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07-21-2017, 01:00 PM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Pic 3 Test
Pic3 using heavy faves as keys in the system described below.
KEY . / . KEY,P2,P3 . / . KEY,P2,P3
KEY,P2,P3 . / . KEY . / . KEY,P2,P3
KEY,P2,P3 . / . KEY,P2,P3 . / . KEY
Chester Race 11 / 12 / 13 Friday
5 / 456 / 467..........key5 Very Dark - 8/5
357 / 5 / 467..........key5 Toast Of Lindy - 3/1
357 / 456 / 4..........key4 Whats The Word - 8/5
.....Good Luck All
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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07-21-2017, 04:46 PM
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#2
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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It worked!
R11 #7 $8.40
R12 #5 $39.80 ??? 3/1 ML key
R13 #7 $7.40
Pic3 7/5/7 $89.90 on the dollar
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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07-21-2017, 05:48 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,191
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
It worked!
R11 #7 $8.40
R12 #5 $39.80 ??? 3/1 ML key
R13 #7 $7.40
Pic3 7/5/7 $89.90 on the dollar
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Way to go Ray
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07-21-2017, 06:30 PM
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#4
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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thx Sea, and whatta popper you had yesterday...5 stars!!!!!.
It'd be nice if we can get a group pic3 tomorrow with those kind of hits.
I'm making this up as I go along but I'm thinking posting one "Must use" and a Value pick (or two) for as many Mohawk races as one likes, and constructing the ticket from those picks. If we can get some other posters to chime in we might come up with an interesting set of group ticket(s).
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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07-22-2017, 05:43 AM
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#5
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Trying this one today
Hoosier Park Race 7 Pic 3
5,1 / 2,6,3 / 2,4 usual play 12$ ticket
instead go $16 and hope for a multiple hits
5 / 2,6,3 / 2,4............6$
1,5 / 2 / 2,4..............4$
1,5 / 2,6,3 / 2............6$
Keys should be heavy faves
GLA
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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07-27-2017, 06:58 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,191
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pic-3
Race 2 $5 2,4/4/3
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07-27-2017, 07:26 PM
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#7
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Power User
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Markham, Ontario
Posts: 2,032
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SB, you forgot Racetrack but I know it's Mohawk
I'm going with..
Mohawk Thursday, July 27
R1 $2 Pick3 3/24/4=$4
R2 $2 Pick3 24/4/65=$8
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07-27-2017, 07:36 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 8,191
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EdZone
SB, you forgot Racetrack but I know it's Mohawk
I'm going with..
Mohawk Thursday, July 27
R1 $2 Pick3 3/24/4=$4
R2 $2 Pick3 24/4/65=$8
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Thanks for pointing it out. Yes is Mohawk.
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08-14-2017, 02:23 PM
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#9
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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My never ending hunt for a good way to play the Pic3's...
These $1 returns were generated from 1192 races on Pic3 wagering at Mohawk/Woodbine
It assumes you are an infallible handicapper on legs 2 and 3.
The only problem is how to play leg 1 at post time...use the favorite or use 'all'
The numbers are the $1 return over the sum of bets.
Playing the fave would cost 1$, playing 'all' costs the field size of leg 1.
First, playing the favorite..
When the Fave in leg 1 is Odds-on (<1), the return is $37.50 per wager (488 wagers)
When the Fave in leg 1 is long (>2), ...the return is $53.80 per wager (321 wagers)
Singling the favorite at any odds, .....the return is $55.00 per wager (1192 wagers)
Second, playing 'all' in leg 1
When the Fave in leg 1 is Odds-on (<1), the return is $25.20 per wager (488 wagers)
When the Fave in leg 1 is long (>2), ...the return is $31.90 per wager (321 wagers)
Playing 'all' no regard to fave's odds, the return is $35.20 per wager (1192 wagers)
Using 'all' is a bad option compared to just using the Fave in the P3
Throwing out some non-contenders may be better but too hard to analyze.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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