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07-18-2013, 01:42 PM
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#1
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Saratoga - Fri R7...is Dawly good enough?
Taking a long look at this 12-1 ML runner for Rudy Rodriguez.
Obviously, he's a little win shy, but has been in all time form for his last five races....running fast vs good foes.
May not get the blinding pace war he would appreciate, but there's enough pace to give him a shot.
My figs have him among the best (along with Tenango and Strike One) and I doubt that 12-1 line holds. BRIS prime power has him ranked 2nd.
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How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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07-18-2013, 02:32 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 873
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Yeah he is but its hard to say how any of Rudy's runners are going to run because most of them ran their good looking figs/races when he was a 25% trainer.
I think that race is Strike One's coming out party.
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Whenever people agree with me I always feel I must be wrong.
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07-18-2013, 05:06 PM
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#3
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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All depends on if Rudy is BACK.
Know what i mean?
Dawly was full of run on Apr 27th, regressed a bit on May 23rd and was an even 2nd as the favorite (although losing to a good one) and was really empty on June 29th losing to horses he was supposed to beat. This June 29th "effort" was in the height of the RRR ice cold streak...so, if that "streak" is over, this horse can show massive improvement and bounce back to his Apr 27th race.
I think i have to see RRR perform at RRR levels before i start betting him. But, that all depends on Price, Warmups, how the track is playing, scratches, etc. but right now, i'm not thinking of investing money on RRR trained horses.
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07-18-2013, 10:09 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 263
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The race looks pretty tough. I picked STRIKE ONE but I could see a number of them winning it (including Dawly).
-Jeff Tune
www.angelfire.com/pa/tune
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07-18-2013, 10:15 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 2,394
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Think I will use Wall Dance as my longshot in the exotics.
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Those with the best knowledge have the best luck !!!
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07-18-2013, 10:23 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 1,244
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New Line
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07-18-2013, 11:57 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 2,202
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Tiletown Five comes up the horse to beat.... 7/8 his game
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I hate losing more than I love winning......
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07-19-2013, 12:30 AM
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#8
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Dawly
One of the major reasons I like him is that he broke from the rail and raced on the rail during a week when that was not the place to be.
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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07-19-2013, 12:35 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 1,879
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I'm betting Titletown Five.
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07-19-2013, 01:11 AM
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#10
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Titletown Five will be tough - he is the quickest of them all, but man, Lukas has run him all over and at many distances.
So far this year he has run 6f on dirt, 1m-1m1/16-1m1/8 & 1m3/16 on dirt and a 5f turf race....but he's almost always there when he sprints on dirt, esp fast dirt. Why no works since Jun 28 ?
Need someone to keep him honest early, but he stands a pretty good chance of getting away. I will use him on top but not for a lot of money. Lukas is much better when his runners make their 2nd start at the meet.
Strike One will be used more prominently as will Tenango...wildcard runner for me is Indy's Illusion.
But i'm sticking with Dawly - who likes the track and distance, has competitive figs, and a minor excuse for his last.
The only concern for me is Rudy's cold barn.
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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07-19-2013, 01:14 AM
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#11
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,632
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ron
I'm betting Titletown Five.
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Where the hell have you been?
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07-19-2013, 07:45 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: central fla.
Posts: 4,874
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Reminds me of ANOTHER LuKas horse that ran w/a big gap in works in the Triple crown LAST 2 races...
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07-19-2013, 11:58 AM
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#13
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broken-down horseplayer
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Portland, OR area
Posts: 2,090
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gets an outside post for the first time in a while, and should get a nice trip. Alw1x races have me leaning towards the more lightly raced mules, but I could see almost any of these winning.
Playing the with - -
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07-19-2013, 01:09 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: California
Posts: 1,225
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New Line- 6 weeks from Bullets! 7 Furlongs Perfect! I'd take this one for 10-1.
Indy's Illusion- not going to overlook this one at 12-1.
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Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire.
Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them, not hide from them. You want to be fire and wish for wind. -- Antifragile, Nassim Taleb
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07-19-2013, 01:19 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Lecanto, Florida
Posts: 740
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I like the Tenango. He fin 2nd in an 85K by a nose. Hot Jockey
Trainer Combo.
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