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11-28-2019, 08:13 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,516
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Ian Wilkes Maiden has to be betting
Look how many times hes won maidens with long shots. Hes betting these horses hard. Last race he has 2 in an the exacta. Someone bet the 1 3 combo so hard that it paid the same as the 1 with the 2 chalks. It was 23 to one and 6 to one. Easily $300. but it pays $179. Look at the exacta chart it was paying correct for every combo buy his 2 horses. He slammed home the longshot with Lepourux up. No way this happens unless hes fixing the race. Hes won on long shots on big carryover give away days way to frequent. No doubt he was trying to do this today but the pick six got hit. Stewards where are you??? Did the 3 his other horse even try to go around?
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11-28-2019, 08:16 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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If your basis of a trainer betting big is that they keep winning with longshots and that an exacta 23/1 over 6/1 paid $179, then they aren't doing it very well.
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11-28-2019, 08:40 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,769
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i would love to learn how you fix a 12 horse maiden race in the middle of Kentucky?
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11-28-2019, 10:28 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,516
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explain
Explain how that was so underbet but the other combo wasnt. Pretty obvious he bet the hell out of it. He wins all the time with longshot maidens that look hopeless. He killed it I bet he had a grand on the exacta. Its a massive pool. You had to know the horse was live. He hid it in the exacta pool.
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11-28-2019, 10:40 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 313
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Because it wasn't underbet or overbet.
23/1 over 6/1 should pay almost exactly what it did based on the win prices and allowing for it being two legs, I would say around 200/1 for the exacta would be right. The 300+ which is the basis for your argument is fanciful.
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11-28-2019, 10:49 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teddy
Explain how that was so underbet but the other combo wasnt. Pretty obvious he bet the hell out of it.
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Talk about a medication overage
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11-28-2019, 11:03 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: va
Posts: 4,942
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt
Because it wasn't underbet or overbet.
23/1 over 6/1 should pay almost exactly what it did based on the win prices and allowing for it being two legs, I would say around 200/1 for the exacta would be right. The 300+ which is the basis for your argument is fanciful.
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Exacta paid $179.00 for $2 and it is light. The 3 was the lowest payout under the #1. But the 1 was an overlay in my opinion in the win pool and was not bet in the DD.PICK 3 OR 4. Don't get me wrong don't think the fix was in lol.
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11-28-2019, 11:11 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,125
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May be time to put him on a watch list.
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11-29-2019, 08:05 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,769
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teddy
Explain how that was so underbet but the other combo wasnt. Pretty obvious he bet the hell out of it. He wins all the time with longshot maidens that look hopeless. He killed it I bet he had a grand on the exacta. Its a massive pool. You had to know the horse was live. He hid it in the exacta pool.
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the world of horserace betting is different today than it was 50 years ago. people actually have access to pools after the race starts.
if you don't believe me, go to the racetracks in Kentucky and you will find a place that specializes in the very latest wagers on the continent with real time video transmissions 40 seconds or more faster than what we have sitting behind our computers or at other race track and simulcast facilities that don't have real time.
that should answer your question about how you may see exacta prices that inverted from what we might think are normal.
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11-29-2019, 08:09 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teddy
Explain how that was so underbet but the other combo wasnt. Pretty obvious he bet the hell out of it. He wins all the time with longshot maidens that look hopeless. He killed it I bet he had a grand on the exacta. Its a massive pool. You had to know the horse was live. He hid it in the exacta pool.
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Teddy, if you had the info to know the above, then you should get down on your knees and thank the gambling gods. That information is not hidden that well and is gold in your pockets.
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11-29-2019, 09:26 AM
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#11
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,887
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
May be time to put him on a watch list.
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Uh.....who?
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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11-29-2019, 11:09 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,841
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
i would love to learn how you fix a 12 horse maiden race in the middle of Kentucky?
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My thoughts exactly. Comments like this only come from people that have never been involved in owning or training side of the business.
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11-29-2019, 12:36 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,823
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For pure comedy gold, I love the "he always wins with longshots" and "he's betting these horses hard" in back-to-back sentences exacta box.
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11-29-2019, 02:18 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,334
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Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
For pure comedy gold, I love the "he always wins with longshots" and "he's betting these horses hard" in back-to-back sentences exacta box.
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This thread really is a true knee slapper.
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11-29-2019, 05:36 PM
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#15
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
the world of horserace betting is different today than it was 50 years ago. people actually have access to pools after the race starts.
if you don't believe me, go to the racetracks in Kentucky and you will find a place that specializes in the very latest wagers on the continent with real time video transmissions 40 seconds or more faster than what we have sitting behind our computers or at other race track and simulcast facilities that don't have real time.
that should answer your question about how you may see exacta prices that inverted from what we might think are normal.
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You embarrass yourself with these ridiculous theories.
Show us ONE case where an exacta is bet down AFTER the race starts , and wasn't part of a batch bet done before the bell.
If you can't, then you're just blowing smoke
As for 40 seconds, the internet feeds are typically 10-15 seconds behind realtime these days. Which has nothing to do with past posting.
Last edited by AltonKelsey; 11-29-2019 at 05:38 PM.
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