I ran 'Single Factor' analysis on 320 races.
All Impacts set to '0' except 1 factor
Code:
ROI Factor
1.06 TM Post Bias
0.91 Trainer UTR ($93 win outlier, more like 0.83)
0.85 TM Power
0.83 TM Class
0.80 Early Speed
0.78 TM Speed
0.75 Earn Last5
0.74 TM Pace
0.73 Driver UDR
0.64 2yr Wins
Scaling that to these Impacts
3 TM Post Bias
1 Driver UDR
3 Trainer UTR
2 Early Speed
3 TM Power
2 TM Pace
2 TM Speed
3 TM Class
2 Earn Last5
1 2yr Wins
Gives these selections for today, looks like all Morning Line Picks.
We'll see what happens.....
HOP R14. . 4 5 6. . WENISTOPDREAMING® $7500 5/2 -- Jared Finn Red-Blk-B Go J D Finn
NFLD R11. . 4 6 3. . QUICK ARACACHE $20000 5/2 -- Ronnie Wrenn Jr C Brian Loney
NFLD R12. . 4 8 6. . ONE LAST LAUGH® 3/2 -- Ronnie Wrenn Jr Sam Schillaci
NFLD R13. . 4 2 1. . KELLY'S KINDNESS® 9/5 -- Kurt Sugg Jessica Roegner
NFLD R14. . 1 9 4. . PLAY IT AGAIN 5/2 -- Chris Lems Vernon Beachy
SCD R5. . 6 1 4. . ROCKN MOTION® $42000 5/2 -- Dan Noble Ron Burke
SCD R6. . 3 4 1. . EXHIBIT CLASS® $5000 4/1 -- Chris Page Blu-Mar Sean Smithpeters
SCD R7. . 10 8 5. . VINTAGE GAL® $9000 7/2 -- Chris Page Blu-Mar Jimmy Lupton
SCD R8. . 8 7 1. . CAMBASSADOR $20000 2/1 -- Jeremy Smith Red-Gra Parker Smith
SCD R9. . 5 3 1. . TIFFANY MARIE® 5/2 -- Chris Page Blu-Mar Ron Burke
MEA R3. . 5 9 2. . MISS MARTHA JONES 5/2 -- Brady Brown Mark Goldberg
MEA R4. . 4 6 3. . ANGIES LUCKEYLADY $20000 2/1 -- Mike Wilder Tim Twaddle
MEA R5. . 6 3 5. . JACKPOT JESSIE 3/1 -- Jerry Kehm Mark Goldberg
MEA R6. . 2 6 1. . CAPTAIN KRUPNIK $13000 7/5 -- Dave Palone Jenny Melander