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03-26-2013, 10:36 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Dubai World Cup
Maybe the US horses can get a win in the big race. William Hill has US based horses as three of the top 5 betting choices:
Royal Delta 4-1
Hunters Light 9-2
Animal Kingdom 5-1
African Story 8-1
Dullahan 12-1
Dullahan may be worth a few shekels at 12-1.
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03-26-2013, 10:45 AM
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#2
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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I wouldn't touch any of them.
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03-26-2013, 11:13 AM
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#3
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,148
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
I wouldn't touch any of them.
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African Story 8-1
has been kicking some major azz over there.
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03-26-2013, 11:19 AM
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#4
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,828
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by precocity
African Story 8-1
has been kicking some major azz over there.
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I meant the American based horses.
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03-26-2013, 11:34 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
I wouldn't touch any of them.
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I haven't seen the pps, so I have no idea how good the non-American horses are. But Dullahan at over 10-1 seems like too big a spread from him and both Royal Delta and Animal Kingdom, IMO. I certainly could use him in exotics.
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03-26-2013, 01:01 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,613
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I think it might be worth watching a few races over that surface before making a decision to see if it's playing like a US based synthetic or quicksand.
On a US based synthetic, a couple of our horses might have a shot if they are ready for their "A" race. In a battle of attrition, I'll take my chances with the non US based horses with deeper stamina.
__________________
"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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03-26-2013, 03:18 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 454
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A couple of tweets from Pat Cummings last night have me interested.
Pat Cummings @DubaiRaceNight
Animal Kingdom looked AMAZING this morning. Worked 600m (3/8) - 13.12, 11.75, 11.34 - total in 36.24, did it easy and was completely focused
Pat Cummings @DubaiRaceNight
I'm wildly confident the global racing media can stop writing "Americans can't win at Meydan" type articles after Saturday.
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03-26-2013, 04:37 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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I thought Surfer got a lot out of his prep.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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03-26-2013, 04:55 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,208
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It doesn't matter what the ML says. Americans only bet Americans so that 12/1 on Dullahan likely will not hold
*or do you get 12/1 if you bet early?
Last edited by letswastemoney; 03-26-2013 at 04:56 PM.
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03-26-2013, 05:05 PM
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#10
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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African Story looks tough out of those who have prepped.
of the closers who prepped @ Meydan = Saamidd and Treasure Beach.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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03-26-2013, 07:01 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Saratoga, NY
Posts: 393
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by letswastemoney
It doesn't matter what the ML says. Americans only bet Americans so that 12/1 on Dullahan likely will not hold
*or do you get 12/1 if you bet early?
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You do get 12-1 because it's not a ML, it's a bookmaker?
*or do you not know how bookmaking works?
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03-26-2013, 08:06 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: NE Ohio
Posts: 16,487
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by letswastemoney
It doesn't matter what the ML says. Americans only bet Americans so that 12/1 on Dullahan likely will not hold
*or do you get 12/1 if you bet early?
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Dullahan has one thing going for him that the other American WC runners don't have going for them: synthetic is his preferred surface.
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03-26-2013, 11:23 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 1,911
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Valuist
Dullahan has one thing going for him that the other American WC runners don't have going for them: synthetic is his preferred surface.
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But he has never shown the ability to win a race that is run at a slow or modest pace, his big wins (plus Derby effort) have been in races with a suicidal pace. Lately the DWC has been run at a modestly slow pace early, I think Dullahan is going to be way overbet in the American pools.
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03-26-2013, 11:36 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,569
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by moneyandland
You do get 12-1 because it's not a ML, it's a bookmaker?
*or do you not know how bookmaking works?
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Be nice if we could do business with UK bookmakers.
Then you could get your 12-1 on Dullahan.
US citizens aren't allowed to bet with them, otherwise their company directors would risk being put in prison if setting foot on US soil. Being the reputable, long established, businesses that they are, they choose not to risk that.
Last edited by horses4courses; 03-26-2013 at 11:38 PM.
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03-27-2013, 02:14 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 710
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I'll be rooting for Royal Delta and Mike Smith. Speaking of Mike has he ever ridden in any of the Dubai races before?
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