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Old 12-02-2021, 07:09 AM   #1
Robert Fischer
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KEEP IT SIMPLE, STUPID



Solid opinions and weak betting of late.

  • race to race wagers should usually be of similar amount
  • wager should directly reflect the Opinion, if it can't be translated, pass

A's Today = AQUEDUCT AND WOODBINE

B's Today = Fairgrounds and Turfway + any random watchlist
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Old 12-02-2021, 07:18 AM   #2
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Opinions

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opinions
That's an abbreviated description of the game, to me.

You handicap a race, and then you have an opinion.
  • sometimes you don't have a strong opinion
  • or maybe your opinion is much the same as Odds?
  • or maybe you disagree with the public? **POSSIBLE WAGER**
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Old 12-02-2021, 12:19 PM   #3
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the game, to me
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Old 12-03-2021, 09:32 AM   #4
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this is how I apply my due diligence with the knowledge and experience that I've built over the years as a horseplayer and PA member and student.

It does not give me an 'answer'. It's about having a full understanding of a race, or knowing that you are missing information.

However, if multiple models point in one direction without a tradeoff of models pointing in the other direction, than it's a play if I feel that it holds up.

It isn't entered into an algorithm, although it lends itself to such an application.

Some of the models are basically pure data, while some of the models require skill and interpretation.
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Old 12-03-2021, 12:36 PM   #5
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almost time for Aqueduct



about ten minutes to Aqueduct
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Old 12-03-2021, 12:52 PM   #6
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get some blood flowing to the brain
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Old 12-03-2021, 12:57 PM   #7
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Old 12-03-2021, 01:21 PM   #8
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Old 12-03-2021, 01:27 PM   #9
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Old 12-03-2021, 02:14 PM   #10
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Old 12-03-2021, 02:22 PM   #11
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alright...


a few bucks back... didn't crush it , just some min
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Old 12-03-2021, 04:02 PM   #12
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Old 12-03-2021, 07:34 PM   #13
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Old 12-03-2021, 07:36 PM   #14
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unexpected money

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Old 12-04-2021, 07:44 AM   #15
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keep working stay current get up early

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