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View Poll Results: Will I'll Have Another take the Triple Crown?
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Yes - he will pull it off
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29 |
22.31% |
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No - he doesn't have what it takes
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101 |
77.69% |
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05-07-2012, 02:06 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,569
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Do you think I'll Have Another wins Triple Crown?
I get the impression that, yet again, we will have to wait even longer to see another TC winner.
IHA strikes me as a horse who needs time between starts.
The ace up his sleeve?
He might not face much opposition in the next two legs.
The odds are still against it, though.
What say you?
Last edited by horses4courses; 05-07-2012 at 02:08 PM.
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05-07-2012, 02:21 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Cincinnati,Ohio
Posts: 5,289
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It all depends on the Belmont IMO.Bodemeister did too much,too soon,and was stretched to the limits.He's probably KO'd for the Preakness,run or not.He can win the Preakness.I think his biggest threat will be Union Rags and Creative Cause.Dullahan going shorter and slower will be lost.
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05-07-2012, 02:38 PM
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#3
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Racing Form Detective
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Lincoln, Ne but my heart is at Santa Anita
Posts: 16,316
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I think he has a shot. He looked to me like a horse on the improve. That said, there is reason on why there are so few triple crown winners. 3 tough route races in 5 week is asking an awful lot. A lot good horses only won 1 let alone 3.
__________________
Some day in the not too distant future, horse players will betting on computer generated races over the net. Race tracks will become casinos and shopping centers. And some crooner will be belting out "there used to be a race track here".
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05-07-2012, 02:38 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,194
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I'll Have Another has the best chance since Big Brown but to be fair he had a dream trip in the KD. He may not even be the favorite for the Preakness when the chances of others are less compromised by the field size.
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05-07-2012, 02:47 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,761
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i said before the start of the tripple crown that the field was so good and the horses would give big efforts. most of them are now out of gas. therefore i have to give this one a good shot to win the preakness., with or without bodiemyster in the race
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05-07-2012, 03:08 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Location: OKC, OK
Posts: 609
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I'd be shocked if he won the triple crown.
He sat a dream trip with a Beyer of 101...I just can't imagine this horse winning a triple crown...
I'd be somewhat surprised if he wins another leg of the triple crown...
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05-07-2012, 03:10 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 8,429
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If Bode runs in either of those races he'll be tough to beat.
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05-07-2012, 03:16 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 18,962
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If I'll Have Another wins the Triple Crown it will be the best Cinderella story since Sea Biscuit.
This colt was originally sold for $11,000 bucks.
He was then resold at an Ocala sale for $35,000.
To date, he has earned over $2 million.
All of that was accomplished running against colts who had been purchased for much higher prices.
That's "Fantastic."
On the plus side, I'll Have Another is the only 3 year old in the world who has a chance to win the Triple Crown.
But my crystal ball doesn't see a Triple Crown winner here.
I've been wrong before. But it looks to me like we'll have to wait at least another year.
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05-07-2012, 03:18 PM
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#9
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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going to be a good preakness and probably a good belmont.
If one of the legs will be weaker it will probably be belmont, although a couple strong horses from the derby may elect to leap-frog Baltimore.
Great crop this year and there were more good efforts in the derby than I can count on one hand.
I'll have Another should come out of the derby very strong.
While logic will suggest looking heavily at trips from May 5, he wasn't pushed to the point of exhaustion or exposing a weakness.
Much will depend on who goes to the Preakness and how well Bodemeister comes out of the Derby.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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05-07-2012, 03:22 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 2,815
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Here is the question. HFC says he needs time between starts. Ok
If you were the trainer and you think as a 2yo you have got a classic horse who as a first time 3yo wins a graded stakes and looks to get in the Derby. How hard do you pound on him. O' Neill has done a superb job and is not "peeling the onion" to fast to coin Jerkens. Has O'Neill reached a bottom with this guy?
Everything in his pedigree says the best is yet to come IMHO.
And to Greyfox, sounds a bit like Seattle Slew huh.
Last edited by turninforhome10; 05-07-2012 at 03:23 PM.
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05-07-2012, 03:30 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 18,962
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by turninforhome10
And to Greyfox, sounds a bit like Seattle Slew huh.
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Nope. Seattle Slew won the Triple Crown. He didn't need to wait for horses to shorten stride and then run them down.
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05-07-2012, 03:32 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Cincinnati,Ohio
Posts: 5,289
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Greyfox
Nope. Seattle Slew won the Triple Crown. He didn't need to wait for horses to shorten stride and then run them down.
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Does it matter how it's done?
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05-07-2012, 03:42 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 2,815
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Greyfox
Nope. Seattle Slew won the Triple Crown. He didn't need to wait for horses to shorten stride and then run them down.
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Sorry Grey meant more about the sale price than performance. How much did Slew change the Taylors life? The trainer I worked for, it was his brother Cecil who was holding Slew in the gate in the Derby. He thought if Slew gets beat after the poor start he was going in cement shoes. Thankfully it all worked out.
Last edited by turninforhome10; 05-07-2012 at 03:44 PM.
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05-07-2012, 04:15 PM
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#14
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EXCEL with SUPERFECTAS
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 10,206
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I won't see the fractions we saw in the Derby, which advantaged the winner. I don't give him any chance of winning the Preakness.
So, no!
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05-07-2012, 04:48 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 1,178
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It is a tough feat to accomplish. I think its possible, not probable but I would love to see it happen. It would be great for horse racing.
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