to things others don't. In a video when asked if he was pleased with his post draw, Asmussen, who is always, without fail, measured and quiet, was beyond pleased. I've never seen him with such a smile. So talkative, so excited. He didn't flinch over Sabercat's outside post. Silly? Maybe, but I'll take my chances.) With these, I'll use Dullahan, Bodemeister, and Union Rags to fill out the exotics.
For sheer joy, and the blessing of life, Bode could win it for Bob and I'd be thrilled. I truly would! He's on his heart meds, today, he'll be fine.
Good luck, gentlemen. And may all horses and riders come back safely in all races today.
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 08:17 AM
|
#64
|
Unreconstructed
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Appalachia
Posts: 6,645
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Grits
Good luck, gentlemen. And may all horses and riders come back safely in all races today.
|
A big Amen to that, Grits. If Bode can rate as well as Mikie says that he can it could be a happy day for Bob. I am betting him to win and using him over Daddy Nose Best, Dullahan and Daddy Long Legs. Also might put saver win bets on DNB and DLL. Best of luck to all.
__________________
Deo Vindice
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 08:18 AM
|
#65
|
Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
|
Here are my selections for today's Kentucky Derby:
1-Creative Cause
2-Dullahan
3-I'll Take Another
4-Daddy Nose Best
Good luck to everyone!
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 08:25 AM
|
#66
|
Just another Facist
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Now in Houston
Posts: 52,785
|
I will be betting
Bodemeister,
Take Charge Indy
Dullahan
with the rest under them.
Going to try and hit the Trifecta
3,5,6 WT,3,4,5,6,8,11,12,15,16,WT,3,4,5,6,8,11,12,15,16
* if Hansen hits the tri...... I am screwed
Johnny V is on a 28-1 shot in
#13 Went the Day Well
bets on him to win/place
The best Jock in the country at 28-1 has to take a little money
Last edited by JustRalph; 05-05-2012 at 08:28 AM.
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 08:37 AM
|
#67
|
Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Tucson, AZ
Posts: 143
|
Union Rags
Daddy Nose Best
Take Charge Indy
Went the Day Well
GL to everyone!
bcgreg
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 09:07 AM
|
#68
|
Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 232
|
Ex
Tri
6-1 5 11
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 10:09 AM
|
#69
|
Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: toronto,canada
Posts: 60
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by BIG HIT
DULLAHAN WIN SEEM LIKE STAND OUT @ 8 TO1
|
You bet!
__________________
bigga one
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 11:25 AM
|
#70
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: Spaghetti Junction and Frustration Blvd.
Posts: 1,899
|
JR:
Good luck to you today. I am kind of liking what you have. From all indications Dullahan looks like he is ready to improve quite a bit even after his last effort. And, Went the Day Well looks very good by my numbers to run well at this distance. Hey, I was at the Animal Kingdom last night at Disney (LOL) maybe this is a karma play connections wise. The good thing is I don't expect either one to be involved in the thick of the speed that will be up front. If Bode is the real deal which he may be, then, I have to keep him in the mix for an Exacta play. I am playing Dullahan and Went the Day Well to Win and a 5 horse Exacta box (although I should go considerably deeper) on:
Good Luck to all and have a super Derby day.
__________________
Warm Regards,
Vinnie
"All Human error is impatience; a premature renunciation of method"- F. Kafka
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 12:56 PM
|
#71
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 725
|
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 01:49 PM
|
#72
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,987
|
Dullahan
Take Charge Indy
Daddy Nose Best
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 02:07 PM
|
#73
|
broken-down horseplayer
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Portland, OR area
Posts: 2,090
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Light
Horses that did not race as a 2yo have not won the derby in 130 years. This year the only horse like that is Bodemeister. A 4-1 ML for an 0-130 stat horse is surely an underlay.
|
Wouldn't a more accurate stat be the number of Derby entrants that didn't race as a 2YO but ran in the Derby? Your 0-130 stat assumes an average of one horse that meets that criteria per year.
That being said, I do agree it's a tough hurdle to get over, and maybe Bode can do it. But I don't play 4-1 shots in the Derby.
In an effort to obtain a signer, I'll be boxing these in the Tri:
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 02:07 PM
|
#74
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
|
I haven't bet the Derby in several years, but you guys got me jazzed this year what with all the opinions and analysis pointing in almost every direction. After reviewing the video footage, I decided that Union Rags was probably the best horse in the race. Not that I suggest that means anything overly influential from a betting standpoint in the Derby, but there seemed to be few ways to really draw lines of separation between about a dozen in here.
I've noticed all of the love around here for Dullahan, who I really found it hard to get excited about. He ran a nice race last time, but between the fact that I wasn't big on Hansen and there wasn't much else in that race and the fact that Kent D. acted like the horse broke down he had him pulled up so fast after the wire - I guess I stuck myself with a less-than-positive impression of him coming out of that win that seems hard to shake in looking at this race.
I started to build more and more of a case for him forcefully and finally just decided that enough of those with opinions that I respect around these parts seem to really like him - I'd settle on those two as win candidates and try to build one of those .50c trifectas for relatively cheap money.
4,5 - 3,4,5,6,16 - 3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,13,14,15,16,19 = $44
I also played some cheapie P4 and P5 tickets to have a little entertainment action ending with those two.
So, I guess I should thank PaceAdvantage for getting me in the mood to at least have a little fun betting on the Derby this year for the first time in a while. And should Dullahan get me some cash out of the deal, I guess I'm ultra-thankful since without all of your opinions/analysis, I'd probably have him no better than the bottom of a trifecta.
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
|
|
|
05-05-2012, 02:32 PM
|
#75
|
Journeyman
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 73
|
Creative Cause
Dullahan
El Padrino
|
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|