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Old 05-13-2017, 12:56 PM   #76
mountainman
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This derby reinforced some plain, simple beliefs I have about predicting the winner: Jump in late to avoid being swayed by hype, or getting hooked on any horse still having time to regress; tolerate NO backwards steps on the part of any contender; pay particular attention to horses having previous wins at CD and to those that work fast there during derby week; demand a strong final- furlong time from a horse's last prep race.

Elementary stuff, but these guidelines have served me well.

Last edited by mountainman; 05-13-2017 at 12:58 PM.
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Old 05-13-2017, 02:13 PM   #77
Tom
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Most important thing to remember - the undercards have buried treasure in them.
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Old 05-13-2017, 02:41 PM   #78
PowerUpPaynter
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman View Post
tolerate NO backwards steps on the part of any contender
so true... toss any horse at time of hiccup

think about it... Irish War Cry, Gunnevera, McCraken, Tapwrit, J Boys Echo, Girvin.

Top 3 really didnt take any steps back, surely Battle Of Midway and Lookin At Lee didnt look like world beaters but progressed slow and steady thru the first Saturday in May

Last edited by PowerUpPaynter; 05-13-2017 at 02:44 PM.
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