Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Turf_Monster
I wouldn’t consider this piece of descriptive analytics to be sophisticated, but to each his own.
I don’t think the $2 bettor causes the late odds fluctuations. I think a critical mass of $2 bettors across the nation coupled with tote processors working in batches do
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You might have my missed previous comments emphasizing my use of the final betting interval (@ 5 Mins to post) in the analysis rather than any late money viewed in just the Win pool (the Odds) as a superior indicator. That's why I only posted that interval portion of the analysis.
Rather than offering a trivial comment you might have guessed that the actual sophistication is built into the analysis itself and the results of course speak for themselves.
Just consider that at specific betting intervals a snapshot of all the money in each of the betting pools being monitored is retrieved. All of that data is then digested and analyzed using specific proprietary formulas to provide a simple output in the form of a numerical value for each entry and Par. The output is then reviewed at each betting interval for the comparisons I mentioned previously.
Yes the output certainly appears unpretentious, so much so that it makes the reviewing process during a typical betting cycle a very quick, easy and ordinary task. Yes, they're even color coded. Just what you need to avoid making judgement errors.
An example of a complete analysis follows:
Hong Kong – Sha Tin – 3-28-21
TOTE ANALYSIS for Race # 1 – (Entries w/Values lower than & closest to PAR are always of interest)
Code:
PK FIN 0 4min 10min 15min Ent#
497 541 523 526 1
4 414 518 480 439 2
547 520 527 514 3
1 1 425 291 274 265 4
677 602 556 545 5
3 463 379 381 370 6
601 617 638 636 7
6 3 420 404 401 402 8
2 2 489 325 303 312 9
5 4 503 373 347 338 10
484 557 571 548 11
527 442 444 417 12
615 551 580 571 13
530 549 536 529 14
476 398 386 378 PAR
Results: 4-9-8-10 – BIG Dutch WIN 122% Profit Margin - PLAYED /
$31.80 Quinella & $162.20 Triple BX & ($717.00 Quartet Bx) – All of that one!
BTW - Thanks for confirming exactly what I thought you meant by your earlier post (
#4).
However, you might want to reconsider your naïve position about the $2 bettor.
Just view the Win and Place pool totals for this race alone in HK:
WIN - 21,476,638 HK$ = 4,295,327 US$
PLC - 22,708,456 HK$ = 4,541,691 US$
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