2020 US Presidential election odds

[Greyfox]

Originally Posted by tucker6

I'm 57 soon and even the govt can't screw up things that fast before I die.

You've got to be kidding.
You are a young man and are sounding like an old fogie.
If you don't think that a Government can't screw things up fast, you haven't been paying attention to World history.
Things changed very fast in Cuba and Venezuela for example.
Ronald Reagan warned:

"Freedom is a fragile thing and is never more than one generation away from extinction.It is not ours by inheritance; it must be fought for and defended constantly by each generation, for it comes only once to a people. Those who have known freedom and then lost it have never known it again."

[lamboguy]

Republicans -280 electoral votes +1900

[tucker6]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

Republicans -280 electoral votes +1900

who thinks they'll be a Trump blowout? I don't see any reasonable person saying that. 270-280 is certainly possible. I'd be worried as the bookmaker with the line at 280. I can see Trump crossing that in several scenarios. I don't see 300 but I do see 280. In fact in the "Map" thread, I came up with 280.

[Tor Ekman]

This astute and insightful observation bears repeating:

Originally Posted by davew

exactly, the only way Trump could possibly win now is to get over 270 electoral votes

[woodtoo]

Originally Posted by Tor Ekman

This astute and insightful observation bears repeating:

Could this unusual path be the one Trump takes.

[lamboguy]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

Republicans -280 electoral votes +1900

this line is now down to +1250

[lamboguy]

strange election for sure!

will Joe Biden be elected next president?

Yes -188

No +158
-------------------

Aizona

Democrats -149
-------------------
Florida

Republicans 160
----------------------
North Carolina

Democrats -125
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Pennsylvania

Democrats -188
------------------------
Wisconsin

Democrats -240
----------------------
Iowa

Republicans - 155
---------------------
Georgia

Republicans - 170

[biggestal99]

6 days out.

Betfair next president market

Biden 1.51
Trump 2.94

Most of the money is playing and laying Biden.

Money for and against trump is dying out.

Allan

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by ElKabong

If the above comment is in jest, I applaud you

If you're serious. it may be the least accurate statement I've seen here or anywhere else in quite some time

Nope I am serious. Biden has nice leads in Wisconsin, pennsy and Michigan.

And those are the three states that will decide the election.

46 electoral votes that biden has in the bag.

Allan

[lamboguy]

Florida jumped up to the Republicans -170. i came back and bet on the Democrats and took +142 for the same amount that i had already bet on the Republicans + 145. so i am now rooting for anything except for a tie in Florida.

my only bet remaining to this election is the Democrats win the popular vote -200.. i like my chances in a big way on that one and only wish i could have gotten down for more.

[biggestal99]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

Florida jumped up to the Republicans -170. i came back and bet on the Democrats and took +142 for the same amount that i had already bet on the Republicans + 145. so i am now rooting for anything except for a tie in Florida.

my only bet remaining to this election is the Democrats win the popular vote -200.. i like my chances in a big way on that one and only wish i could have gotten down for more.

Close to a sure thing.

Biden will win Callie by a bigger margin than 2016

Also New York.

It’s in the bag for a biden popular vote winning bet.

Allan

[elysiantraveller]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

strange election for sure!

will Joe Biden be elected next president?

Yes -188

No +158
-------------------

Aizona

Democrats -149
-------------------
Florida

Republicans 160
----------------------
North Carolina

Democrats -125
---------------------
Pennsylvania

Democrats -188
------------------------
Wisconsin

Democrats -240
----------------------
Iowa

Republicans - 155
---------------------
Georgia

Republicans - 170

Iowa and Georgia going D look like plays here.

[Tor Ekman]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

strange election for sure!

will Joe Biden be elected next president?

Yes -188

No +158

2 days ago it was Yes -214, No +181, that's pretty significant movement in Trump's favor, next few days will be interesting to watch

[lamboguy]

everybody bet up Trump in Florida.. i evened off with Biden today, there is no way any living human can figure the side that gets certified in that state!

[baconswitchfarm]

Originally Posted by lamboguy

everybody bet up Trump in Florida.. i evened off with Biden today, there is no way any living human can figure the side that gets certified in that state!

The only thing that is a lock in Florida is that at 11 at night Broward and Dade counties won't be in and they will be finding just discovered boxes of ballots in broom closets and car trunks.