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05-29-2017, 07:19 AM
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#1
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Novel way to play Pic 3s
Playing Pic3s with this format
Each leg will use:
My_pick , Best_Dr , Best_Post , Mo_Line
MOH R4 . 1,3,6,7 / 8,8,6,2 / 5,1,6,10
MOH R5 . 8,8,6,2 / 5,1,6,10 / 6,5,6,8
MOH R6 . 5,1,6,10 / 6,5,6,8 / 5,5,6,7
MOH R7 . 6,5,6,8 / 5,5,6,7 / 10,10,6,1
MOH R8 . 5,5,6,7 / 10,10,6,1 / 1,2,6,3
MOH R9 . 10,10,6,1 / 1,2,6,3 / 5,5,6,8
VD R7 . . 1,1,5,2 / 7,3,5,3 / 7,6,5,4
I haven't coded removal of duplicate numbers in a leg just yet.
I'll see how this goes first, (If all 4 are the same then that leg would be singled)
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
Last edited by Ray2000; 05-29-2017 at 07:24 AM.
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05-30-2017, 05:51 AM
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#2
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Off to a snoring start!
Lost $225 (paper money)
$36 tickets are too steep for pic3's...I'll drop Mo_Line
Each leg is My pick , Best Dr W% , Best Post W%
Here goes $278..
HOP . R4 . 8,8,5 / 4,9,5 / 5,2,5
HOP . R7 . 2,7,5 / 8,6,5 / 9,4,5
HOP . R12 .6,6,5 / 1,10,5 / 9,7,5
MEA . R3 . 2,8,5 / 1,1,5 / 5,5,5
MEA . R6 . 9,3,5 / 3,5,5 / 6,4,5
MEA . R10 .5,6,5 / 9,4,5 / 5,1,5
MR . .R1 . 4,4,1 / 6,4,1 / 2,8,1
MR . .R2 . 6,4,1 / 2,8,1 / 1,1,1
MR . .R4 . 1,1,1 / 2,6,1 / 2,6,1
MR . .R5 . 2,6,1 / 2,6,1 / 3,4,1
MR . .R6 . 2,6,1 / 3,4,1 / 4,3,1
MR . .R7 . 3,4,1 / 4,3,1 / 1,2,1
NFLD .R6 . 1,9,1 / 6,5,1 / 3,6,1
NFLD .R9 . 5,5,1 / 8,8,1 / 2,2,1
NFLD .R12 .4,5,1 / 1,2,1 / 1,2,1
PCD . R3 . 1,6,4 / 3,3,4 / 4,2,4
RCR . R4 . 9,3,5 / 2,7,5 / 2,6,5
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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05-31-2017, 05:45 AM
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#3
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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Yesterday terrible, almost lost it all.
So making another change...
Each leg will be My pick + Top Dr in the race (Win%)
If my pick is the top driver then single that leg.
BR . .R9 . 3,2 / 4,1 / 8,7
HOP . R4 . 2,1 / 7,8 / 4,8
HOP . R7 . 7,4 / 6,5 / 1,6
HOP . R12 . 3,3 / 8,10 / 3,5
MEA . R3 . 9,5 / 4,5 / 10,5
MEA . R6 . 5,4 / 8,9 / 1,6
MEA . R10 . 3,8 / 1,2 / 2,4
MR . .R1 . 1,4 / 4,6 / 4,2
MR . .R2 . 4,6 / 4,2 / 1,1
MR . .R4 . 1,1 / 5,2 / 2,3
MR . .R5 . 5,2 / 2,3 / 1,6
MR . .R6 . 2,3 / 1,6 / 5,2
MR . .R7 . 1,6 / 5,2 / 5,1
NFLD .R6 . 2,9 / 1,6 / 1,9
NFLD .R9 . 5,5 / 5,5 / 8,1
NFLD .R12 . 2,7 / 7,2 / 1,6
PHL . R11 . 4,2 / 4,4 / 6,6
RCR . R4 . 6,7 / 4,2 / 4,1
Cost $126
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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05-31-2017, 08:09 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,556
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GL Ray!
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05-31-2017, 09:39 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 94
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Ray,(this post below was from 6/14) can u update these stats , for 2016-17...& include Yonkers separately ? Thanks again
For me the Morning Line Rank (I really don't care about the actual value) is the single most important impact value of all the factors I use.
Since Jan 2012 the bot has come up with a selection in 30955 races,
of that group 23,350 were either the Moline's 1st or 2nd choice
betting those gives a ROI% of -7.5%
but when bot's pick is 3rd ranked (or higher lower?) in the Moline, 7,605 races
betting those gives a ROI% of +3.6%
The graph shows betting those picks sorted on Morning Line Rank.
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05-31-2017, 11:18 AM
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#6
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Apple 2GS Wiz
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Clarion, Pa
Posts: 8,478
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tyler
The referenced data, http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...t=30955&page=2
is for My picks when they are the Morning Line Rank 1 thru 6
These are NOT the Morning Line picks. I don't have what the Morning Line Rank 'x' pick did unless it was my pick.
Generally speaking the ML picks shown by rank would be similar.
__________________
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.The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.
Bret Harte
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05-31-2017, 11:24 AM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 94
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Thanks
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